HALO Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $122.961D −5.66%3M +19.82%SMA20 $123.63SMA50 $115.26RSI(14) 52.3
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$14.8B
EV / True FCF28.3x
Revenue$1.4B +37.6%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$593.0M +37.6%
Rule of 4083.8%
ROIC15.5%
True FCF Yield4.0%
EPS, diluted$2.56 −25.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$14.8B
Enterprise Value$16.8B
EV / True FCF28.33
EV / FCF26.06
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT35.82
EV / Sales12.03
P / E (GAAP)46.68
P / FCF22.95
P / Oper. CF22.70
P / Book303.06
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield4.0%
FCF Yield4.4%
Owner Earn. Yield1.8%
Earnings Yield2.1%
Shareholder Yield+2.0%
Buyback Yield2.3%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$5.65
EPS (diluted)$2.56
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4083.8%
ROIC15.5%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)31.4%
GP / Assets—
ROE649.2%
ROA12.5%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin33.6%
Net Margin22.7%
FCF Margin46.2%
True FCF Margin42.5%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion203%
Accrual Ratio−13.3%
SBC % of FCF8.0%
SBC % of Rev3.7%
Reinvest. Rate13%
Sales Growth Y/Y+37.6%
Sales 3Y CAGR+28.4%
EPS Growth Y/Y−25.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y+37.6%
FCF 3Y CAGR+39.9%
Share Change Y/Y−4.3%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$1.4B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$469.0M
GAAP Net Income$316.9M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$593.0M
Cash & Equiv$136.4M
Total Debt$2.1B
Net Cash (Debt)$-2.0B
Net Cash % MCap−13.6%
Debt / FCF (yrs)3.3y
Current Ratio4.66114.01M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−6.27%
Perf Month+10.98%
Perf Quarter+19.24%
Perf Half Y+88.62%
Perf YTD+76.74%
SMA 20 Dist−0.54%$123.63
SMA 50 Dist+6.68%$115.26
SMA 100 Dist+22.61%$100.28
Window High−6.27%$131.18
Window Low+94.99%$63.06
RSI (14) · Vol52.336%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of HALO revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$644.6M(46.2% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$51.6M(8.0% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$593.0M(42.5% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$443.3MFY21
$660.1MFY22
$829.3MFY23
$1.0BFY24
$1.4BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$443.3M
$660.1M
$829.3M
$1.0B
$1.4B
+37.6%
+33.2%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$81.4M
$139.3M
$192.4M
$159.4M
$228.8M
+43.5%
+29.5%
Research & Development (R&D)
$35.7M
$66.6M
$76.4M
$79.0M
$79.0M
+0.0%
+22.0%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$50.3M
$143.5M
$149.2M
$154.3M
$207.1M
+34.2%
+42.4%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$275.9M
$267.5M
$337.6M
$551.5M
$469.0M
−15.0%
+14.2%
Interest Expense
$7.5M
$16.9M
$18.8M
$18.1M
$18.1M
+0.2%
+24.6%
Income Tax Expense
$-154.2M
$46.8M
$66.7M
$113.0M
$150.0M
+32.7%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$402.7M
$202.1M
$281.6M
$444.1M
$316.9M
−28.6%
−5.8%
Diluted EPS ▸
$2.74
$1.44
$2.10
$3.43
$2.56
−25.4%
−1.7%
Diluted Shares
146.8M
140.6M
134.2M
129.4M
123.9M
−4.3%
−4.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$119.2M
$234.7M
$118.4M
$115.8M
$136.4M
+17.8%
+3.4%
Inventory
$53.9M
$100.1M
$127.6M
$141.9M
$176.5M
+24.4%
+34.5%
Total Current Assets
$926.3M
$739.0M
$746.4M
$1.1B
$825.2M
−24.0%
−2.8%
Total Assets
$1.1B
$1.8B
$1.7B
$2.1B
$2.5B
+22.4%
+23.0%
Total Current Liabilities
$117.1M
$130.8M
$112.5M
$139.1M
$177.1M
+27.3%
+10.9%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$876.7M
$1.5B
$1.5B
$1.5B
$2.1B
+42.3%
+25.0%
Total Liabilities
$3.5B
$1.7B
$1.6B
$1.7B
$2.5B
+45.7%
−8.5%
Stockholders' Equity
$197.0M
$169.8M
$83.8M
$363.8M
$48.8M
−86.6%
−29.4%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-757.5M
$-1.3B
$-1.4B
$-1.4B
$-2.0B
−44.3%
—
Invested Capital
$954.4M
$1.5B
$1.5B
$1.8B
$2.1B
+17.2%
+21.1%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$299.4M
$240.1M
$388.6M
$479.1M
$651.6M
+36.0%
+21.5%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$3.0M
$6.5M
$11.1M
$10.3M
$11.4M
+11.0%
+39.6%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$20.8M
$24.4M
$36.6M
$43.4M
$51.6M
+18.9%
+25.4%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$1.5M
$4.8M
$15.3M
$10.7M
$7.0M
−34.8%
+47.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$298.0M
$235.3M
$373.3M
$468.4M
$644.6M
+37.6%
+21.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$277.2M
$210.9M
$336.7M
$425.0M
$593.0M
+39.5%
+20.9%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$350.1M
$200.0M
$402.4M
$250.0M
$342.4M
+36.9%
−0.6%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
19 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.66% from the one before, three times HALO’s median day (1.22%). On 8 of the 19, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.66%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayHALOWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 24, 2025+5.20%
Before our storiesgroup −0.0%, did not move with it
1Nov 24, 2025+5.20%
Before our stories
−0.0% did not move with itMRNA +1.8 · BIIB +0.9 · AMGN −1.0 · GILD −1.1
2 Dec 1, 2025−4.62%
Before our storiesgroup −2.3%, moved with HALO
2Dec 1, 2025−4.62%
Before our stories
−2.3% moved with HALOMRNA −7.0 · BIIB −2.4 · AMGN −2.3 · GILD −1.2
3 Jan 2, 2026+4.47%
Before our storiesgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
3Jan 2, 2026+4.47%
Before our stories
+0.6% did not move with itMRNA +4.7 · BIIB +1.0 · AMGN +0.1 · GILD −0.9
4 Jan 8, 2026−3.97%
Before our storiesgroup −3.2%, moved with HALO
4Jan 8, 2026−3.97%
Before our stories
−3.2% moved with HALOMRNA −5.7 · AMGN −3.4 · GILD −3.0 · BIIB −0.5
5 Jan 28, 2026+3.72%
Before our storiesgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
5Jan 28, 2026+3.72%
Before our stories
−0.6% did not move with itBIIB +0.4 · MRNA −0.3 · GILD −0.9 · AMGN −2.6
6 Feb 2, 2026+3.82%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
6Feb 2, 2026+3.82%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itAMGN +0.8 · GILD +0.7 · BIIB −0.4 · MRNA −3.5
7 Feb 18, 2026−9.01%
Resultsgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
7Feb 18, 2026−9.01%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 17 results filing
+0.5% did not move with itGILD −1.6 · BIIB −0.8 · AMGN +1.7 · MRNA +6.1
8 Mar 5, 2026−3.80%
Before our storiesgroup −2.6%, moved with HALO
8Mar 5, 2026−3.80%
Before our stories
−2.6% moved with HALOMRNA −6.9 · AMGN −3.1 · GILD −2.1 · BIIB −1.0
9 Mar 12, 2026−4.39%
Before our storiesgroup −2.8%, moved with HALO
9Mar 12, 2026−4.39%
Before our stories
−2.8% moved with HALOMRNA −4.6 · BIIB −2.9 · AMGN −2.6 · GILD −0.5
10 Mar 31, 2026+4.02%
Before our storiesgroup +1.5%, did not move with it
10Mar 31, 2026+4.02%
Before our stories
+1.5% did not move with itMRNA +5.3 · GILD +2.2 · AMGN +0.8 · BIIB −2.3
11 Apr 17, 2026+3.98%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
11Apr 17, 2026+3.98%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itAMGN +1.7 · BIIB +0.8 · GILD −0.7 · MRNA −1.8
12 May 12, 2026+6.81%
Resultsgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
12May 12, 2026+6.81%
ResultsFirst close after the May 11 results filing
+0.9% did not move with itAMGN +2.0 · GILD +1.1 · MRNA +0.7 · BIIB +0.7
13 Jun 3, 2026+5.34%
Before our storiesgroup +3.4%, moved with HALO
13Jun 3, 2026+5.34%
Before our stories
+3.4% moved with HALOMRNA +7.5 · BIIB +3.8 · AMGN +3.0 · GILD +1.1
14 Jul 23, 2026+3.88%
Nothing on HALOgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
14Jul 23, 2026+3.88%
Nothing on HALONo HALO story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.9% did not move with itAMGN +1.5 · BIIB +1.5 · GILD +0.4 · MRNA −1.8
15 Aug 7, 2026+20.24%
Resultsgroup +1.7%, did not move with it
15Aug 7, 2026+20.24%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 6 results filing
+1.7% did not move with itMRNA +9.9 · GILD +1.8 · AMGN +1.5 · BIIB +0.8
16 Aug 17, 2026+4.40%
Nothing on HALOgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
16Aug 17, 2026+4.40%
Nothing on HALONo HALO story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.7% did not move with itMRNA +1.8 · AMGN +1.0 · GILD +0.4 · BIIB −0.3
17 Oct 14, 2026+6.57%
Nothing on HALOgroup +3.5%, moved with HALO
17Oct 14, 2026+6.57%
Nothing on HALONo HALO story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.5% moved with HALOMRNA +4.7 · GILD +3.8 · AMGN +3.2 · BIIB +1.7
18 Oct 15, 2026+4.01%
Nothing on HALOgroup +2.2%, moved with HALO
18Oct 15, 2026+4.01%
Nothing on HALONo HALO story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.2% moved with HALOMRNA +4.5 · GILD +2.5 · AMGN +1.9 · BIIB +1.1
19 Nov 5, 2026−5.66%
Nothing on HALOgroup −4.0%, moved with HALO
19Nov 5, 2026−5.66%
Nothing on HALONo HALO story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.0% moved with HALOMRNA −6.5 · BIIB −4.1 · GILD −4.0 · AMGN −3.8
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AMGN, GILD, MRNA and BIIB that day, the largest companies in HALO’s SEC industry; “moved with HALO” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). HALO reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 3, 2025
day 1+2.79%day 6+5.94%
Reported Feb 17, 2026
day 1−9.01%day 6−12.59%
Reported May 11, 2026
day 1+6.81%day 6+3.49%
Reported Aug 6, 2026
day 1+20.24%day 6+15.04%
Next report: expected early-to-mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is HALO’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
HALO against four biotech peers, a year at 100
HALO is up 80.2% in a year. Moderna is up 9.8 times. Of these four, Biogen (+56.9%), Amgen (+43.8%) and Gilead Sciences (+41.0%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 9.8-fold rise and a 41.0% rise both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in HALO’s SEC industry (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.