Federal Reserve Board announces that results from its annual bank stress test will be released on Wednesday, June 24, at 4 p.m. EDT.
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The story
The Federal Reserve has scheduled the release of its 2025 annual bank stress test results for Wednesday, June 24, at 4 p.m. EDT. These tests assess whether the largest U.S. banks hold sufficient capital to survive a severe hypothetical economic downturn, and the results directly determine banks' ability to increase dividends and buybacks in the subsequent capital plan cycle.
All eyes will be on whether any major institution faces a binding constraint on capital returns — historically, a clean pass unlocks dividend hikes and buyback announcements within days. Watch for after-hours moves in JPM, BAC, C, WFC, GS, and MS on June 24, and capital return announcements in the days that follow.
The two-sided take
The house read
Two-sidedWrong ifA surprise capital constraint on any systemically important bank would drive sharp sector-wide selling; conversely, a universally clean pass is likely partially priced into elevated bank stock levels.
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