DAR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $50.701D −3.06%3M −19.31%SMA20 $57.44SMA50 $61.27RSI(14) 25.5
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$8.3B
EV / True FCF15.1x
Revenue$6.1B +7.4%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$657.4M +34.0%
Rule of 4018.5%
ROIC4.9%
True FCF Yield8.0%
EPS, diluted$0.39 −77.5%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$8.3B
Enterprise Value$9.9B
EV / True FCF15.09
EV / FCF14.61
EV / Gross Profit6.73
EV / EBIT36.29
EV / Sales1.62
P / E (GAAP)131.41
P / FCF12.15
P / Oper. CF7.79
P / Book1.72
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield8.0%
FCF Yield8.2%
Owner Earn. Yield2.0%
Earnings Yield0.8%
Shareholder Yield+0.2%
Buyback Yield0.4%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$4.30
EPS (diluted)$0.39
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4018.5%
ROIC4.9%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)10.5%
GP / Assets14.3%
ROE1.3%
ROA0.6%
Gross Margin24.0%
Oper. Margin4.5%
Net Margin1.0%
FCF Margin11.1%
True FCF Margin10.7%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion1082%
Accrual Ratio−9.7%
SBC % of FCF3.2%
SBC % of Rev0.4%
Reinvest. Rate36%
Sales Growth Y/Y+7.4%
Sales 3Y CAGR−2.1%
EPS Growth Y/Y−77.5%
FCF Growth Y/Y+34.0%
FCF 3Y CAGR+17.2%
Share Change Y/Y−0.8%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$6.1B
Gross Profit (FY)$1.5B
Oper. Income (FY)$273.4M
GAAP Net Income$62.8M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$657.4M
Cash & Equiv$203.5M
Total Debt$1.9B
Net Cash (Debt)$-1.7B
Net Cash % MCap−20.2%
Debt / FCF (yrs)2.8y
Current Ratio1.50157.80M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−8.07%
Perf Month−15.53%
Perf Quarter−14.66%
Perf Half Y−18.58%
Perf YTD−14.18%
SMA 20 Dist−11.73%$57.44
SMA 50 Dist−17.25%$61.27
SMA 100 Dist−16.59%$60.78
Window High−25.81%$68.34
Window Low0.00%$50.70
RSI (14) · Vol25.535%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DAR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$679.2M(11.1% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$21.8M(3.2% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$657.4M(10.7% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$4.7BFY22
$6.5BFY22
$6.8BFY23
$5.7BFY24
$6.1BFY26
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$4.7B
$6.5B
$6.8B
$5.7B
$6.1B
+7.4%
+6.7%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$3.5B
$5.0B
$5.1B
$4.4B
$4.7B
+5.1%
+7.4%
Gross Profit ▸
—
$1.5B
$1.6B
$1.3B
$1.5B
+15.3%
−1.2%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$391.5M
$436.6M
$542.5M
$492.1M
$551.2M
+12.0%
+8.9%
Total Operating Expenses
—
$500.5M
$695.3M
$809.6M
$1.2B
+48.2%
+33.8%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$884.5M
$1.0B
$949.7M
$468.2M
$273.4M
−41.6%
−25.4%
Interest Expense
$62.1M
$125.6M
$259.2M
$253.9M
$222.3M
−12.4%
+37.6%
Income Tax Expense
$164.1M
$146.6M
$59.6M
$-38.3M
$-9.4M
+75.6%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$650.9M
$737.7M
$647.7M
$278.9M
$62.8M
−77.5%
−44.3%
Diluted EPS ▸
$3.90
$4.49
$3.99
$1.73
$0.39
−77.5%
−43.8%
Diluted Shares
167.1M
164.1M
162.4M
161.4M
160.2M
−0.8%
−1.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$69.1M
$150.2M
$264.4M
$217.3M
$203.5M
−6.3%
+31.0%
Inventory
$457.5M
$673.6M
$758.7M
$576.8M
$527.7M
−8.5%
+3.6%
Total Current Assets
$1.1B
$1.6B
$1.9B
$1.4B
$1.6B
+7.9%
+9.3%
Total Assets
$6.1B
$9.2B
$11.1B
$10.1B
$10.3B
+2.3%
+13.8%
Total Current Liabilities
$752.7M
$1.1B
$998.1M
$1.0B
$1.0B
−0.8%
+8.3%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$1.9B
$1.9B
$1.9B
$1.9B
$1.9B
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Liabilities
$2.8B
$5.3B
$6.4B
$5.6B
$5.5B
−2.1%
+18.5%
Stockholders' Equity
$3.3B
$3.9B
$4.7B
$4.5B
$4.8B
+7.7%
+9.5%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-1.8B
$-1.7B
$-1.6B
$-1.7B
$-1.7B
−0.8%
—
Invested Capital
$5.2B
$5.6B
$6.3B
$6.1B
$6.5B
+5.9%
+5.9%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$704.4M
$813.7M
$899.3M
$839.3M
$1.1B
+26.3%
+10.7%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$316.4M
$394.7M
$502.0M
$503.8M
$508.5M
+0.9%
+12.6%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$21.8M
$25.0M
$33.2M
$20.9M
$21.8M
+4.2%
−0.0%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$274.1M
$391.3M
$555.5M
$332.5M
$380.5M
+14.4%
+8.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$430.3M
$422.4M
$343.8M
$506.8M
$679.2M
+34.0%
+12.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$408.5M
$397.4M
$310.6M
$485.9M
$657.4M
+35.3%
+12.6%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$167.7M
$125.5M
$52.9M
$34.3M
$34.7M
+1.2%
−32.6%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what DAR did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named DAR yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
15 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 4.04% from the one before, three times DAR’s median day (1.35%). We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±4.04%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayDARWhat we hold that dayGroup
1 Nov 11, 2025+4.92%
Before our stories
1Nov 11, 2025+4.92%
Before our stories
No group that day
2 Nov 20, 2025−5.75%
Before our stories
2Nov 20, 2025−5.75%
Before our stories
No group that day
3 Nov 25, 2025+4.51%
Before our stories
3Nov 25, 2025+4.51%
Before our stories
No group that day
4 Dec 11, 2025+5.20%
Before our stories
4Dec 11, 2025+5.20%
Before our stories
No group that day
5 Jan 2, 2026+4.56%
Before our stories
5Jan 2, 2026+4.56%
Before our stories
No group that day
6 Jan 8, 2026+4.10%
Before our stories
6Jan 8, 2026+4.10%
Before our stories
No group that day
7 Jan 29, 2026+4.27%
Before our stories
7Jan 29, 2026+4.27%
Before our stories
No group that day
8 Mar 11, 2026+5.63%
Before our stories
8Mar 11, 2026+5.63%
Before our stories
No group that day
9 Jul 8, 2026+4.79%
Nothing on DAR
9Jul 8, 2026+4.79%
Nothing on DARNo DAR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
10 Jul 30, 2026+4.06%
Results
10Jul 30, 2026+4.06%
ResultsFirst close after the Jul 30 results filing
No group that day
11 Aug 6, 2026+4.69%
Nothing on DAR
11Aug 6, 2026+4.69%
Nothing on DARNo DAR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
12 Aug 10, 2026+5.76%
Nothing on DAR
12Aug 10, 2026+5.76%
Nothing on DARNo DAR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
13 Aug 24, 2026−5.20%
Nothing on DAR
13Aug 24, 2026−5.20%
Nothing on DARNo DAR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
14 Aug 28, 2026+4.77%
Nothing on DAR
14Aug 28, 2026+4.77%
Nothing on DARNo DAR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
15 Oct 22, 2026−5.84%
Results
15Oct 22, 2026−5.84%
ResultsFirst close after the Oct 22 results filing
No group that day
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). Day 1 is the first close after each filing: the next day’s for a filing after the close, the same day’s otherwise. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Feb 11, 2026
day 1+1.39%day 6+3.99%
Reported Apr 30, 2026
day 1+2.28%day 6−0.84%
Reported Jul 30, 2026
day 1+4.06%day 6+3.22%
Reported Oct 22, 2026
day 1−5.84%day 6−6.67%
Next report: expected late January to mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 22 report: −11.49%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is DAR’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
DAR against two same-industry peers, a year at 100
DAR is up 60.8% in a year. Both did less: Archer-Daniels-Midland (+24.3%) and Bunge Global (+2.4%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The two peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in DAR’s SEC industry (Fats & Oils) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.