Bitcoin dropped to $63k as hawkish Fed signals weighed on risk assets, with an Iran peace deal providing only a brief, muted offset. The setup pits macro rate pressure against a crypto market that had been pricing in easier liquidity ahead.
Bitcoin has historically found strong demand in the $60k–$65k range, and if spot ETF inflows reaccelerate — as they did during the last dip — the macro headwind could be transient and quickly reversed.
The Fed's higher-for-longer posture directly compresses the liquidity conditions that drove Bitcoin's 2024 rally, and with the Iran peace deal failing to provide a meaningful risk-on catalyst, there is little near-term positive news flow to absorb continued selling.