AAPL Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $344.171D −1.53%3M +11.65%SMA20 $343.10SMA50 $335.46RSI(14) 53.0
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
After a story on AAPL, the first close moved a median −0.11%. Up 9 of 25; over the next three trading days, a median +1.46%.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$5.10T
EV / True FCF42.1x
Revenue$478.8B +15.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$122.3B +37.8%
Rule of 4043.5%
ROIC80.1%
True FCF Yield2.4%
EPS, diluted$8.98 +20.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$5.10T
Enterprise Value$5,153B
EV / True FCF42.14
EV / FCF37.87
EV / Gross Profit22.06
EV / EBIT32.60
EV / Sales10.76
P / E (GAAP)38.59
P / FCF37.49
P / Oper. CF35.15
P / Book45.51
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield2.4%
FCF Yield2.7%
Owner Earn. Yield2.4%
Earnings Yield2.6%
Shareholder Yield+1.7%
Buyback Yield1.7%
Dividend Yield0.31%
Dividend / sh$1.06
Payout Ratio12%
FCF / sh$9.36
EPS (diluted)$8.98
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4043.5%
ROIC80.1%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)83.1%
GP / Assets57.7%
ROE117.9%
ROA32.7%
Gross Margin48.8%
Oper. Margin33.0%
Net Margin27.6%
FCF Margin28.4%
True FCF Margin25.5%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion103%
Accrual Ratio−3.2%
SBC % of FCF10.1%
SBC % of Rev2.9%
Reinvest. Rate38%
Sales Growth Y/Y+15.1%
Sales 3Y CAGR+7.7%
EPS Growth Y/Y+20.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y+37.8%
FCF 3Y CAGR+11.0%
Share Change Y/Y−1.9%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$478.8B
Gross Profit (FY)$233.6B
Oper. Income (FY)$158.1B
GAAP Net Income$132.2B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$122.3B
Cash & Equiv$36.3B
Total Debt$88.0B
Net Cash (Debt)$-51.7B
Net Cash % MCap−1.0%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.7y
Current Ratio1.0214.53B sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−1.36%
Perf Month+2.23%
Perf Quarter+9.84%
Perf Half Y+19.74%
Perf YTD+26.05%
SMA 20 Dist+0.31%$343.10
SMA 50 Dist+2.60%$335.46
SMA 100 Dist+6.44%$323.34
Window High−1.53%$349.51
Window Low+29.30%$266.17
RSI (14) · Vol53.026%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of AAPL revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$136.1B(28.4% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$13.8B(10.1% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$122.3B(25.5% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$394.3BFY22
$383.3BFY23
$391.0BFY24
$416.2BFY25
$478.8BFY26
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$394.3B
$383.3B
$391.0B
$416.2B
$478.8B
+15.1%
+5.0%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$223.5B
$214.1B
$210.4B
$221.0B
$245.2B
+11.0%
+2.3%
Gross Profit ▸
$170.8B
$169.1B
$180.7B
$195.2B
$233.6B
+19.7%
+8.1%
Research & Development (R&D)
$26.3B
$29.9B
$31.4B
$34.5B
$45.8B
+32.5%
+14.9%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$25.1B
$24.9B
$26.1B
$27.6B
$29.8B
+7.9%
+4.4%
Total Operating Expenses
$51.3B
$54.8B
$57.5B
$62.2B
$75.5B
+21.5%
+10.1%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$119.4B
$114.3B
$123.2B
$133.1B
$158.1B
+18.8%
+7.3%
Interest Expense
$2.9B
$3.9B
—
—
$3.9B
—
+7.6%
Income Tax Expense
$19.3B
$16.7B
$29.7B
$20.7B
$27.1B
+30.6%
+8.8%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$99.8B
$97.0B
$93.7B
$112.0B
$132.2B
+18.0%
+7.3%
Diluted EPS ▸
$6.11
$6.13
$6.08
$7.46
$8.98
+20.4%
+10.1%
Diluted Shares
16.33B
15.81B
15.41B
15.00B
14.72B
−1.9%
−2.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$25.0B
$30.7B
$29.9B
$35.9B
$36.3B
+1.0%
+9.8%
Inventory
$4.9B
$6.3B
$7.3B
$5.7B
$14.5B
+154.3%
+30.9%
Total Current Assets
$135.4B
$143.6B
$153.0B
$148.0B
$173.9B
+17.5%
+6.4%
Total Assets
$352.8B
$352.6B
$365.0B
$359.2B
$404.5B
+12.6%
+3.5%
Total Current Liabilities
$154.0B
$145.3B
$176.4B
$165.6B
$169.9B
+2.6%
+2.5%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$121.2B
$114.9B
$107.6B
$103.0B
$88.0B
−14.6%
−7.7%
Total Liabilities
$302.1B
$290.4B
$308.0B
$285.5B
$292.5B
+2.4%
−0.8%
Stockholders' Equity
$50.7B
$62.1B
$57.0B
$73.7B
$112.1B
+52.0%
+22.0%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-96.2B
$-84.2B
$-77.6B
$-67.1B
$-51.7B
+22.9%
—
Invested Capital
$146.9B
$146.3B
$134.6B
$140.8B
$163.8B
+16.3%
+2.8%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$122.2B
$110.5B
$118.3B
$111.5B
$145.1B
+30.2%
+4.4%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$11.1B
$11.5B
$11.4B
$11.7B
$13.4B
+14.7%
+4.9%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$9.0B
$10.8B
$11.7B
$12.9B
$13.8B
+7.2%
+11.1%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$10.7B
$11.0B
$9.4B
$12.7B
$9.0B
−28.9%
−4.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$111.4B
$99.6B
$108.8B
$98.8B
$136.1B
+37.8%
+5.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$102.4B
$88.8B
$97.1B
$85.9B
$122.3B
+42.3%
+4.5%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$89.4B
$77.5B
$94.9B
$90.7B
$86.4B
−4.8%
−0.9%
Dividends Paid
$14.8B
$15.0B
$15.2B
$15.4B
$15.7B
+1.9%
+1.5%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
26 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.55% from the one before, three times AAPL’s median day (0.85%). On 10 of the 26, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.55%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayAAPLWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Jan 20, 2026−3.46%
Before our storiesgroup −3.3%, moved with AAPL
1Jan 20, 2026−3.46%
Before our stories
−3.3% moved with AAPLDELL −7.8 · SMCI −3.8 · OMCL −2.9 · OSS +1.1
2 Jan 26, 2026+2.97%
Before our storiesgroup −1.4%, did not move with it
2Jan 26, 2026+2.97%
Before our stories
−1.4% did not move with itDELL +0.4 · OMCL +0.0 · SMCI −2.8 · OSS −4.5
3 Feb 2, 2026+4.06%
Before our storiesgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
3Feb 2, 2026+4.06%
Before our stories
+1.2% did not move with itDELL +4.1 · SMCI +2.1 · OMCL +0.4 · OSS −3.4
4 Feb 4, 2026+2.60%
Before our storiesgroup +2.8%, moved with AAPL
4Feb 4, 2026+2.60%
Before our stories
+2.8% moved with AAPLSMCI +13.8 · DELL +4.2 · OMCL +1.4 · OSS −6.1
5 Feb 12, 2026−5.00%
Before our storiesgroup −7.1%, moved with AAPL
5Feb 12, 2026−5.00%
Before our stories
−7.1% moved with AAPLOSS −9.5 · DELL −9.1 · SMCI −5.0 · OMCL −4.3
6 Feb 17, 2026+3.17%
Before our storiesgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
6Feb 17, 2026+3.17%
Before our stories
−1.3% did not move with itOMCL +2.4 · DELL −1.2 · SMCI −1.4 · OSS −4.8
7 Feb 27, 2026−3.21%
Before our storiesgroup −0.8%, did not move with it
7Feb 27, 2026−3.21%
Before our stories
−0.8% did not move with itOSS −9.6 · OMCL −2.0 · SMCI +0.3 · DELL +21.9
8 Mar 31, 2026+2.90%
Before our storiesgroup +4.1%, moved with AAPL
8Mar 31, 2026+2.90%
Before our stories
+4.1% moved with AAPLSMCI +8.1 · OSS +5.0 · OMCL +3.2 · DELL −0.3
9 Apr 15, 2026+2.94%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, moved with AAPL
9Apr 15, 2026+2.94%
Before our stories
+1.8% moved with AAPLOSS +12.2 · OMCL +3.3 · SMCI +0.3 · DELL −3.9
10 Apr 17, 2026+2.59%
Before our storiesgroup +1.7%, moved with AAPL
10Apr 17, 2026+2.59%
Before our stories
+1.7% moved with AAPLOMCL +1.8 · DELL +1.8 · OSS +1.6 · SMCI +0.6
11 Apr 22, 2026+2.63%
Before our storiesgroup +1.9%, moved with AAPL
11Apr 22, 2026+2.63%
Before our stories
+1.9% moved with AAPLOSS +4.7 · SMCI +2.6 · DELL +1.1 · OMCL −0.3
12 May 1, 2026+3.24%
Resultsgroup +2.0%, moved with AAPL
12May 1, 2026+3.24%
ResultsFirst close after the Apr 30 results filing
+2.0% moved with AAPLOSS +5.7 · OMCL +3.3 · DELL +0.6 · SMCI −1.1
13 May 5, 2026+2.66%
Before our storiesgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
13May 5, 2026+2.66%
Before our stories
+0.2% did not move with itDELL +2.2 · OMCL +0.3 · OSS +0.1 · SMCI −0.3
14 Jun 2, 2026+2.90%
Before our storiesgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
14Jun 2, 2026+2.90%
Before our stories
+1.2% did not move with itSMCI +7.0 · OSS +5.2 · OMCL −2.9 · DELL −6.6
15 Jun 9, 2026−3.64%
Before our storiesgroup −4.7%, moved with AAPL
15Jun 9, 2026−3.64%
Before our stories
−4.7% moved with AAPLSMCI −7.6 · DELL −4.7 · OSS −4.7 · OMCL −3.0
16 Jun 25, 2026−6.12%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
16Jun 25, 2026−6.12%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.1% did not move with itDELL −5.7 · SMCI −2.4 · OMCL +0.1 · OSS +0.6
17 Jun 26, 2026+3.14%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
17Jun 26, 2026+3.14%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.1% did not move with itOMCL +1.5 · OSS +0.3 · DELL −2.4 · SMCI −3.3
18 Jun 30, 2026+2.70%
Nothing on AAPLgroup +4.1%, moved with AAPL
18Jun 30, 2026+2.70%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.1% moved with AAPLOSS +9.7 · SMCI +4.2 · DELL +4.1 · OMCL +1.5
19 Jul 2, 2026+4.84%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −4.4%, did not move with it
19Jul 2, 2026+4.84%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.4% did not move with itOMCL +2.6 · SMCI −1.6 · DELL −7.3 · OSS −12.5
20 Jul 15, 2026+4.01%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −2.7%, did not move with it
20Jul 15, 2026+4.01%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.7% did not move with itOMCL +1.9 · OSS −2.6 · SMCI −2.8 · DELL −9.8
21 Jul 24, 2026+3.53%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
21Jul 24, 2026+3.53%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.0% did not move with itOMCL +2.9 · DELL −0.4 · SMCI −3.5 · OSS −6.2
22 Jul 31, 2026−7.35%
Resultsgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
22Jul 31, 2026−7.35%
ResultsFirst close after the Jul 30 results filing
+1.0% did not move with itOMCL −4.7 · DELL +0.1 · OSS +1.9 · SMCI +2.4
23 Sep 1, 2026+2.61%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −3.1%, did not move with it
23Sep 1, 2026+2.61%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.1% did not move with itSMCI −1.5 · OMCL −1.9 · OSS −4.3 · DELL −6.8
−4.6% did not move with itSMCI −4.0 · OMCL −4.1 · OSS −5.1 · DELL −5.3
25 Sep 29, 2026−2.66%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
25Sep 29, 2026−2.66%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.3% did not move with itOSS −2.9 · SMCI −1.8 · DELL −0.7 · OMCL +1.3
26 Nov 4, 2026+5.31%
Nothing on AAPLgroup −5.3%, did not move with it
26Nov 4, 2026+5.31%
Nothing on AAPLNo AAPL story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−5.3% did not move with itOMCL +11.1 · OSS −4.9 · SMCI −5.7 · DELL −8.8
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of DELL, SMCI, OMCL and OSS that day, the largest companies in AAPL’s SEC industry; “moved with AAPL” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). AAPL reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Oct 30, 2025
day 1−0.38%day 6−1.08%
Reported Jan 29, 2026
day 1+0.46%day 6+7.68%
Reported Apr 30, 2026
day 1+3.24%day 6+8.10%
Reported Jul 30, 2026
day 1−7.35%day 6−6.03%
Next report: expected late January to early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 2 report: +3.31%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is AAPL’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
AAPL against four computer peers, a year at 100
AAPL is up 30.2% in a year. Dell Technologies is up 2.5 times. Of these four, Omnicell (+10.5%), One Stop Systems (−10.2%) and Super Micro Computer (−25.5%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 2.5-fold rise and a 25.5% fall both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in AAPL’s SEC industry (Electronic Computers) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.