RTX Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $191.881D −3.30%3M −14.39%SMA20 $193.49SMA50 $193.90RSI(14) 46.4
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
2 stories have a settled next close so far (2 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$267.4B
EV / True FCF40.6x
Revenue$88.6B +9.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$7.4B +75.1%
Rule of 4018.7%
ROIC7.5%
True FCF Yield2.8%
EPS, diluted$4.96 +39.7%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$267.4B
Enterprise Value$301.0B
EV / True FCF40.57
EV / FCF37.91
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT32.37
EV / Sales3.40
P / E (GAAP)39.73
P / FCF33.68
P / Oper. CF25.31
P / Book3.99
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield2.8%
FCF Yield3.0%
Owner Earn. Yield3.0%
Earnings Yield2.5%
Shareholder Yield+1.2%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield1.39%
Dividend / sh$2.67
Payout Ratio53%
FCF / sh$5.88
EPS (diluted)$4.96
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4018.7%
ROIC7.5%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)7.9%
GP / Assets—
ROE10.0%
ROA3.9%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin10.5%
Net Margin7.6%
FCF Margin9.0%
True FCF Margin8.4%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion118%
Accrual Ratio−2.2%
SBC % of FCF6.5%
SBC % of Rev0.6%
Reinvest. Rate51%
Sales Growth Y/Y+9.7%
Sales 3Y CAGR+9.7%
EPS Growth Y/Y+39.7%
FCF Growth Y/Y+75.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR+17.6%
Share Change Y/Y+1.0%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$88.6B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$9.3B
GAAP Net Income$6.7B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$7.4B
Cash & Equiv$7.5B
Total Debt$41.1B
Net Cash (Debt)$-33.6B
Net Cash % MCap−12.6%
Debt / FCF (yrs)5.2y
Current Ratio1.031.35B sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−3.77%
Perf Month+6.45%
Perf Quarter−13.97%
Perf Half Y+8.54%
Perf YTD−2.00%
SMA 20 Dist−0.83%$193.49
SMA 50 Dist−1.04%$193.90
SMA 100 Dist−3.79%$199.43
Window High−14.91%$225.49
Window Low+12.09%$171.18
RSI (14) · Vol46.430%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of RTX revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$64.4B
$67.1B
$68.9B
$80.7B
$88.6B
+9.7%
+8.3%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
—
—
—
—
$31.0B
—
—
Research & Development (R&D)
$2.7B
$2.7B
$2.8B
$2.9B
$2.8B
−4.3%
+0.7%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$5.0B
$5.6B
$5.8B
$5.8B
$6.1B
+5.0%
+4.8%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$5.1B
$5.5B
$3.6B
$6.5B
$9.3B
+42.2%
+16.0%
Interest Expense
$1.3B
$1.3B
$1.5B
$1.9B
$1.9B
+0.0%
+8.9%
Income Tax Expense
$964.0M
$790.0M
$456.0M
$1.2B
$1.7B
+40.9%
+14.6%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$3.9B
$5.2B
$3.2B
$4.8B
$6.7B
+41.0%
+14.9%
Diluted EPS ▸
$2.56
$3.50
$2.23
$3.55
$4.96
+39.7%
+18.0%
Diluted Shares
1.51B
1.49B
1.44B
1.34B
1.36B
+1.0%
−2.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$7.9B
$6.3B
$6.6B
$5.6B
$7.5B
+33.3%
−1.2%
Inventory
$9.2B
$10.6B
$11.8B
$12.8B
$13.4B
+4.7%
+9.8%
Total Current Assets
$42.0B
$42.4B
$48.4B
$51.1B
$60.3B
+18.0%
+9.4%
Total Assets
$161.4B
$158.9B
$161.9B
$162.9B
$171.1B
+5.0%
+1.5%
Total Current Liabilities
$35.4B
$39.1B
$46.8B
$51.5B
$58.8B
+14.1%
+13.5%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$31.4B
$31.3B
$43.6B
$41.1B
$41.1B
+0.0%
+7.0%
Total Liabilities
$86.7B
$84.7B
$100.4B
$100.9B
$103.9B
+3.0%
+4.6%
Stockholders' Equity
$74.7B
$74.2B
$61.4B
$61.9B
$67.1B
+8.4%
−2.6%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-23.5B
$-25.0B
$-37.0B
$-35.5B
$-33.6B
+5.3%
—
Invested Capital
$98.2B
$99.2B
$98.4B
$97.4B
$100.7B
+3.4%
+0.6%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$7.1B
$7.2B
$7.9B
$7.2B
$10.6B
+47.6%
+10.3%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$4.6B
$4.1B
$4.2B
$4.4B
$4.4B
+0.3%
−1.0%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$442.0M
$420.0M
$425.0M
$437.0M
$519.0M
+18.8%
+4.1%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$2.1B
$2.3B
$2.4B
$2.6B
$2.6B
+0.1%
+5.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$5.0B
$4.9B
$5.5B
$4.5B
$7.9B
+75.1%
+12.2%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$4.6B
$4.5B
$5.0B
$4.1B
$7.4B
+81.1%
+12.9%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$2.3B
$2.8B
$12.9B
$444.0M
$50.0M
−88.7%
−61.7%
Dividends Paid
$3.0B
$3.1B
$3.2B
$3.2B
$3.6B
+11.1%
+4.9%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
25 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.66% from the one before, three times RTX’s median day (0.89%). On 13 of the 25, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.66%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayRTXWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Dec 1, 2025−3.94%
Before our storiesgroup −1.6%, did not move with it
1Dec 1, 2025−3.94%
Before our stories
−1.6% did not move with itSARO −3.8 · HEI −2.3 · HON −1.0 · TATT +1.5
2 Jan 12, 2026+2.84%
Before our storiesgroup +2.1%, moved with RTX
2Jan 12, 2026+2.84%
Before our stories
+2.1% moved with RTXSARO +3.6 · TATT +3.2 · HEI +0.9 · HON +0.6
3 Jan 20, 2026−2.75%
Before our storiesgroup −1.7%, moved with RTX
3Jan 20, 2026−2.75%
Before our stories
−1.7% moved with RTXHEI −2.3 · HON −2.0 · SARO −1.4 · TATT −0.2
4 Jan 27, 2026+3.68%
Resultsgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
4Jan 27, 2026+3.68%
ResultsFirst close after the Jan 27 results filing
+1.0% did not move with itTATT +2.5 · SARO +1.2 · HEI +0.7 · HON −0.1
5 Feb 4, 2026−3.32%
Before our storiesgroup −2.3%, moved with RTX
5Feb 4, 2026−3.32%
Before our stories
−2.3% moved with RTXHEI −2.9 · TATT −2.5 · SARO −2.1 · HON +1.9
6 Mar 2, 2026+4.71%
Before our storiesgroup +2.0%, did not move with it
6Mar 2, 2026+4.71%
Before our stories
+2.0% did not move with itHEI +3.1 · TATT +2.2 · HON +1.8 · SARO −0.2
7 Mar 3, 2026−2.66%
Before our storiesgroup −1.2%, did not move with it
7Mar 3, 2026−2.66%
Before our stories
−1.2% did not move with itSARO −3.3 · HON −1.7 · HEI −0.8 · TATT −0.7
8 Mar 6, 2026+2.89%
Before our storiesgroup −1.4%, did not move with it
8Mar 6, 2026+2.89%
Before our stories
−1.4% did not move with itHEI −1.2 · HON −1.3 · SARO −1.5 · TATT −2.0
9 Mar 31, 2026+3.07%
Before our storiesgroup +2.9%, moved with RTX
9Mar 31, 2026+3.07%
Before our stories
+2.9% moved with RTXTATT +6.9 · HEI +3.5 · SARO +2.4 · HON +1.1
10 Apr 8, 2026+2.81%
Before our storiesgroup +4.3%, moved with RTX
10Apr 8, 2026+2.81%
Before our stories
+4.3% moved with RTXHEI +6.5 · SARO +4.7 · HON +3.9 · TATT +2.9
11 Apr 21, 2026−4.40%
Resultsgroup −4.8%, moved with RTX
11Apr 21, 2026−4.40%
ResultsFirst close after the Apr 21 results filing
−4.8% moved with RTXSARO −6.3 · HEI −5.5 · TATT −4.2 · HON −3.3
12 Apr 22, 2026−3.34%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, moved with RTX
12Apr 22, 2026−3.34%
Before our stories
−1.9% moved with RTXSARO −3.0 · HEI −2.7 · HON −1.0 · TATT +3.6
13 Apr 24, 2026−2.81%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
13Apr 24, 2026−2.81%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itTATT −7.1 · HEI −1.8 · HON −0.6 · SARO +0.8
14 May 18, 2026+2.79%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, moved with RTX
14May 18, 2026+2.79%
Before our stories
+1.8% moved with RTXSARO +1.9 · HON +1.9 · HEI +1.6 · TATT +1.1
15 Jun 1, 2026−2.92%
Before our storiesgroup −3.2%, moved with RTX
15Jun 1, 2026−2.92%
Before our stories
−3.2% moved with RTXSARO −4.5 · HEI −4.3 · TATT −2.1 · HON −0.6
16 Jun 4, 2026+3.98%
Before our storiesgroup +1.9%, did not move with it
16Jun 4, 2026+3.98%
Before our stories
+1.9% did not move with itTATT +7.3 · SARO +2.6 · HEI +1.2 · HON −2.5
17 Jun 11, 2026+3.83%
Nothing on RTXgroup +6.1%, moved with RTX
17Jun 11, 2026+3.83%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+6.1% moved with RTXTATT +7.3 · HON +6.4 · HEI +5.7 · SARO +4.8
18 Jun 17, 2026+3.11%
Nothing on RTXgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
18Jun 17, 2026+3.11%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.9% did not move with itTATT +5.0 · SARO +1.2 · HEI +0.5 · HON −0.4
19 Jun 18, 2026−3.62%
Nothing on RTXgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
19Jun 18, 2026−3.62%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.2% did not move with itHEI −0.1 · HON +0.2 · SARO +2.2 · TATT +3.6
20 Jul 2, 2026+3.90%
Nothing on RTXgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
20Jul 2, 2026+3.90%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.5% did not move with itHON +3.7 · HEI +0.7 · SARO +0.4 · TATT −1.1
21 Jul 8, 2026−2.96%
Nothing on RTXgroup −3.7%, moved with RTX
21Jul 8, 2026−2.96%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.7% moved with RTXSARO −6.3 · TATT −4.5 · HEI −2.9 · HON −2.1
22 Jul 23, 2026+7.33%
Resultsgroup +2.1%, did not move with it
22Jul 23, 2026+7.33%
ResultsFirst close after the Jul 23 results filing
+2.1% did not move with itHON +5.7 · SARO +2.5 · TATT +1.7 · HEI +1.6
23 Aug 20, 2026−3.66%
Nothing on RTXgroup −4.0%, moved with RTX
23Aug 20, 2026−3.66%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.0% moved with RTXTATT −6.0 · SARO −4.4 · HEI −3.5 · HON −1.5
24 Oct 16, 2026+3.73%
Nothing on RTXgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
24Oct 16, 2026+3.73%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.0% did not move with itTATT +2.0 · SARO +1.5 · HON +0.4 · HEI +0.4
25 Oct 26, 2026+3.39%
Nothing on RTXgroup +3.1%, moved with RTX
25Oct 26, 2026+3.39%
Nothing on RTXNo RTX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.1% moved with RTXHEI +4.2 · TATT +3.3 · SARO +3.0 · HON −0.8
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of HON, HEI, SARO and TATT that day, the largest companies in RTX’s SEC industry; “moved with RTX” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). RTX reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Jan 27, 2026
day 1+3.68%day 6+4.83%
Reported Apr 21, 2026
day 1−4.40%day 6−10.27%
Reported Jul 23, 2026
day 1+7.33%day 6+10.01%
Reported Oct 20, 2026
day 1+0.64%day 6+1.30%
Next report: expected mid-to-late JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 20 report: +3.29%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is RTX’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
RTX against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
RTX is up 12.1% in a year. All four did less: Honeywell (+11.2%), Heico (+1.3%), StandardAero (−5.7%) and Tat Technologies (−7.7%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in RTX’s SEC industry (Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.