O Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $59.501D +0.47%3M −3.86%SMA20 $56.50SMA50 $57.16RSI(14) 66.8
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$56.0B
Enterprise value$60.2B
Revenue$5.7B +9.1%
EPS, diluted$1.17 +19.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$56.0B
Enterprise Value$60.2B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales10.47
P / E (GAAP)52.93
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF14.03
P / Book1.40
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield—
FCF Yield—
Owner Earn. Yield—
Earnings Yield1.9%
Shareholder Yield+5.2%
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield5.41%
Dividend / sh$3.22
Payout Ratio276%
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$1.17
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40—
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE2.6%
ROA1.5%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin—
Net Margin18.4%
FCF Margin—
True FCF Margin—
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−4.0%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev0.5%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+9.1%
Sales 3Y CAGR+19.8%
EPS Growth Y/Y+19.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y—
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+5.2%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$5.7B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)—
GAAP Net Income$1.1B
True FCF (ex-SBC)—
Cash & Equiv$520.8M
Total Debt$4.7B
Net Cash (Debt)$-4.2B
Net Cash % MCap−7.4%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio—951.00M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+4.02%
Perf Month+11.53%
Perf Quarter−4.82%
Perf Half Y−3.71%
Perf YTD−8.35%
SMA 20 Dist+5.31%$56.50
SMA 50 Dist+4.10%$57.16
SMA 100 Dist−1.14%$60.19
Window High−9.51%$65.75
Window Low+11.53%$53.35
RSI (14) · Vol66.820%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of O revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$2.1B
$3.3B
$4.1B
$5.3B
$5.7B
+9.1%
+28.9%
Interest Expense
$323.6M
$465.2M
$730.4M
—
$730.4M
—
+22.6%
Income Tax Expense
$31.7M
$45.2M
$52.0M
$66.6M
$85.3M
+28.1%
+28.1%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$359.5M
$869.4M
$872.3M
$860.8M
$1.1B
+23.0%
+31.0%
Diluted EPS ▸
$0.87
$1.42
$1.26
$0.98
$1.17
+19.4%
+7.7%
Diluted Shares
414.8M
612.2M
693.0M
863.8M
908.3M
+5.2%
+21.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$332.4M
$226.9M
$292.2M
$495.5M
$520.8M
+5.1%
+11.9%
Total Assets
$43.1B
$49.7B
$57.8B
$68.8B
$72.8B
+5.8%
+14.0%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$4.7B
$4.7B
$4.7B
$4.7B
$4.7B
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Liabilities
$18.0B
$20.8B
$24.7B
$29.8B
$32.7B
+9.7%
+16.1%
Stockholders' Equity
$25.1B
$28.8B
$33.1B
$39.1B
$40.1B
+2.7%
+12.4%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-4.3B
$-4.4B
$-4.4B
$-4.2B
$-4.2B
+0.6%
—
Invested Capital
$29.5B
$33.3B
$37.5B
$43.2B
$44.3B
+2.4%
+10.7%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$1.3B
$2.6B
$3.0B
$3.6B
$4.0B
+11.8%
+31.8%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$897.8M
$1.7B
$1.9B
$2.4B
$2.5B
+5.4%
+29.5%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$41.8M
$21.6M
$26.2M
$57.5M
$30.8M
−46.5%
−7.4%
Dividends Paid
$1.2B
$1.8B
$2.1B
$2.7B
$2.9B
+8.5%
+25.7%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what O did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named O yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
11 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.11% from the one before, three times O’s median day (0.70%). On 5 of the 11, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.11%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayOWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 4, 2025−3.54%
Resultsgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
1Nov 4, 2025−3.54%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 3 results filing
+0.5% did not move with itEQIX −0.3 · PLD −0.2 · WELL +1.1 · AMT +2.1
2 Feb 18, 2026−2.14%
Before our storiesgroup −3.1%, moved with O
2Feb 18, 2026−2.14%
Before our stories
−3.1% moved with OAMT −3.4 · WELL −3.2 · EQIX −2.9 · PLD −1.5
3 Mar 20, 2026−2.70%
Before our storiesgroup −2.8%, moved with O
3Mar 20, 2026−2.70%
Before our stories
−2.8% moved with OWELL −4.9 · AMT −3.3 · PLD −2.4 · EQIX −1.6
4 May 7, 2026−3.47%
Resultsgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
4May 7, 2026−3.47%
ResultsFirst close after the May 6 results filing
−1.0% did not move with itEQIX −1.9 · WELL −1.6 · PLD −0.4 · AMT −0.2
5 Jun 1, 2026−2.82%
Before our storiesgroup −2.4%, moved with O
5Jun 1, 2026−2.82%
Before our stories
−2.4% moved with OWELL −3.9 · PLD −3.1 · EQIX −1.6 · AMT +0.3
6 Jun 17, 2026−2.57%
Nothing on Ogroup −2.5%, moved with O
6Jun 17, 2026−2.57%
Nothing on ONo O story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.5% moved with OPLD −3.5 · WELL −3.3 · AMT −1.8 · EQIX −0.6
7 Jul 2, 2026+3.27%
Nothing on Ogroup +0.9%, did not move with it
7Jul 2, 2026+3.27%
Nothing on ONo O story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.9% did not move with itWELL +2.5 · PLD +1.9 · AMT −0.0 · EQIX −1.1
8 Jul 16, 2026+3.94%
Nothing on Ogroup +1.8%, did not move with it
8Jul 16, 2026+3.94%
Nothing on ONo O story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% did not move with itPLD +4.6 · WELL +3.5 · AMT +0.2 · EQIX −1.3
9 Sep 16, 2026−2.66%
Nothing on Ogroup +0.0%, did not move with it
9Sep 16, 2026−2.66%
Nothing on ONo O story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.0% did not move with itPLD −1.6 · AMT −0.7 · WELL +0.8 · EQIX +0.9
10 Oct 22, 2026+3.09%
Nothing on Ogroup +0.3%, did not move with it
10Oct 22, 2026+3.09%
Nothing on ONo O story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.3% did not move with itAMT +2.2 · WELL +1.4 · PLD −0.7 · EQIX −4.3
11 Nov 4, 2026+2.99%
Nothing on Ogroup +3.4%, moved with O
11Nov 4, 2026+2.99%
Nothing on ONo O story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.4% moved with OAMT +4.0 · EQIX +3.9 · WELL +2.8 · PLD +1.8
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of WELL, PLD, EQIX and AMT that day, the largest companies in O’s SEC industry; “moved with O” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). O reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 3, 2025
day 1−3.54%day 6−1.79%
Reported Feb 24, 2026
day 1−0.80%day 6−0.78%
Reported May 6, 2026
day 1−3.47%day 6−3.20%
Reported Aug 5, 2026
day 1−0.54%day 6+0.40%
Next report: expected early-to-late FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 2 report: +2.85%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is O’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
O against four REIT peers, a year at 100
O is up 4.1% in a year. Welltower is up 30.3%, Equinix 27.8%, American Tower 9.5% and Prologis 4.6%. All four did more. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in O’s SEC industry (Real Estate Investment Trusts) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.