Top JPMorgan analyst maps 5 ways America's debt crisis could unfold—and the 'best case' is still alarming - Fortune
1 min readAnalysis by AlgoThesis Editorial Desk
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The story
A JPMorgan analyst has outlined five scenarios for the US debt trajectory, with even the 'best case' implying structurally elevated deficits and rising interest costs. The setup pressures long-duration Treasuries, supports gold and short-USD proxies, and raises the floor on long-term yields.
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The house read
Wrong ifA risk-off equity shock could temporarily bid Treasuries hard (flight-to-quality), squeezing TLT shorts; also, a credible fiscal deal or debt-ceiling resolution would compress the fear premium in gold rapidly.
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