RIG Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $5.101D −6.42%3M −10.84%SMA20 $5.99SMA50 $5.75RSI(14) 35.5
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$6.1B
EV / True FCF24.7x
Revenue$4.0B +12.5%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$591.0M +224.4%
Rule of 4028.3%
ROIC-13.9%
True FCF Yield9.7%
EPS, diluted$-3.04 −300.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$6.1B
Enterprise Value$14.6B
EV / True FCF24.69
EV / FCF23.31
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales3.68
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF9.72
P / Oper. CF8.13
P / Book0.75
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield9.7%
FCF Yield10.3%
Owner Earn. Yield-39.7%
Earnings Yield-47.9%
Shareholder Yield+3.4%
Buyback Yield3.9%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$0.56
EPS (diluted)$-3.04
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4028.3%
ROIC-13.9%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)3.8%
GP / Assets—
ROE-36.0%
ROA-18.6%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin-58.9%
Net Margin-73.5%
FCF Margin15.8%
True FCF Margin14.9%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−23.4%
SBC % of FCF5.6%
SBC % of Rev0.9%
Reinvest. Rate16%
Sales Growth Y/Y+12.5%
Sales 3Y CAGR+15.5%
EPS Growth Y/Y−300.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y+224.4%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+3.8%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$4.0B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$-2.3B
GAAP Net Income$-2.9B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$591.0M
Cash & Equiv$997.0M
Total Debt$9.5B
Net Cash (Debt)$-8.5B
Net Cash % MCap−139.7%
Debt / FCF (yrs)15.2y
Current Ratio1.561.12B sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−23.77%
Perf Month−5.38%
Perf Quarter−3.04%
Perf Half Y−17.34%
Perf YTD−13.41%
SMA 20 Dist−14.80%$5.99
SMA 50 Dist−11.28%$5.75
SMA 100 Dist−8.03%$5.55
Window High−32.72%$7.58
Window Low+4.72%$4.87
RSI (14) · Vol35.569%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of RIG revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$626.0M(15.8% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$35.0M(5.6% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$591.0M(14.9% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$2.6BFY21
$2.6BFY22
$2.8BFY23
$3.5BFY24
$4.0BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$2.6B
$2.6B
$2.8B
$3.5B
$4.0B
+12.5%
+11.6%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$1.7B
$1.7B
$2.0B
$2.2B
$2.4B
+9.4%
+9.1%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-112.0M
$-31.0M
$-325.0M
$-417.0M
$-2.3B
−460.4%
—
Interest Expense
$447.0M
$561.0M
$646.0M
$362.0M
$555.0M
+53.3%
+5.6%
Income Tax Expense
$121.0M
$59.0M
$13.0M
$-11.0M
$-33.0M
−200.0%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-592.0M
$-621.0M
$-954.0M
$-512.0M
$-2.9B
−469.3%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-0.93
$-0.89
$-1.24
$-0.76
$-3.04
−300.0%
—
Diluted Shares
637.0M
699.0M
768.0M
925.0M
960.0M
+3.8%
+10.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$1.4B
$991.0M
$995.0M
$941.0M
$997.0M
+6.0%
−8.3%
Total Current Assets
$2.4B
$2.0B
$2.1B
$2.5B
$2.1B
−15.1%
−3.9%
Total Assets
$20.7B
$20.4B
$20.3B
$19.4B
$15.6B
−19.3%
−6.7%
Total Current Liabilities
$1.3B
$1.6B
$1.4B
$1.7B
$1.3B
−19.7%
+0.6%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$9.6B
$9.8B
$9.4B
$9.7B
$9.5B
−2.5%
−0.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$11.2B
$10.8B
$10.4B
$10.3B
$8.1B
−21.2%
−7.8%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-8.2B
$-8.8B
$-8.4B
$-8.8B
$-8.5B
+3.4%
—
Invested Capital
$19.4B
$19.6B
$18.8B
$19.1B
$16.6B
−13.0%
−3.8%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$575.0M
$448.0M
$164.0M
$447.0M
$749.0M
+67.6%
+6.8%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$742.0M
$735.0M
$744.0M
$739.0M
$659.0M
−10.8%
−2.9%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$28.0M
$29.0M
$40.0M
$47.0M
$35.0M
−25.5%
+5.7%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$208.0M
$717.0M
$427.0M
$254.0M
$123.0M
−51.6%
−12.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$367.0M
$-269.0M
$-263.0M
$193.0M
$626.0M
+224.4%
+14.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$339.0M
$-298.0M
$-303.0M
$146.0M
$591.0M
+304.8%
+14.9%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
—
—
—
—
$240.0M
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what RIG did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named RIG yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
26 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 5.46% from the one before, three times RIG’s median day (1.82%). On 19 of the 26, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±5.46%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayRIGWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 10, 2025+5.53%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
1Nov 10, 2025+5.53%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itVAL +2.9 · HP +2.4 · PTEN +1.1 · NE −0.2
2 Nov 20, 2025−6.34%
Before our storiesgroup −3.6%, moved with RIG
2Nov 20, 2025−6.34%
Before our stories
−3.6% moved with RIGHP −4.0 · PTEN −3.7 · VAL −3.4 · NE −1.8
3 Nov 26, 2025+6.17%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
3Nov 26, 2025+6.17%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itHP +0.5 · VAL −0.1 · NE −0.2 · PTEN −0.5
4 Dec 16, 2025−5.88%
Before our storiesgroup −5.7%, moved with RIG
4Dec 16, 2025−5.88%
Before our stories
−5.7% moved with RIGVAL −7.2 · NE −5.8 · HP −5.5 · PTEN −5.3
5 Jan 21, 2026+7.67%
Before our storiesgroup +3.3%, did not move with it
5Jan 21, 2026+7.67%
Before our stories
+3.3% did not move with itPTEN +3.8 · NE +3.4 · HP +3.2 · VAL +1.0
6 Feb 4, 2026+7.23%
Before our storiesgroup +3.9%, moved with RIG
6Feb 4, 2026+7.23%
Before our stories
+3.9% moved with RIGVAL +5.8 · NE +5.3 · HP +2.6 · PTEN +1.8
7 Feb 5, 2026−7.49%
Before our storiesgroup −4.5%, moved with RIG
7Feb 5, 2026−7.49%
Before our stories
−4.5% moved with RIGVAL −6.3 · HP −5.2 · NE −3.8 · PTEN +2.8
8 Feb 6, 2026+9.11%
Before our storiesgroup +6.0%, moved with RIG
8Feb 6, 2026+9.11%
Before our stories
+6.0% moved with RIGVAL +7.2 · PTEN +6.0 · NE +5.9 · HP +4.2
9 Feb 9, 2026+5.94%
Before our storiesgroup +3.6%, moved with RIG
9Feb 9, 2026+5.94%
Before our stories
+3.6% moved with RIGVAL +34.3 · NE +6.8 · PTEN +0.5 · HP −0.7
10 Feb 11, 2026+10.29%
Before our storiesgroup +4.4%, did not move with it
10Feb 11, 2026+10.29%
Before our stories
+4.4% did not move with itVAL +10.8 · NE +5.1 · PTEN +3.6 · HP +0.3
11 Feb 13, 2026+8.46%
Before our storiesgroup +4.3%, moved with RIG
11Feb 13, 2026+8.46%
Before our stories
+4.3% moved with RIGVAL +8.0 · NE +7.6 · HP +1.0 · PTEN −0.5
12 Feb 17, 2026−6.12%
Before our storiesgroup −3.7%, moved with RIG
12Feb 17, 2026−6.12%
Before our stories
−3.7% moved with RIGVAL −7.3 · NE −5.1 · PTEN −2.2 · HP +0.3
13 Mar 17, 2026+6.13%
Before our storiesgroup +4.4%, moved with RIG
13Mar 17, 2026+6.13%
Before our stories
+4.4% moved with RIGVAL +6.3 · PTEN +5.7 · NE +3.1 · HP +2.8
14 Apr 14, 2026−7.08%
Before our storiesgroup −5.5%, moved with RIG
14Apr 14, 2026−7.08%
Before our stories
−5.5% moved with RIGVAL −7.1 · PTEN −6.4 · HP −4.6 · NE −3.7
15 Apr 17, 2026−6.46%
Before our storiesgroup −5.0%, moved with RIG
15Apr 17, 2026−6.46%
Before our stories
−5.0% moved with RIGPTEN −9.5 · VAL −6.3 · HP −3.7 · NE −3.6
16 Apr 27, 2026+6.71%
Before our storiesgroup +4.0%, moved with RIG
16Apr 27, 2026+6.71%
Before our stories
+4.0% moved with RIGNE +8.2 · VAL +6.8 · PTEN +1.1 · HP +0.8
17 May 5, 2026−9.16%
Resultsgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
17May 5, 2026−9.16%
ResultsFirst close after the May 4 results filing
−0.5% did not move with itVAL −9.5 · NE −1.9 · PTEN +1.0 · HP +2.2
18 May 18, 2026+7.67%
Before our storiesgroup +4.3%, moved with RIG
18May 18, 2026+7.67%
Before our stories
+4.3% moved with RIGVAL +7.6 · HP +5.1 · PTEN +3.5 · NE +2.8
19 May 21, 2026−7.08%
Before our storiesgroup −3.1%, did not move with it
19May 21, 2026−7.08%
Before our stories
−3.1% did not move with itVAL −7.4 · HP −3.1 · NE −3.0 · PTEN −0.6
20 Jul 28, 2026−5.49%
Nothing on RIGgroup −3.8%, moved with RIG
20Jul 28, 2026−5.49%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.8% moved with RIGNE −9.1 · VAL −5.1 · PTEN −2.5 · HP −1.6
21 Aug 10, 2026+8.75%
Nothing on RIGgroup +10.0%, moved with RIG
21Aug 10, 2026+8.75%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+10.0% moved with RIGHP +12.9 · PTEN +11.3 · VAL +8.6 · NE +6.8
22 Sep 15, 2026+8.99%
Nothing on RIGgroup +4.2%, did not move with it
22Sep 15, 2026+8.99%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.2% did not move with itVAL +8.6 · NE +6.1 · PTEN +2.3 · HP +1.9
23 Sep 16, 2026−6.73%
Nothing on RIGgroup −5.0%, moved with RIG
23Sep 16, 2026−6.73%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−5.0% moved with RIGVAL −6.5 · PTEN −5.3 · NE −4.8 · HP −4.1
24 Oct 5, 2026+6.58%
Nothing on RIGgroup +4.3%, moved with RIG
24Oct 5, 2026+6.58%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.3% moved with RIGVAL +6.5 · NE +4.5 · HP +4.1 · PTEN +3.0
25 Nov 2, 2026−10.23%
Nothing on RIGgroup −9.9%, moved with RIG
25Nov 2, 2026−10.23%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−9.9% moved with RIGPTEN −11.4 · VAL −10.1 · HP −9.7 · NE −7.2
26 Nov 4, 2026−7.63%
Nothing on RIGgroup −7.4%, moved with RIG
26Nov 4, 2026−7.63%
Nothing on RIGNo RIG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−7.4% moved with RIGPTEN −9.4 · VAL −8.0 · NE −6.7 · HP −4.7
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of NE, VAL, PTEN and HP that day, the largest companies in RIG’s SEC industry; “moved with RIG” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). RIG reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Oct 29, 2025
day 1+2.09%day 6+1.83%
Reported Feb 19, 2026
day 1+2.52%day 6+1.89%
Reported May 4, 2026
day 1−9.16%day 6−4.94%
Reported Aug 5, 2026
day 1+0.39%day 6+11.28%
Next report: expected early-to-mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 2 report: −12.52%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is RIG’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
RIG against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
RIG is up 36.9% in a year. Patterson Uti Energy is up 75.2%, Valaris 52.1%, Noble 40.4% and Helmerich & Payne 37.9%. All four did more. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in RIG’s SEC industry (Drilling Oil & Gas Wells) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.