OVV Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $60.911D −2.85%3M −4.17%SMA20 $68.33SMA50 $64.92RSI(14) 34.5
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$17.3B
EV / True FCF16.1x
Revenue$8.9B −2.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.4B +6.1%
Rule of 4014.2%
ROIC10.6%
True FCF Yield8.4%
EPS, diluted$4.78 +13.5%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$17.3B
Enterprise Value$23.3B
EV / True FCF16.06
EV / FCF15.45
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT20.56
EV / Sales2.61
P / E (GAAP)13.91
P / FCF11.48
P / Oper. CF4.73
P / Book1.54
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield8.4%
FCF Yield8.7%
Owner Earn. Yield7.0%
Earnings Yield7.2%
Shareholder Yield+3.2%
Buyback Yield1.8%
Dividend Yield1.97%
Dividend / sh$1.20
Payout Ratio25%
FCF / sh$5.60
EPS (diluted)$4.78
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4014.2%
ROIC10.6%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)8.8%
GP / Assets—
ROE11.1%
ROA6.1%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin12.7%
Net Margin13.9%
FCF Margin16.9%
True FCF Margin16.3%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion121%
Accrual Ratio−11.8%
SBC % of FCF3.8%
SBC % of Rev0.6%
Reinvest. Rate59%
Sales Growth Y/Y−2.7%
Sales 3Y CAGR−14.5%
EPS Growth Y/Y+13.5%
FCF Growth Y/Y+6.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR−9.6%
Share Change Y/Y−2.9%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$8.9B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$1.1B
GAAP Net Income$1.2B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.4B
Cash & Equiv$35.0M
Total Debt$6.0B
Net Cash (Debt)$-6.0B
Net Cash % MCap−34.6%
Debt / FCF (yrs)4.0y
Current Ratio0.54268.71M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−14.89%
Perf Month−0.86%
Perf Quarter+2.61%
Perf Half Y+4.46%
Perf YTD+13.96%
SMA 20 Dist−10.86%$68.33
SMA 50 Dist−6.18%$64.92
SMA 100 Dist−1.58%$61.88
Window High−16.13%$72.62
Window Low+17.18%$51.98
RSI (14) · Vol34.545%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of OVV revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$10.5B
$14.3B
$10.9B
$9.2B
$8.9B
−2.7%
−4.0%
Total Operating Expenses
$7.1B
$8.6B
$8.0B
$7.6B
$7.8B
+2.7%
+2.2%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$1.5B
$3.9B
$2.9B
$1.6B
$1.1B
−28.4%
−7.1%
Interest Expense
$340.0M
$311.0M
$355.0M
$412.0M
$376.0M
−8.7%
+2.5%
Income Tax Expense
$-177.0M
$-77.0M
$425.0M
$226.0M
$-472.0M
−308.8%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$1.4B
$3.6B
$2.1B
$1.1B
$1.2B
+10.4%
−3.2%
Diluted EPS ▸
$5.32
$14.08
$7.90
$4.21
$4.78
+13.5%
−2.6%
Diluted Shares
266.4M
258.4M
263.9M
267.4M
259.7M
−2.9%
−0.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$195.0M
$5.0M
$3.0M
$42.0M
$35.0M
−16.7%
−34.9%
Total Current Assets
$1.6B
$1.7B
$1.7B
$1.4B
$1.5B
+11.2%
−1.0%
Total Assets
$14.1B
$15.1B
$20.0B
$19.3B
$20.4B
+5.9%
+9.7%
Total Current Liabilities
$2.7B
$2.8B
$2.8B
$2.7B
$2.8B
+4.3%
+0.4%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$4.8B
$4.0B
$6.0B
$6.1B
$6.0B
−0.7%
+5.9%
Total Liabilities
$9.0B
$7.4B
$9.6B
$8.9B
$9.2B
+3.0%
+0.6%
Stockholders' Equity
$5.1B
$7.7B
$10.4B
$10.3B
$11.2B
+8.4%
+21.9%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-4.6B
$-4.0B
$-6.0B
$-6.0B
$-6.0B
+0.6%
—
Invested Capital
$9.7B
$11.6B
$16.4B
$16.3B
$17.2B
+5.1%
+15.5%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$3.1B
$3.9B
$4.2B
$3.7B
$3.7B
−1.9%
+3.9%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$1.2B
$1.1B
$1.8B
$2.3B
$2.2B
−4.8%
+16.3%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$138.0M
$202.0M
$47.0M
$66.0M
$57.0M
−13.6%
−19.8%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$1.5B
$1.8B
$2.7B
$2.3B
$2.1B
−6.8%
+9.0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$1.6B
$2.0B
$1.4B
$1.4B
$1.5B
+6.1%
−1.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$1.5B
$1.8B
$1.4B
$1.4B
$1.4B
+7.1%
−0.4%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$111.0M
$719.0M
$426.0M
$597.0M
$307.0M
−48.6%
+29.0%
Dividends Paid
$122.0M
$239.0M
$307.0M
$316.0M
$308.0M
−2.5%
+26.1%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what OVV did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named OVV yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
16 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 4.48% from the one before, three times OVV’s median day (1.49%). On 15 of the 16, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±4.48%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayOVVWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Dec 16, 2025−4.99%
Before our storiesgroup −3.2%, moved with OVV
1Dec 16, 2025−4.99%
Before our stories
−3.2% moved with OVVEOG −3.9 · FANG −3.3 · OXY −3.2 · DVN −3.0
2 Jan 8, 2026+4.60%
Before our storiesgroup +4.9%, moved with OVV
2Jan 8, 2026+4.60%
Before our stories
+4.9% moved with OVVOXY +5.5 · FANG +5.1 · DVN +4.7 · EOG +2.9
3 Feb 4, 2026+4.53%
Before our storiesgroup +3.8%, moved with OVV
3Feb 4, 2026+4.53%
Before our stories
+3.8% moved with OVVDVN +5.5 · EOG +3.8 · FANG +3.8 · OXY +3.2
4 Feb 18, 2026+6.51%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, did not move with it
4Feb 18, 2026+6.51%
Before our stories
+2.3% did not move with itFANG +3.2 · OXY +2.5 · EOG +2.1 · DVN +0.9
5 Apr 8, 2026−6.50%
Before our storiesgroup −4.3%, moved with OVV
5Apr 8, 2026−6.50%
Before our stories
−4.3% moved with OVVOXY −5.0 · FANG −4.6 · DVN −4.1 · EOG −3.6
6 Apr 17, 2026−5.22%
Before our storiesgroup −3.8%, moved with OVV
6Apr 17, 2026−5.22%
Before our stories
−3.8% moved with OVVOXY −5.4 · EOG −4.2 · FANG −3.4 · DVN −3.4
7 Apr 29, 2026+4.50%
Before our storiesgroup +2.9%, moved with OVV
7Apr 29, 2026+4.50%
Before our stories
+2.9% moved with OVVOXY +3.7 · DVN +3.2 · FANG +2.6 · EOG +2.5
8 May 6, 2026−5.04%
Before our storiesgroup −6.3%, moved with OVV
8May 6, 2026−5.04%
Before our stories
−6.3% moved with OVVDVN −8.6 · OXY −7.1 · FANG −5.4 · EOG −4.3
9 Jun 15, 2026−5.47%
Nothing on OVVgroup −3.5%, moved with OVV
9Jun 15, 2026−5.47%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.5% moved with OVVDVN −3.9 · OXY −3.7 · EOG −3.4 · FANG −1.1
10 Jul 27, 2026−4.83%
Nothing on OVVgroup −4.2%, moved with OVV
10Jul 27, 2026−4.83%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.2% moved with OVVFANG −4.3 · DVN −4.2 · EOG −4.2 · OXY −4.1
11 Aug 5, 2026−4.59%
Nothing on OVVgroup −3.7%, moved with OVV
11Aug 5, 2026−4.59%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.7% moved with OVVEOG −6.5 · DVN −4.5 · FANG −3.0 · OXY −2.3
12 Aug 10, 2026+7.08%
Nothing on OVVgroup +5.5%, moved with OVV
12Aug 10, 2026+7.08%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.5% moved with OVVFANG +5.8 · EOG +5.5 · DVN +5.5 · OXY +4.9
13 Sep 16, 2026−6.27%
Nothing on OVVgroup −6.1%, moved with OVV
13Sep 16, 2026−6.27%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−6.1% moved with OVVFANG −8.0 · OXY −6.5 · EOG −5.7 · DVN −5.6
14 Oct 16, 2026+4.84%
Nothing on OVVgroup +3.3%, moved with OVV
14Oct 16, 2026+4.84%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.3% moved with OVVFANG +4.3 · EOG +3.5 · DVN +3.0 · OXY +2.8
15 Nov 2, 2026−6.66%
Nothing on OVVgroup −5.5%, moved with OVV
15Nov 2, 2026−6.66%
Nothing on OVVNo OVV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−5.5% moved with OVVDVN −6.8 · FANG −5.8 · OXY −5.1 · EOG −4.6
16 Nov 4, 2026−5.61%
Resultsgroup −5.2%, moved with OVV
16Nov 4, 2026−5.61%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 3 results filing
−5.2% moved with OVVDVN −7.3 · EOG −5.2 · OXY −5.1 · FANG −4.9
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of EOG, OXY, FANG and DVN that day, the largest companies in OVV’s SEC industry; “moved with OVV” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). OVV reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 1 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 4, 2025
day 1−1.74%day 6+2.52%
Reported Feb 23, 2026
day 1−1.46%day 6+1.89%
Reported May 11, 2026
day 1−1.69%day 6+3.05%
Reported Jul 23, 2026
day 1+2.83%day 6+1.74%
Next report: expected early-to-late FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 3 report: −8.31%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is OVV’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
OVV against four oil and gas peers, a year at 100
OVV is up 56.7% in a year. All four did less: EOG Resources (+37.4%), Occidental Petroleum (+36.4%), Devon Energy (+27.2%) and Diamondback Energy (+25.0%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in OVV’s SEC industry (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.