JPMorgan Pushes Back on Broadcom (AVGO) Delay Fears and Says the TPU v9 Program Is Firmly on Schedule

JPMorgan issued a note defending Broadcom's custom AI accelerator business, specifically disputing market chatter that the Google TPU v9 program — one of Broadcom's flagship XPU partnerships — is facing delays. The bank says the program is on schedule, which directly addresses a fear that had been circulating among investors and pressuring sentiment on the stock.

Broadcom's AI custom silicon segment has become the central bull thesis for the stock, with the company reporting FY2025 revenue of $63.9B, up nearly 24% year-over-year, and gross margins of 67.8%. The TPU program with Google is a material contributor to that AI revenue line, so any credible delay would have been a meaningful negative catalyst.

The JPMorgan note functions as a sentiment clearing event rather than a fundamental data point — it's a bank rebutting a rumor, not a filing or earnings release. The bull case rests on AI infrastructure spend remaining durable and Broadcom's XPU roadmap staying intact across its hyperscaler partners. The bear case is that a single sell-side note doesn't fully resolve the underlying concern, and if Google or Broadcom management contradicts this on a future call, the stock would re-price sharply.

What to watch: any confirmation or denial from Google or Broadcom management, the next AVGO earnings print (FY end November 2025), and whether AI capex guidance from hyperscalers remains robust in upcoming earnings cycles. The stock's reaction to this note will also signal how much of the delay fear was already priced in.