JPM Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $337.341D −4.19%3M −6.24%SMA20 $336.96SMA50 $342.22RSI(14) 48.7
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
After a story on JPM, the first close moved a median +0.39%. Up 4 of 7; over the next three trading days, a median −0.22%.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$936.0B
Enterprise value$862.6B
Revenue$182.4B +2.8%
EPS, diluted$20.02 +1.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$936.0B
Enterprise Value$862.6B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales4.73
P / E (GAAP)16.42
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book2.58
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield—
FCF Yield—
Owner Earn. Yield—
Earnings Yield6.1%
Shareholder Yield+4.8%
Buyback Yield3.4%
Dividend Yield1.72%
Dividend / sh$5.80
Payout Ratio29%
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$20.02
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40—
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE15.7%
ROA1.3%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin—
Net Margin31.2%
FCF Margin—
True FCF Margin—
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio+4.6%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev2.0%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+2.8%
Sales 3Y CAGR+12.3%
EPS Growth Y/Y+1.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y—
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y−3.4%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$182.4B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)—
GAAP Net Income$57.0B
True FCF (ex-SBC)—
Cash & Equiv$343.3B
Total Debt$269.9B
Net Cash (Debt)$73.4B
Net Cash % MCap+7.8%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio—2.66B sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−1.82%
Perf Month+2.35%
Perf Quarter−5.64%
Perf Half Y+10.14%
Perf YTD+6.42%
SMA 20 Dist+0.11%$336.96
SMA 50 Dist−1.43%$342.22
SMA 100 Dist−2.01%$344.24
Window High−7.62%$365.18
Window Low+14.08%$295.70
RSI (14) · Vol48.727%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of JPM revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$121.6B
$128.7B
$158.1B
$177.6B
$182.4B
+2.8%
+10.7%
Interest Expense
$5.6B
$26.1B
$81.3B
—
$81.3B
—
+95.6%
Income Tax Expense
$11.2B
$8.5B
$12.1B
$16.6B
$15.5B
−6.4%
+8.5%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$48.3B
$37.7B
$49.6B
$58.5B
$57.0B
−2.6%
+4.2%
Diluted EPS ▸
$15.36
$12.09
$16.23
$19.75
$20.02
+1.4%
+6.8%
Diluted Shares
3.03B
2.97B
2.94B
2.88B
2.78B
−3.4%
−2.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$740.8B
$567.2B
$624.2B
$469.3B
$343.3B
−26.8%
−17.5%
Total Assets
$3,744B
$3,666B
$3,875B
$4,003B
$4,425B
+10.5%
+4.3%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$269.9B
$269.9B
$269.9B
$269.9B
$269.9B
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Liabilities
$3,449B
$3,373B
$3,548B
$3,658B
$4,062B
+11.1%
+4.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$294.1B
$292.3B
$327.9B
$344.8B
$362.4B
+5.1%
+5.4%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$470.9B
$297.3B
$354.2B
$199.4B
$73.4B
−63.2%
−37.2%
Invested Capital
$-176.8B
$-5.0B
$-26.3B
$145.4B
$289.0B
+98.8%
—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$78.1B
$107.1B
$13.0B
$-42.0B
$-147.8B
−251.8%
—
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$2.9B
$2.8B
$3.1B
$3.5B
$3.6B
+3.1%
+5.4%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$18.4B
$3.2B
$9.8B
$18.8B
$31.6B
+67.8%
+14.5%
Dividends Paid
$12.9B
$13.6B
$13.5B
$14.8B
$16.6B
+12.5%
+6.6%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
18 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.56% from the one before, three times JPM’s median day (0.85%). On 14 of the 18, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.56%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayJPMWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 13, 2025−3.41%
Before our storiesgroup −2.2%, moved with JPM
1Nov 13, 2025−3.41%
Before our stories
−2.2% moved with JPMCOF −2.4 · BAC −2.3 · C −2.1 · WFC −1.8
2 Dec 9, 2025−4.66%
Before our storiesgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
2Dec 9, 2025−4.66%
Before our stories
−0.3% did not move with itWFC −1.3 · BAC −0.7 · COF +0.1 · C +0.5
3 Dec 10, 2025+3.19%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, moved with JPM
3Dec 10, 2025+3.19%
Before our stories
+1.8% moved with JPMCOF +3.0 · WFC +2.0 · C +1.5 · BAC +1.0
4 Jan 5, 2026+2.63%
Before our storiesgroup +1.5%, moved with JPM
4Jan 5, 2026+2.63%
Before our stories
+1.5% moved with JPMC +3.9 · BAC +1.7 · WFC +1.2 · COF +1.0
5 Jan 13, 2026−4.19%
Resultsgroup −1.2%, did not move with it
5Jan 13, 2026−4.19%
ResultsFirst close after the Jan 13 results filing
−1.2% did not move with itWFC −1.5 · C −1.2 · BAC −1.2 · COF −0.8
6 Jan 20, 2026−3.11%
Before our storiesgroup −3.2%, moved with JPM
6Jan 20, 2026−3.11%
Before our stories
−3.2% moved with JPMC −4.4 · COF −4.4 · WFC −1.9 · BAC −1.6
7 Feb 6, 2026+3.95%
Before our storiesgroup +2.8%, moved with JPM
7Feb 6, 2026+3.95%
Before our stories
+2.8% moved with JPMC +6.0 · BAC +2.9 · COF +2.7 · WFC +2.1
8 Feb 12, 2026−2.63%
Before our storiesgroup −3.3%, moved with JPM
8Feb 12, 2026−2.63%
Before our stories
−3.3% moved with JPMC −5.3 · COF −3.5 · WFC −3.0 · BAC −2.5
9 Feb 23, 2026−4.22%
Before our storiesgroup −4.3%, moved with JPM
9Feb 23, 2026−4.22%
Before our stories
−4.3% moved with JPMCOF −8.8 · C −4.5 · WFC −4.0 · BAC −3.8
10 Mar 27, 2026−3.02%
Before our storiesgroup −3.0%, moved with JPM
10Mar 27, 2026−3.02%
Before our stories
−3.0% moved with JPMC −4.5 · COF −3.3 · BAC −2.6 · WFC −2.3
11 Mar 31, 2026+3.66%
Before our storiesgroup +3.4%, moved with JPM
11Mar 31, 2026+3.66%
Before our stories
+3.4% moved with JPMC +5.7 · WFC +3.7 · BAC +3.2 · COF +2.4
12 Apr 8, 2026+3.55%
Before our storiesgroup +4.5%, moved with JPM
12Apr 8, 2026+3.55%
Before our stories
+4.5% moved with JPMCOF +6.2 · C +5.4 · WFC +3.6 · BAC +3.2
13 May 7, 2026−2.74%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
13May 7, 2026−2.74%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itBAC −1.6 · WFC −1.6 · COF −0.4 · C +1.2
14 Jun 4, 2026+3.34%
Before our storiesgroup +3.6%, moved with JPM
14Jun 4, 2026+3.34%
Before our stories
+3.6% moved with JPMC +4.0 · WFC +3.7 · BAC +3.4 · COF +3.1
15 Jun 16, 2026+3.68%
Nothing on JPMgroup +2.0%, moved with JPM
15Jun 16, 2026+3.68%
Nothing on JPMNo JPM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.0% moved with JPMCOF +3.1 · WFC +2.3 · BAC +1.7 · C +1.3
16 Jul 29, 2026−3.53%
Nothing on JPMgroup −3.0%, moved with JPM
16Jul 29, 2026−3.53%
Nothing on JPMNo JPM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.0% moved with JPMC −4.0 · WFC −3.5 · BAC −2.5 · COF −1.7
17 Sep 22, 2026−3.42%
Nothing on JPMgroup −2.6%, moved with JPM
17Sep 22, 2026−3.42%
Nothing on JPMNo JPM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.6% moved with JPMWFC −3.9 · BAC −3.0 · COF −2.1 · C −1.9
18 Nov 4, 2026+4.18%
Nothing on JPMgroup +1.9%, did not move with it
18Nov 4, 2026+4.18%
Nothing on JPMNo JPM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.9% did not move with itBAC +4.0 · WFC +2.2 · C +1.6 · COF −1.1
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of BAC, WFC, C and COF that day, the largest companies in JPM’s SEC industry; “moved with JPM” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). JPM reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Jan 13, 2026
day 1−4.19%day 6−6.92%
Reported Apr 14, 2026
day 1−0.82%day 6−0.22%
Reported Jul 14, 2026
day 1+2.50%day 6+3.20%
Reported Oct 13, 2026
day 1−0.86%day 6+0.29%
Next report: expected mid JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 13 report: +5.33%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is JPM’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
JPM against four bank peers, a year at 100
JPM is up 12.1% in a year. Citigroup is up 23.8%. Of these four, Wells Fargo (+1.6%), Bank of America (−3.0%) and Capital One Financial (−5.3%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in JPM’s SEC industry (National Commercial Banks) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.