Truflation sees July core PCE at 0.2% MoM, says Fed won’t hike this year

Truflation provided an estimate for July core personal consumption expenditures inflation of 0.2% month over month, while also stating that it expects no Federal Reserve rate hike during the remainder of the year. The report was published by Investing.com on August 24, 2026.

The direct reference points are Truflation, the core PCE measure and Federal Reserve policy. Core PCE is a key inflation gauge for the Fed, so the estimate bears on expectations for future interest-rate decisions rather than on a particular company’s earnings or filings.

The next hard test is the official July core PCE release and the Fed’s subsequent communications. The available report does not provide the official release date, a comparison with consensus or any market reaction, leaving the magnitude and durability of the policy signal unresolved.