One Key Signal Says Rate Hikes Could Be Coming
Macro
ZeroHedge/QTR flags that inflation remains stuck at 3.8% — above where Cramer declared victory — and Treasury markets are repricing as Powell exits and Kevin Warsh prepares to take the helm. The setup is a hawkish re-rating risk: if Warsh signals rate hikes rather than cuts, duration assets and rate-sensitive equities face a sharp unwind.
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Angle
↓ SHORT-8% target+4% stop4-10 weeks, into Warsh confirmation hearings
Short TLT / long TBT as Warsh Fed repricing risk puts duration squarely in the crosshairs — cuts narrative is breaking down with inflation at 3.8%.