Micron shares climb as analysts raise targets on DRAM supply squeeze
1 min readAnalysis by AlgoThesis Editorial Desk
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The story
Micron is rallying on analyst target hikes tied to a DRAM supply squeeze, with the fundamental backdrop legitimately strong: FY2025 revenue of $37.4B represents nearly 49% YoY growth, gross margins expanded to 39.8%, and diluted EPS came in at $7.59. The memory cycle has clearly turned, and HBM demand from AI accelerators is providing a structural tailwind that differentiates this cycle from prior commodity downturns.
The key tension now is whether MU is a continuation trade or a late-cycle setup — analysts raising targets after a strong run often signals diminishing incremental upside rather than a fresh entry point. Investors will want to watch for any signs of DRAM spot price softening, NAND inventory builds, or capex announcements from Samsung and SK Hynix that could signal supply is catching up to demand.
The two-sided take
The house read
Two-sidedWrong ifMemory cycles historically overshoot on the upside then correct sharply — any sign of DRAM spot price weakness, Samsung capacity expansion announcements, or softer-than-expected data center capex guidance from hyperscalers could unwind the supply squeeze thesis quickly.
Published read · research, not advice
