What 2,772 earnings reports did to the stock
Every results release from the 685 US companies worth $10B or more on Oct 17, 2026, September 2025 to October 2026, and the stock's first close after it. Technology stocks moved 4.4 times as far as utilities stocks, and a big first move was usually still standing at the fifth close.
AlgoThesis · Oct 17, 2026 · Data: SEC 8-K filings · Closes: Data provided by Databento
Technology moved 4.4 times as far as utilities on earnings
Cite this study:Get the data (CSV)
- the median move, up or down, at the first close after a report
- 4.0%
- of reports came with a move of 5% or more
- 42%
- median move for technology, vs 1.6% for utilities
- 7.0%
- of 5%+ moves were on the same side at the fifth close
- 94%
the median move, up or down, at the first close after a report
of reports came with a move of 5% or more
median move for technology, vs 1.6% for utilities
of 5%+ moves were on the same side at the fifth close
How far the first close moved
On a report day the median stock in this set closed 4.0% away from where it closed before the release. A move of 5% or more came with 42% of reports, 10% or more with 16%, 20% or more with 3%. A few more closed higher than lower: 52.2% closed higher.
First close after the report vs the close before it
A big first move was usually still standing at the fifth close
At the fifth close after the report, the stock was still on the same side of its pre-report close 81% of the time. The bigger the first move, the more often it held: after a move of 10% or more, 97% were still on the same side. Small moves were closer to a coin toss: 62% after a move under 2%.
Still on the same side of the pre-report close at the fifth close
The biggest moves
Largest rises
| STRL Sterling Infrastructure | May 4, 2026 | +52.2% |
| DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings | May 5, 2026 | +40.4% |
| FLEX Flex | May 5, 2026 | +39.7% |
| SNOW Snowflake | May 27, 2026 | +36.5% |
| ORCL Oracle | Sep 9, 2025 | +36.0% |
| GMED Globus Medical | Nov 6, 2025 | +35.9% |
Largest falls
| SNPS Synopsys | Sep 9, 2025 | −35.8% |
| ZS Zscaler | May 26, 2026 | −31.5% |
| DKS Dick's Sporting Goods | Aug 25, 2026 | −30.7% |
| ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals | Jul 30, 2026 | −28.3% |
| RBLX Roblox | Jul 30, 2026 | −26.9% |
| U Unity Software | Feb 11, 2026 | −26.3% |
How this was measured
- Companies: 685 of the 715 companies worth $10B or more on Oct 17, 2026. Left out: 25 foreign companies that report on Form 6-K, not 8-K; 3 whose filings can't yet be paired with closes (a new ticker or holding company); 2 with no results 8-K in the period. A company that has since shrunk below $10B, been bought or delisted is not in the set, which can tilt the results toward stocks that did well.
- Reports: every SEC Form 8-K with Item 2.02 (results of operations). Updates filed shortly before a report, and a release followed by another within 60 days (preliminary numbers at a conference, an analyst day), are left out, so a quarter counts once.
- Move: the first end-of-day close after the SEC accepted the filing, against the close before it. A filing accepted after the close is measured on the next trading day.
- Fifth close: counting that first close as one. For a report filed before the open, that is four trading days after the report day.
- Sectors: the standard 11-sector scheme as AlgoThesis assigns it, with the S&P index lists as the reference; not the SEC industry code. A sector with fewer than 20 reports is not charted.
- Period: Sep 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026, the span our closes cover.
- Not included: analyst estimates, so nothing here says beat or miss. These are past moves, not a forecast and not advice.
- Data: SEC EDGAR filings. Closes: Data provided by Databento (end of day).
When every company reports: the earnings calendar →One company's reports, e.g. NVDA