MU Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $656.391D −17.46%3M −23.76%SMA20 $895.96SMA50 $966.54RSI(14) 27.1
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
2 stories have a settled next close so far (2 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$898.1B
EV / True FCF15.0x
Revenue$133.2B +256.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$57.6B +3435.0%
Rule of 40300.6%
ROIC82.0%
True FCF Yield6.4%
EPS, diluted$74.33 +879.3%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$898.1B
Enterprise Value$863.0B
EV / True FCF14.98
EV / FCF14.64
EV / Gross Profit8.03
EV / EBIT8.69
EV / Sales6.48
P / E (GAAP)10.57
P / FCF15.23
P / Oper. CF10.02
P / Book6.49
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield6.4%
FCF Yield6.6%
Owner Earn. Yield7.0%
Earnings Yield9.5%
Shareholder Yield0.0%
Buyback Yield0.1%
Dividend Yield0.08%
Dividend / sh$0.53
Payout Ratio1%
FCF / sh$52.11
EPS (diluted)$74.33
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40300.6%
ROIC82.0%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)57.1%
GP / Assets54.9%
ROE61.4%
ROA43.4%
Gross Margin80.7%
Oper. Margin74.6%
Net Margin63.8%
FCF Margin44.3%
True FCF Margin43.3%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion69%
Accrual Ratio−2.4%
SBC % of FCF2.3%
SBC % of Rev1.0%
Reinvest. Rate41%
Sales Growth Y/Y+256.3%
Sales 3Y CAGR+104.6%
EPS Growth Y/Y+879.3%
FCF Growth Y/Y+3435.0%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+1.6%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$133.2B
Gross Profit (FY)$107.5B
Oper. Income (FY)$99.3B
GAAP Net Income$85.0B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$57.6B
Cash & Equiv$38.4B
Total Debt$3.3B
Net Cash (Debt)$35.1B
Net Cash % MCap+3.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.1y
Current Ratio3.311.13B sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−29.74%
Perf Month−39.67%
Perf Quarter−25.20%
Perf Half Y+1.51%
Perf YTD+46.38%
SMA 20 Dist−26.74%$895.96
SMA 50 Dist−32.09%$966.54
SMA 100 Dist−31.82%$962.73
Window High−45.91%$1,213.56
Window Low+46.38%$448.42
RSI (14) · Vol27.190%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of MU revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$30.8B
$15.5B
$25.1B
$37.4B
$133.2B
+256.3%
+44.3%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$16.9B
$17.0B
$19.5B
$22.5B
$25.7B
+14.1%
+11.1%
Gross Profit ▸
$13.9B
$-1.4B
$5.6B
$14.9B
$107.5B
+622.8%
+66.8%
Research & Development (R&D)
$3.1B
$3.1B
$3.4B
$3.8B
$5.7B
+48.8%
+16.0%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$1.1B
$920.0M
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.9B
+61.6%
+16.3%
Total Operating Expenses
$4.2B
$4.3B
$4.3B
$5.1B
$8.2B
+60.0%
+18.1%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$9.7B
$-5.7B
$1.3B
$9.8B
$99.3B
+916.8%
+78.9%
Interest Expense
$189.0M
$388.0M
$562.0M
$477.0M
$106.0M
−77.8%
−13.5%
Income Tax Expense
$888.0M
$177.0M
$451.0M
$1.1B
$14.8B
+1213.3%
+101.9%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$8.7B
$-5.8B
$778.0M
$8.5B
$85.0B
+895.1%
+76.8%
Diluted EPS ▸
$7.75
$-5.34
$0.70
$7.59
$74.33
+879.3%
+76.0%
Diluted Shares
1.12B
1.09B
1.12B
1.13B
1.14B
+1.6%
+0.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$8.3B
$8.7B
$7.1B
$9.6B
$38.4B
+298.0%
+46.5%
Inventory
$6.7B
$8.4B
$8.9B
$8.4B
$10.4B
+24.1%
+11.7%
Total Current Assets
$21.8B
$21.2B
$24.4B
$28.8B
$91.1B
+215.8%
+43.0%
Total Assets
$66.3B
$64.3B
$69.4B
$82.8B
$195.9B
+136.6%
+31.1%
Total Current Liabilities
$7.5B
$4.8B
$9.2B
$11.5B
$27.5B
+139.9%
+38.2%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$6.1B
$12.3B
$11.8B
$12.1B
$3.3B
−72.9%
−14.4%
Total Liabilities
$16.4B
$20.1B
$24.3B
$28.6B
$57.5B
+100.9%
+36.9%
Stockholders' Equity
$49.9B
$44.1B
$45.1B
$54.2B
$138.4B
+155.5%
+29.0%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$2.2B
$-3.7B
$-4.7B
$-2.4B
$35.1B
+1534.7%
+99.5%
Invested Capital
$47.7B
$47.8B
$49.9B
$56.6B
$103.3B
+82.4%
+21.3%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$15.2B
$1.6B
$8.5B
$17.5B
$89.7B
+411.7%
+55.9%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$7.1B
$7.8B
$7.8B
$8.4B
$9.5B
+13.8%
+7.5%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$514.0M
$596.0M
$833.0M
$972.0M
$1.3B
+37.1%
+26.9%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$12.1B
$7.7B
$8.4B
$15.9B
$30.7B
+93.7%
+26.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$3.1B
$-6.1B
$121.0M
$1.7B
$59.0B
+3435.0%
+108.6%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$2.6B
$-6.7B
$-712.0M
$696.0M
$57.6B
+8180.2%
+117.0%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$2.4B
$425.0M
$300.0M
$0
$650.0M
—
−28.1%
Dividends Paid
$461.0M
$504.0M
$513.0M
$522.0M
$610.0M
+16.9%
+7.3%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
21 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 9.50% from the one before, three times MU’s median day (3.17%). On 2 of the 21, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±9.50%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayMUWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 20, 2025−10.87%
Before our storiesgroup −3.7%, did not move with it
1Nov 20, 2025−10.87%
Before our stories
−3.7% did not move with itAMD −7.8 · INTC −4.2 · NVDA −3.1 · AVGO −2.1
2 Dec 18, 2025+10.21%
Resultsgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
2Dec 18, 2025+10.21%
ResultsFirst close after the Dec 17 results filing
+1.3% did not move with itNVDA +1.9 · AMD +1.5 · AVGO +1.2 · INTC +0.6
3 Jan 2, 2026+10.51%
Before our storiesgroup +2.8%, did not move with it
3Jan 2, 2026+10.51%
Before our stories
+2.8% did not move with itINTC +6.7 · AMD +4.3 · NVDA +1.3 · AVGO +0.4
4 Jan 6, 2026+10.02%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
4Jan 6, 2026+10.02%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itINTC +1.7 · AVGO +0.1 · NVDA −0.5 · AMD −3.0
5 Feb 4, 2026−9.55%
Before our storiesgroup −3.6%, did not move with it
5Feb 4, 2026−9.55%
Before our stories
−3.6% did not move with itAMD −17.3 · AVGO −3.8 · NVDA −3.4 · INTC −1.3
6 Feb 11, 2026+9.94%
Before our storiesgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
6Feb 11, 2026+9.94%
Before our stories
+0.7% did not move with itINTC +2.5 · NVDA +0.8 · AVGO +0.7 · AMD 0.0
7 Mar 30, 2026−9.92%
Before our storiesgroup −2.7%, did not move with it
7Mar 30, 2026−9.92%
Before our stories
−2.7% did not move with itINTC −4.5 · AMD −3.0 · AVGO −2.4 · NVDA −1.4
8 May 5, 2026+11.06%
Before our storiesgroup +3.3%, did not move with it
8May 5, 2026+11.06%
Before our stories
+3.3% did not move with itINTC +12.9 · AMD +4.0 · AVGO +2.6 · NVDA −1.0
9 May 8, 2026+15.49%
Before our storiesgroup +7.8%, moved with MU
9May 8, 2026+15.49%
Before our stories
+7.8% moved with MUINTC +14.0 · AMD +11.4 · AVGO +4.2 · NVDA +1.8
10 May 26, 2026+19.29%
Before our storiesgroup +2.5%, did not move with it
10May 26, 2026+19.29%
Before our stories
+2.5% did not move with itAMD +7.8 · INTC +3.1 · AVGO +1.9 · NVDA −0.2
11 Jun 5, 2026−13.25%
Before our storiesgroup −9.4%, moved with MU
11Jun 5, 2026−13.25%
Before our stories
−9.4% moved with MUINTC −11.3 · AMD −10.9 · AVGO −7.9 · NVDA −6.2
12 Jun 8, 2026+9.87%
Before our storiesgroup +4.0%, did not move with it
12Jun 8, 2026+9.87%
Before our stories
+4.0% did not move with itINTC +11.2 · AMD +5.1 · AVGO +2.8 · NVDA +1.7
13 Jun 11, 2026+11.66%
Nothing on MUgroup +5.8%, did not move with it
13Jun 11, 2026+11.66%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.8% did not move with itINTC +9.3 · AMD +8.0 · AVGO +3.6 · NVDA +2.2
14 Jun 15, 2026+10.84%
Nothing on MUgroup +3.3%, did not move with it
14Jun 15, 2026+10.84%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.3% did not move with itAMD +7.0 · NVDA +3.5 · AVGO +3.1 · INTC +2.6
15 Jun 23, 2026−13.18%
Nothing on MUgroup −5.0%, did not move with it
15Jun 23, 2026−13.18%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−5.0% did not move with itINTC −6.1 · AMD −5.8 · NVDA −4.1 · AVGO −3.1
+0.1% did not move with itAMD +2.5 · INTC +0.9 · AVGO −0.8 · NVDA −1.6
17 Jul 1, 2026−10.57%
Nothing on MUgroup −4.6%, did not move with it
17Jul 1, 2026−10.57%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.6% did not move with itINTC −9.0 · AMD −6.9 · AVGO −2.2 · NVDA −1.3
18 Jul 21, 2026+12.17%
Nothing on MUgroup +5.2%, did not move with it
18Jul 21, 2026+12.17%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.2% did not move with itINTC +8.6 · AMD +8.1 · AVGO +2.2 · NVDA +2.0
19 Jul 29, 2026−9.94%
Nothing on MUgroup −4.3%, did not move with it
19Jul 29, 2026−9.94%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.3% did not move with itAMD −5.5 · INTC −5.1 · NVDA −3.5 · AVGO −2.8
20 Jul 30, 2026+18.36%
Nothing on MUgroup +8.0%, did not move with it
20Jul 30, 2026+18.36%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+8.0% did not move with itAMD +13.0 · INTC +11.3 · AVGO +4.7 · NVDA +2.6
21 Nov 5, 2026−17.46%
Nothing on MU
21Nov 5, 2026−17.46%
Nothing on MUNo MU story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of NVDA, AVGO, AMD and INTC that day, the largest companies in MU’s SEC industry; “moved with MU” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). MU reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 2 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Dec 17, 2025
day 1+10.21%day 6+26.28%
Reported Mar 18, 2026
day 1−3.78%day 6−23.02%
Reported Jun 24, 2026
day 1+15.74%day 6−6.96%
Reported Sep 30, 2026
day 1+3.03%day 6−2.75%
Next report: expected mid-to-late DecemberEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Sep 30 report: −38.37%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is MU’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
MU against four chip peers, a year at 100
MU is up 2.8 times in a year. All four did less: Advanced Micro Devices (+73.2%), Intel (+37.0%), NVIDIA (+6.4%) and Broadcom (−6.8%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 2.8-fold rise and a 6.8% fall both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in MU’s SEC industry (Semiconductors & Related Devices) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.