China allows fresh urea exports amid Iran war-fuelled fertiliser crisis, sources say - Reuters
Macro
China is allowing fresh urea exports as a geopolitical disruption tied to Iran-related conflict squeezes global fertiliser supply. This reopens a key supply channel, pressuring spot urea prices lower and creating a setup in ag-input names where a supply-shortage premium may now unwind.
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Angle
↓ SHORT-8% target+4% stop2-4 weeks
Short CF Industries (CF) and Mosaic (MOS) as Chinese urea re-entry deflates the supply-shock premium baked in since Iran conflict escalation.