DSY Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $3.241D −0.83%3M −32.78%SMA20 $3.33SMA50 $3.53RSI(14) 43.6
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$13M
Enterprise value$11.5M
Revenue$644,792 −49.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-37.7M +50.9%
Rule of 40-582.1%
ROIC-263.6%
True FCF Yield-283.6%
EPS, diluted$-0.77 +90.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$13M
Enterprise Value$11.5M
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit253.32
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales17.80
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book4.38
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-283.6%
FCF Yield-25.9%
Owner Earn. Yield-278.8%
Earnings Yield-26.8%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.04
EPS (diluted)$-0.77
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40-582.1%
ROIC-263.6%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-280.2%
GP / Assets0.4%
ROE-117.2%
ROA-35.0%
Gross Margin7.0%
Oper. Margin-578.0%
Net Margin-551.3%
FCF Margin-532.8%
True FCF Margin-5841.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−1.3%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev5308.3%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y−49.3%
Sales 3Y CAGR−53.2%
EPS Growth Y/Y+90.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y+50.9%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+14.4%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$644,792
Gross Profit (FY)$45,297
Oper. Income (FY)$-3.7M
GAAP Net Income$-3.6M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-37.7M
Cash & Equiv$3.1M
Total Debt$1.3M
Net Cash (Debt)$1.8M
Net Cash % MCap+13.6%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio0.9686.97M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−4.71%
Perf Month−7.56%
Perf Quarter−29.57%
Perf Half Y+50.70%
Perf YTD+35.00%
SMA 20 Dist−2.70%$3.33
SMA 50 Dist−8.20%$3.53
SMA 100 Dist−10.75%$3.63
Window High−55.00%$7.20
Window Low+83.05%$1.77
RSI (14) · Vol43.654%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DSY revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-3.4M(-532.8% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$34.2M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-37.7M(-5841.1% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$1.9MFY22
$6.3MFY23
$7.3MFY24
$1.3MFY25
$644,792FY26
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$1.9M
$6.3M
$7.3M
$1.3M
$644,792
−49.3%
−24.1%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$846,255
$2.7M
$2.4M
$587,252
$599,495
+2.1%
−8.3%
Gross Profit ▸
$1.1M
$3.6M
$4.9M
$683,944
$45,297
−93.4%
−54.9%
Research & Development (R&D)
—
—
$89,968
$30,042
$48,585
+61.7%
−26.5%
Total Operating Expenses
$3.0M
$3.0M
$4.9M
$38.9M
$3.8M
−90.3%
+5.6%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-1.9M
$670,836
$-26,331
$-38.2M
$-3.7M
+90.2%
—
Interest Expense
$1,785
$10,615
$75,392
$65,692
$257,433
+291.9%
+246.5%
Income Tax Expense
$-130,255
$28,766
$-51,466
$228,903
$-562,631
−345.8%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-1.9M
$279,565
$640,485
$-32.5M
$-3.6M
+89.1%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-0.04
$0.01
$0.25
$-8.00
$-0.77
+90.4%
—
Diluted Shares
50.0M
2,500
2.6M
4.1M
4.6M
+14.4%
−44.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$363,535
$3.2M
$748,099
$283,024
$3.1M
+1000.4%
+71.1%
Inventory
$13,415
$626,196
$600,876
$13,415
$13,415
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Current Assets
$3.6M
$6.3M
$2.0M
$3.8M
$3.6M
−5.1%
+0.0%
Total Assets
$10.2M
$12.1M
$9.0M
$11.0M
$10.2M
−7.5%
+0.0%
Total Current Liabilities
$3.8M
$6.2M
$7.1M
$3.4M
$3.8M
+12.7%
+0.0%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$1.3M
$1.3M
$1.3M
$1.3M
$1.3M
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Liabilities
$7.1M
$11.5M
$13.5M
$9.9M
$7.1M
−27.7%
+0.0%
Stockholders' Equity
$453,174
$587,833
$-4.6M
$1.1M
$3.0M
+170.5%
+60.8%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-943,709
$1.9M
$-553,396
$-1.0M
$1.8M
+276.4%
—
Invested Capital
$1.4M
$-1.3M
$-4.0M
$2.1M
$1.2M
−42.9%
−3.2%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-1.9M
$8.8M
$-1.5M
$-6.5M
$-3.4M
+47.2%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$56,807
$705,785
$936,518
$645,582
$761,617
+18.0%
+91.4%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
—
—
—
$34.2M
$34.2M
+0.0%
+0.0%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$24,218
$4.6M
$288,702
$507,969
$11,432
−97.7%
−17.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-1.9M
$4.2M
$-1.8M
$-7.0M
$-3.4M
+50.9%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-1.9M
$4.2M
$-1.8M
$-41.2M
$-37.7M
+8.6%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what DSY did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named DSY yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
40 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 7.24% from the one before, three times DSY’s median day (2.41%). On 0 of the 40, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±7.24%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayDSYWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 3) · each
1 Nov 13, 2025−8.00%
Before our storiesgroup +0.3%, did not move with it
1Nov 13, 2025−8.00%
Before our stories
+0.3% did not move with itPACK −1.0 · KMB +0.3 · AVY +1.4
2 Dec 8, 2025−11.46%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
2Dec 8, 2025−11.46%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itAVY −2.2 · KMB −1.1 · PACK 0.0
3 Dec 15, 2025−13.61%
Before our storiesgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
3Dec 15, 2025−13.61%
Before our stories
−0.3% did not move with itPACK −1.8 · KMB −0.3 · AVY +0.6
4 Dec 29, 2025−9.21%
Before our storiesgroup +0.0%, did not move with it
4Dec 29, 2025−9.21%
Before our stories
+0.0% did not move with itPACK 0.0 · KMB +0.0 · AVY +0.1
5 Jan 2, 2026+8.26%
Before our storiesgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
5Jan 2, 2026+8.26%
Before our stories
+0.5% did not move with itPACK +2.2 · KMB +0.5 · AVY +0.3
6 Jan 5, 2026+8.27%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
6Jan 5, 2026+8.27%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itPACK +2.2 · AVY −1.0 · KMB −3.3
7 Jan 6, 2026−8.39%
Before our storiesgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
7Jan 6, 2026−8.39%
Before our stories
+0.8% did not move with itKMB −0.4 · AVY +0.8 · PACK +4.1
8 Feb 5, 2026−7.55%
Before our storiesgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
8Feb 5, 2026−7.55%
Before our stories
−0.1% did not move with itPACK −4.8 · AVY −0.1 · KMB +1.0
9 Feb 11, 2026−17.75%
Before our storiesgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
9Feb 11, 2026−17.75%
Before our stories
+1.1% did not move with itPACK −0.7 · AVY +1.1 · KMB +1.6
10 Feb 12, 2026+8.11%
Before our storiesgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
10Feb 12, 2026+8.11%
Before our stories
+1.4% did not move with itAVY +1.4 · PACK +1.4 · KMB +0.6
11 Feb 19, 2026−11.89%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
11Feb 19, 2026−11.89%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itPACK −1.4 · KMB −1.1 · AVY −0.9
12 Feb 23, 2026+1803.42%
Before our storiesgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
12Feb 23, 2026+1803.42%
Before our stories
−0.1% did not move with itKMB +1.4 · AVY −0.1 · PACK −4.2
13 Mar 4, 2026+13.64%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
13Mar 4, 2026+13.64%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itPACK +5.0 · KMB +0.1 · AVY −1.8
14 Mar 5, 2026+8.93%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
14Mar 5, 2026+8.93%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itKMB +0.2 · AVY −1.9 · PACK −19.9
15 Mar 9, 2026−13.19%
Before our storiesgroup −1.8%, did not move with it
15Mar 9, 2026−13.19%
Before our stories
−1.8% did not move with itPACK −2.1 · AVY −1.8 · KMB −1.6
16 Mar 10, 2026−8.66%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
16Mar 10, 2026−8.66%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itAVY −1.2 · KMB −1.1 · PACK +1.3
17 Mar 30, 2026−13.82%
Before our storiesgroup −2.3%, did not move with it
17Mar 30, 2026−13.82%
Before our stories
−2.3% did not move with itPACK −2.5 · KMB −2.3 · AVY +0.2
18 Apr 30, 2026−12.12%
Before our storiesgroup +2.4%, did not move with it
18Apr 30, 2026−12.12%
Before our stories
+2.4% did not move with itAVY +0.6 · KMB +2.4 · PACK +29.2
19 May 22, 2026+7.37%
Before our storiesgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
19May 22, 2026+7.37%
Before our stories
+0.5% did not move with itPACK +1.6 · AVY +0.5 · KMB +0.4
20 May 26, 2026−7.35%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
20May 26, 2026−7.35%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itKMB −0.4 · AVY +0.1 · PACK +6.0
21 Jun 10, 2026+291.30%
Nothing on DSYgroup −2.1%, did not move with it
21Jun 10, 2026+291.30%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.1% did not move with itKMB +1.1 · AVY −2.1 · PACK −3.2
22 Jun 11, 2026−46.11%
Nothing on DSYgroup +1.7%, did not move with it
22Jun 11, 2026−46.11%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.7% did not move with itKMB −0.0 · AVY +1.7 · PACK +6.3
23 Jun 12, 2026+25.77%
Nothing on DSYgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
23Jun 12, 2026+25.77%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.7% did not move with itPACK +2.2 · KMB +0.7 · AVY +0.3
24 Jun 17, 2026−13.48%
Nothing on DSYgroup −2.7%, did not move with it
24Jun 17, 2026−13.48%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.7% did not move with itPACK −3.2 · KMB −2.7 · AVY −1.5
25 Jun 18, 2026−13.64%
Nothing on DSYgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
25Jun 18, 2026−13.64%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.1% did not move with itAVY −0.6 · KMB +1.1 · PACK +1.7
26 Jun 22, 2026−13.78%
Nothing on DSYgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
26Jun 22, 2026−13.78%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.9% did not move with itKMB −2.0 · PACK −0.9 · AVY −0.8
27 Jun 23, 2026−7.85%
Nothing on DSYgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
27Jun 23, 2026−7.85%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.2% did not move with itPACK −0.7 · AVY +0.2 · KMB +3.4
28 Jun 24, 2026−8.83%
Nothing on DSYgroup +3.4%, did not move with it
28Jun 24, 2026−8.83%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.4% did not move with itKMB +2.7 · AVY +3.4 · PACK +5.8
29 Jul 1, 2026+7.46%
Nothing on DSYgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
29Jul 1, 2026+7.46%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.5% did not move with itKMB +1.5 · AVY +0.5 · PACK −5.5
30 Jul 2, 2026+55.21%
Nothing on DSYgroup +2.4%, did not move with it
30Jul 2, 2026+55.21%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.4% did not move with itKMB +2.9 · AVY +2.4 · PACK −5.2
31 Jul 8, 2026−7.84%
Nothing on DSYgroup −3.9%, did not move with it
31Jul 8, 2026−7.84%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.9% did not move with itPACK −4.6 · AVY −3.9 · KMB −3.3
32 Jul 10, 2026−9.22%
Nothing on DSYgroup +2.3%, did not move with it
32Jul 10, 2026−9.22%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.3% did not move with itAVY +1.0 · KMB +2.3 · PACK +5.6
33 Jul 14, 2026−7.49%
Nothing on DSYgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
33Jul 14, 2026−7.49%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.3% did not move with itKMB −3.0 · AVY −1.3 · PACK −0.6
34 Jul 20, 2026−9.58%
Nothing on DSYgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
34Jul 20, 2026−9.58%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.3% did not move with itPACK −3.7 · AVY −1.3 · KMB +0.1
35 Jul 23, 2026+12.01%
Nothing on DSYgroup −1.6%, did not move with it
35Jul 23, 2026+12.01%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.6% did not move with itKMB −1.4 · AVY −1.6 · PACK −10.0
36 Jul 24, 2026−8.41%
Nothing on DSYgroup +2.5%, did not move with it
36Jul 24, 2026−8.41%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.5% did not move with itKMB +2.2 · PACK +2.5 · AVY +3.7
37 Jul 31, 2026+17.45%
Nothing on DSYgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
37Jul 31, 2026+17.45%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.0% did not move with itKMB −0.8 · PACK −1.0 · AVY −2.9
38 Aug 7, 2026+33.33%
Nothing on DSYgroup +1.5%, did not move with it
38Aug 7, 2026+33.33%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.5% did not move with itAVY +1.8 · PACK +1.5 · KMB +0.9
39 Aug 12, 2026−7.79%
Nothing on DSYgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
39Aug 12, 2026−7.79%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.6% did not move with itKMB +0.3 · PACK +0.6 · AVY +0.7
40 Oct 28, 2026+8.06%
Nothing on DSYgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
40Oct 28, 2026+8.06%
Nothing on DSYNo DSY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.6% did not move with itAVY −0.6 · KMB −0.6 · PACK −4.8
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of KMB, AVY and PACK that day, the largest companies in DSY’s SEC industry; “moved with DSY” means the same direction and at least half the size.
Same industry
DSY against three same-industry peers, a year at 100
DSY is up 5.7 times in a year. All three did less: Avery Dennison (+9.0%), Kimberly Clark (+6.4%) and Ranpak Holdings (−32.7%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 5.7-fold rise and a 32.7% fall both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The three peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in DSY’s SEC industry (Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.