ACMR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $39.311D −11.52%3M −50.50%SMA20 $53.30SMA50 $65.64RSI(14) 23.8
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$3.0B
Enterprise value$2.5B
Revenue$901.3M +15.2%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-100.2M −195.2%
Rule of 407.8%
ROIC7.0%
True FCF Yield-3.3%
EPS, diluted$1.37 −10.5%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$3.0B
Enterprise Value$2.5B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit6.18
EV / EBIT22.61
EV / Sales2.74
P / E (GAAP)31.79
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book1.55
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-3.3%
FCF Yield-2.2%
Owner Earn. Yield0.6%
Earnings Yield3.1%
Shareholder Yield−1.1%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-4.70
EPS (diluted)$1.37
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 407.8%
ROIC7.0%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-4.7%
GP / Assets13.9%
ROE4.9%
ROA3.3%
Gross Margin44.4%
Oper. Margin12.1%
Net Margin10.4%
FCF Margin-7.4%
True FCF Margin-11.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion-71%
Accrual Ratio+3.6%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev3.7%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+15.2%
Sales 3Y CAGR+32.3%
EPS Growth Y/Y−10.5%
FCF Growth Y/Y−195.2%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+1.6%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$901.3M
Gross Profit (FY)$400.1M
Oper. Income (FY)$109.4M
GAAP Net Income$94.1M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-100.2M
Cash & Equiv$766.0M
Total Debt$249.1M
Net Cash (Debt)$516.9M
Net Cash % MCap+17.3%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio3.2714.18M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−20.25%
Perf Month−45.98%
Perf Quarter−53.09%
Perf Half Y−33.60%
Perf YTD−20.89%
SMA 20 Dist−26.24%$53.30
SMA 50 Dist−40.11%$65.64
SMA 100 Dist−49.41%$77.70
Window High−69.02%$126.89
Window Low0.00%$39.31
RSI (14) · Vol23.879%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of ACMR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-66.6M(-7.4% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$33.6M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-100.2M(-11.1% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$259.8MFY21
$388.8MFY22
$557.7MFY23
$782.1MFY24
$901.3MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$259.8M
$388.8M
$557.7M
$782.1M
$901.3M
+15.2%
+36.5%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$144.9M
$205.2M
$281.5M
$390.6M
$501.2M
+28.3%
+36.4%
Gross Profit ▸
$114.9M
$183.6M
$276.2M
$391.6M
$400.1M
+2.2%
+36.6%
Research & Development (R&D)
$34.2M
$62.2M
$92.7M
$105.5M
$145.0M
+37.5%
+43.5%
Total Operating Expenses
$76.2M
$124.6M
$180.4M
$240.6M
$290.6M
+20.8%
+39.8%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$38.7M
$59.0M
$95.8M
$151.0M
$109.4M
−27.5%
+29.7%
Interest Expense
$765,000
$1.7M
$2.7M
$4.2M
$7.0M
+67.5%
+73.6%
Income Tax Expense
$134,000
$16.8M
$19.4M
$35.0M
$13.3M
−62.0%
+215.6%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$37.8M
$39.3M
$77.3M
$103.6M
$94.1M
−9.2%
+25.6%
Diluted EPS ▸
$0.58
$0.59
$1.16
$1.53
$1.37
−10.5%
+24.0%
Diluted Shares
65.4M
65.3M
64.9M
66.2M
67.3M
+1.6%
+0.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$563.1M
$248.5M
$183.2M
$411.3M
$766.0M
+86.2%
+8.0%
Inventory
$218.1M
$393.2M
$545.4M
$598.0M
$702.6M
+17.5%
+34.0%
Total Current Assets
$952.9M
$963.8M
$1.2B
$1.5B
$2.4B
+64.3%
+26.5%
Total Assets
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.5B
$1.9B
$2.9B
+54.8%
+28.5%
Total Current Liabilities
$205.9M
$396.2M
$500.7M
$641.2M
$745.7M
+16.3%
+37.9%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$27.8M
$23.3M
$67.5M
$194.5M
$249.1M
+28.1%
+73.0%
Total Liabilities
$240.5M
$423.3M
$564.7M
$759.8M
$941.7M
+23.9%
+40.7%
Stockholders' Equity
$811.7M
$812.2M
$926.2M
$1.1B
$1.9B
+76.2%
+24.2%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$535.3M
$225.1M
$115.7M
$216.8M
$516.9M
+138.4%
−0.9%
Invested Capital
$276.4M
$587.1M
$810.5M
$879.1M
$1.4B
+60.8%
+50.4%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-40.1M
$-62.2M
$-75.3M
$152.4M
$-10.3M
−106.8%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$2.4M
$4.8M
$6.9M
$6.6M
$14.4M
+119.2%
+57.3%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$5.1M
$7.7M
$27.3M
$49.6M
$33.6M
−32.3%
+60.1%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$9.2M
$91.1M
$61.9M
$82.5M
$56.3M
−31.7%
+57.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-49.2M
$-153.3M
$-137.2M
$70.0M
$-66.6M
−195.2%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-54.4M
$-161.0M
$-164.5M
$20.4M
$-100.2M
−590.8%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
—
—
—
$0
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
22 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 8.77% from the one before, three times ACMR’s median day (2.92%). On 9 of the 22, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±8.77%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayACMRWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 5, 2025−19.95%
Resultsgroup +3.1%, did not move with it
1Nov 5, 2025−19.95%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 5 results filing
+3.1% did not move with itCRCT −5.2 · VECO +1.4 · ACLS +4.9 · LRCX +6.0
2 Jan 2, 2026+13.76%
Before our storiesgroup +7.0%, moved with ACMR
2Jan 2, 2026+13.76%
Before our stories
+7.0% moved with ACMRLRCX +8.1 · ACLS +7.2 · VECO +6.9 · CRCT −2.4
3 Feb 6, 2026+14.87%
Before our storiesgroup +5.8%, did not move with it
3Feb 6, 2026+14.87%
Before our stories
+5.8% did not move with itLRCX +8.3 · VECO +6.0 · ACLS +5.6 · CRCT +3.4
4 Feb 11, 2026+12.33%
Before our storiesgroup +3.4%, did not move with it
4Feb 11, 2026+12.33%
Before our stories
+3.4% did not move with itLRCX +3.8 · VECO +3.6 · ACLS +3.1 · CRCT −0.4
5 Feb 12, 2026−9.31%
Before our storiesgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
5Feb 12, 2026−9.31%
Before our stories
−1.3% did not move with itLRCX −1.6 · ACLS −1.4 · VECO −1.3 · CRCT +0.7
6 Feb 26, 2026−16.69%
Resultsgroup +2.8%, did not move with it
6Feb 26, 2026−16.69%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 26 results filing
+2.8% did not move with itLRCX −4.2 · CRCT +1.1 · ACLS +4.5 · VECO +7.8
7 Mar 3, 2026−9.75%
Before our storiesgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
7Mar 3, 2026−9.75%
Before our stories
−0.7% did not move with itLRCX −5.9 · ACLS −0.8 · VECO −0.6 · CRCT +0.5
8 Mar 26, 2026−9.76%
Before our storiesgroup −2.5%, did not move with it
8Mar 26, 2026−9.76%
Before our stories
−2.5% did not move with itLRCX −9.3 · VECO −2.5 · ACLS −2.5 · CRCT −2.0
9 Apr 8, 2026+10.09%
Before our storiesgroup +8.2%, moved with ACMR
9Apr 8, 2026+10.09%
Before our stories
+8.2% moved with ACMRLRCX +9.9 · VECO +8.4 · ACLS +8.0 · CRCT +2.7
10 May 26, 2026+17.87%
Before our storiesgroup +4.8%, did not move with it
10May 26, 2026+17.87%
Before our stories
+4.8% did not move with itLRCX +5.7 · VECO +4.9 · ACLS +4.7 · CRCT +1.5
11 Jun 2, 2026+12.03%
Before our storiesgroup +5.5%, did not move with it
11Jun 2, 2026+12.03%
Before our stories
+5.5% did not move with itVECO +6.6 · ACLS +5.6 · LRCX +5.5 · CRCT −5.5
12 Jun 5, 2026−15.43%
Before our storiesgroup −8.6%, moved with ACMR
12Jun 5, 2026−15.43%
Before our stories
−8.6% moved with ACMRLRCX −9.8 · ACLS −9.1 · VECO −8.2 · CRCT +0.2
13 Jun 11, 2026+14.68%
Nothing on ACMRgroup +9.4%, moved with ACMR
13Jun 11, 2026+14.68%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+9.4% moved with ACMRLRCX +12.7 · ACLS +10.3 · VECO +8.5 · CRCT +0.9
14 Jun 18, 2026+14.22%
Nothing on ACMRgroup +4.5%, did not move with it
14Jun 18, 2026+14.22%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.5% did not move with itACLS +6.9 · VECO +5.1 · LRCX +4.0 · CRCT +1.1
15 Jun 29, 2026+13.76%
Nothing on ACMRgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
15Jun 29, 2026+13.76%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.2% did not move with itLRCX +8.4 · ACLS +1.7 · VECO −2.1 · CRCT −4.1
16 Jul 2, 2026−16.55%
Nothing on ACMRgroup −14.3%, moved with ACMR
16Jul 2, 2026−16.55%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−14.3% moved with ACMRACLS −19.0 · VECO −18.5 · LRCX −10.2 · CRCT +0.2
17 Jul 21, 2026+15.45%
Nothing on ACMRgroup +6.9%, did not move with it
17Jul 21, 2026+15.45%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+6.9% did not move with itVECO +8.8 · ACLS +8.7 · LRCX +5.0 · CRCT −2.4
18 Jul 28, 2026−9.94%
Nothing on ACMRgroup −6.0%, moved with ACMR
18Jul 28, 2026−9.94%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−6.0% moved with ACMRLRCX −7.5 · ACLS −6.3 · VECO −5.8 · CRCT +4.8
19 Jul 29, 2026−9.33%
Nothing on ACMRgroup −6.1%, moved with ACMR
19Jul 29, 2026−9.33%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−6.1% moved with ACMRACLS −6.7 · LRCX −6.4 · VECO −5.9 · CRCT +2.0
20 Jul 30, 2026+20.44%
Nothing on ACMRgroup +12.1%, moved with ACMR
20Jul 30, 2026+20.44%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+12.1% moved with ACMRLRCX +18.0 · VECO +12.5 · ACLS +11.7 · CRCT −2.9
21 Oct 22, 2026−10.18%
Nothing on ACMRgroup −11.0%, moved with ACMR
21Oct 22, 2026−10.18%
Nothing on ACMRNo ACMR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−11.0% moved with ACMRVECO −11.8 · LRCX −11.8 · ACLS −10.2 · CRCT +1.3
22 Nov 5, 2026−11.52%
Resultsgroup −5.0%, did not move with it
22Nov 5, 2026−11.52%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 5 results filing
−5.0% did not move with itLRCX −16.4 · VECO −7.6 · ACLS −2.3 · CRCT +4.2
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of LRCX, ACLS, VECO and CRCT that day, the largest companies in ACMR’s SEC industry; “moved with ACMR” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). ACMR reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 5, 2025
day 1−19.95%day 6−13.08%
Reported Feb 26, 2026
day 1−16.69%day 6−29.44%
Reported May 7, 2026
day 1+6.90%day 6+14.10%
Reported Aug 7, 2026
day 1+6.10%day 6+1.82%
Next report: expected early-to-late FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 5 report: −11.52%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is ACMR’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
ACMR against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
ACMR is up 26.4% in a year. Cricut is up 93.9%. Of these four, Lam Research (+16.2%), Veeco Instruments (+9.3%) and Axcelis Technologies (+5.0%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in ACMR’s SEC industry (Special Industry Machinery, Nec) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.