Kimberly-Clark KMB

Nasdaq · Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) · $36.2B

$110.46+1.54%Nov 5 close · Databento

Every report since 2023 →

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KMB Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing

Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $110.461D +1.54%3M +2.26%SMA20 $106.18SMA50 $102.62RSI(14) 60.6

110.46

RSI (14, Wilder EOD) · 70 Overbought / 30 OversoldRSI 60.6

Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.

After a story on KMB, the first close moved a median +0.29%. Up 2 of 3; over the next three trading days, a median −0.24%.

The numbers

fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento

Market cap$36.2B

Enterprise value$43.6B

Revenue$16.4B −2.1%

Gross margin36.0%

ROIC18.4%

EPS, diluted$6.07 −19.6%

Modern Valuation (EOD)

Market Cap$36.2B

Enterprise Value$43.6B

EV / True FCF—

EV / FCF—

EV / Gross Profit7.36

EV / EBIT18.54

EV / Sales2.65

P / E (GAAP)17.90

P / FCF—

P / Oper. CF13.03

P / Book22.20

Owner & Cash Yields

True FCF Yield—

FCF Yield—

Owner Earn. Yield—

Earnings Yield5.6%

Shareholder Yield+4.6%

Buyback Yield0.4%

Dividend Yield4.56%

Dividend / sh$5.04

Payout Ratio82%

FCF / sh—

EPS (diluted)$6.07

Compounder & Returns

Rule of 40—

ROIC18.4%

Cash ROIC (CROIC)—

GP / Assets34.6%

ROE124.0%

ROA11.8%

Gross Margin36.0%

Oper. Margin14.3%

Net Margin12.3%

FCF Margin—

True FCF Margin—

Quality & Dilution

Cash Conversion—

Accrual Ratio−4.4%

SBC % of FCF—

SBC % of Rev0.9%

Reinvest. Rate12%

Sales Growth Y/Y−2.1%

Sales 3Y CAGR−1.0%

EPS Growth Y/Y−19.6%

FCF Growth Y/Y—

FCF 3Y CAGR—

Share Change Y/Y−1.1%

Balance Sheet & Scale

Revenue (FY)$16.4B

Gross Profit (FY)$5.9B

Oper. Income (FY)$2.4B

GAAP Net Income$2.0B

True FCF (ex-SBC)—

Cash & Equiv$688.0M

Total Debt$8.1B

Net Cash (Debt)$-7.4B

Net Cash % MCap−20.5%

Debt / FCF (yrs)—

Current Ratio0.75332.61M sh

Price & Technicals (EOD)

Perf Week+0.40%

Perf Month+14.49%

Perf Quarter+0.71%

Perf Half Y+10.95%

Perf YTD+12.10%

SMA 20 Dist+4.03%$106.18

SMA 50 Dist+7.64%$102.62

SMA 100 Dist+4.33%$105.88

Window High−3.73%$114.74

Window Low+17.09%$94.34

RSI (14) · Vol60.636%v

Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of KMB revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow

Where Every $100 of Revenue Goes (FY2025)

Cost of Revenue (COGS)$10.5B ($64.0 / $100)

R&D Reinvestment$326.0M ($2.0 / $100)

Operating Expenses$3.2B ($19.7 / $100)

Tax & Non-Operating$330.0M ($2.0 / $100)

Net Profit Kept$2.0B ($12.3 / $100)

Earnings Quality: GAAP Profit → True Owner Cash (FY2025)

GAAP Net Income$2.0B (12.3% margin)

Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$2.8B(16.9% of rev)

Less: Capital Expenditures—

Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)—

Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$140.0M

True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)—

Revenue by fiscal year

Operating leverage — margins

GrossOperatingNet

Line Item (USD)	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	FY2025	YoY Δ	4Y CAGR
Income Statement
Revenue	$19.4B	$17.0B	$17.1B	$16.8B	$16.4B	−2.1%	−4.1%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)	$13.5B	$11.4B	$10.9B	$10.5B	$10.5B	+0.1%	−6.0%
Gross Profit	$6.0B	$5.5B	$6.3B	$6.3B	$5.9B	−5.8%	−0.3%
Research & Development (R&D)	$269.0M	$285.0M	$303.0M	$328.0M	$326.0M	−0.6%	+4.9%
Total Operating Expenses	$3.4B	$3.2B	$4.3B	$3.6B	$3.6B	−0.5%	+1.0%
Operating Income (EBIT)	$2.6B	$2.3B	$1.9B	$2.7B	$2.4B	−12.9%	−2.1%
Interest Expense	$256.0M	$282.0M	$293.0M	$270.0M	$256.0M	−5.2%	+0.0%
Income Tax Expense	$479.0M	$405.0M	$343.0M	$442.0M	$599.0M	+35.5%	+5.7%
GAAP Net Income	$1.8B	$1.9B	$1.8B	$2.5B	$2.0B	−20.6%	+2.7%
Diluted EPS	$5.35	$5.72	$5.21	$7.55	$6.07	−19.6%	+3.2%
Diluted Shares	338.8M	338.3M	338.8M	337.0M	333.2M	−1.1%	−0.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents	$253.0M	$413.0M	$1.1B	$1.0B	$688.0M	−31.9%	+28.4%
Inventory	$2.2B	$2.3B	$1.5B	$1.5B	$1.5B	+1.6%	−9.9%
Total Current Assets	$5.6B	$5.7B	$5.7B	$5.6B	$5.3B	−4.8%	−1.2%
Total Assets	$17.8B	$18.0B	$17.3B	$16.5B	$17.1B	+3.3%	−1.1%
Total Current Liabilities	$6.7B	$7.3B	$6.9B	$7.0B	$7.1B	+1.7%	+1.4%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)	$7.8B	$8.2B	$8.0B	$8.0B	$8.1B	+1.6%	+0.8%
Stockholders' Equity	$737.0M	$700.0M	$1.1B	$975.0M	$1.6B	+67.2%	+21.9%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)	$-7.6B	$-7.8B	$-6.9B	$-7.0B	$-7.4B	−6.5%	—
Invested Capital	$8.3B	$8.5B	$8.0B	$7.9B	$9.0B	+14.0%	+2.1%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)	$2.7B	$2.7B	$3.5B	$3.2B	$2.8B	−14.1%	+0.4%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)	$766.0M	$754.0M	$753.0M	$781.0M	$805.0M	+3.1%	+1.2%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)	$26.0M	$150.0M	$169.0M	$131.0M	$140.0M	+6.9%	+52.3%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)	$400.0M	$100.0M	$225.0M	$1.0B	$141.0M	−85.9%	−22.9%
Dividends Paid	$1.5B	$1.6B	$1.6B	$1.6B	$1.7B	+2.0%	+2.3%

Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.

On the Wire

what KMB did at the next close after each story

Nov 2

Kimberly-Clark completes Kenvue deal, forming a global health platform

PR Newswire · 9:02 AM ET

+0.29%

Sep 14

Exclusive-Kimberly-Clark readies asset sales in bid for EU nod for Kenvue deal, sources say

Investing.com · 10:25 AM ET

+0.96%

Aug 28

Kimberly-Clark seeks EU approval for $40 billion Kenvue deal

Investing.com · 12:32 PM ET

−0.39%

The record, by topic

last 90 days · stories · median first close

consumer2−0.05%

regulation1+0.96%

What happened · big days

17 big days in a year, and what we hold on each

A big day is a close more than 3.01% from the one before, three times KMB’s median day (1.00%). On 4 of the 17, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.

every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.01%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.

Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.

#DayKMBWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 3) · each

1 Nov 7, 2025+3.06%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
1Nov 7, 2025+3.06%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itAVY +1.2 · PACK +0.4 · DSY −5.4
2 Jan 5, 2026−3.28%
Before our storiesgroup +2.2%, did not move with it
2Jan 5, 2026−3.28%
Before our stories
+2.2% did not move with itAVY −1.0 · PACK +2.2 · DSY +8.3
3 Mar 3, 2026−4.65%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
3Mar 3, 2026−4.65%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itAVY −2.2 · PACK −1.0 · DSY +1.7
4 Apr 7, 2026−4.06%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
4Apr 7, 2026−4.06%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itPACK −2.0 · AVY −1.1 · DSY +0.4
5 Apr 8, 2026+4.25%
Before our storiesgroup +6.6%, moved with KMB
5Apr 8, 2026+4.25%
Before our stories
+6.6% moved with KMBPACK +7.8 · DSY +6.6 · AVY +4.7
6 Jun 5, 2026+4.84%
Before our storiesgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
6Jun 5, 2026+4.84%
Before our stories
−1.3% did not move with itAVY +1.3 · PACK −1.3 · DSY −3.8
7 Jun 23, 2026+3.43%
Nothing on KMBgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
7Jun 23, 2026+3.43%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.7% did not move with itAVY +0.2 · PACK −0.7 · DSY −7.8
8 Jul 8, 2026−3.28%
Nothing on KMBgroup −4.6%, moved with KMB
8Jul 8, 2026−3.28%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.6% moved with KMBDSY −7.8 · PACK −4.6 · AVY −3.9
9 Jul 14, 2026−3.05%
Nothing on KMBgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
9Jul 14, 2026−3.05%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.3% did not move with itDSY −7.5 · AVY −1.3 · PACK −0.6
10 Aug 4, 2026+3.73%
Resultsgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
10Aug 4, 2026+3.73%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 4 results filing
+0.6% did not move with itPACK +3.9 · AVY +0.6 · DSY −5.5
11 Aug 6, 2026−3.30%
Nothing on KMBgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
11Aug 6, 2026−3.30%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.9% did not move with itPACK −1.3 · AVY −0.9 · DSY +3.3
12 Sep 9, 2026−4.11%
Nothing on KMBgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
12Sep 9, 2026−4.11%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.5% did not move with itPACK −5.6 · AVY −0.5 · DSY +0.5
13 Oct 1, 2026−3.17%
Nothing on KMBgroup −1.9%, moved with KMB
13Oct 1, 2026−3.17%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.9% moved with KMBDSY −4.9 · PACK −1.9 · AVY +0.6
14 Oct 15, 2026+4.69%
Nothing on KMBgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
14Oct 15, 2026+4.69%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.9% did not move with itAVY +2.4 · PACK +0.9 · DSY −0.6
15 Oct 22, 2026+5.32%
Nothing on KMBgroup +2.0%, did not move with it
15Oct 22, 2026+5.32%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.0% did not move with itAVY +3.1 · PACK +2.0 · DSY −0.9
16 Nov 3, 2026−3.50%
Nothing on KMBgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
16Nov 3, 2026−3.50%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.9% did not move with itPACK −5.4 · AVY −0.9 · DSY +1.9
17 Nov 4, 2026+4.15%
Nothing on KMBgroup +3.9%, moved with KMB
17Nov 4, 2026+4.15%
Nothing on KMBNo KMB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.9% moved with KMBPACK +12.8 · AVY +3.9 · DSY −1.3

A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AVY, PACK and DSY that day, the largest companies in KMB’s SEC industry; “moved with KMB” means the same direction and at least half the size.

What’s next · results

Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did

Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). KMB reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 2 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.

Reported Oct 30, 2025

day 1+2.99%day 6−13.67%

Reported Jan 27, 2026

day 1−0.49%day 6−0.37%

Reported Apr 28, 2026

day 1+0.19%day 6−1.07%

Reported Aug 4, 2026

day 1+3.73%day 6+0.94%

Next report: expected late January to early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 5 report: +1.54%. Four reports is a small sample.

Every report since 2023 →

Each line is KMB’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.

Same industry

KMB against three same-industry peers, a year at 100

KMB is up 6.4% in a year. Big Tree Cloud is up 5.7 times and Avery Dennison is up 9.0%. Of these three, only Ranpak Holdings (−32.7%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 5.7-fold rise and a 32.7% fall both read honestly.

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KMB +6.4%. Big Tree Cloud ×5.7, Avery Dennison +9.0%, Ranpak Holdings −32.7%. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, log scale.

Share this chart

End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The three peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in KMB’s SEC industry (Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.

The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.

AVY	Avery Dennison	$14.6B	−1.50%
PACK	Ranpak Holdings	$288M	−0.60%
DSY	Big Tree Cloud	$13M	−0.83%