APTV Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $40.851D −5.57%3M −17.99%SMA20 $43.76SMA50 $44.25RSI(14) 37.8
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$9.0B
EV / True FCF12.5x
Revenue$20.4B +3.5%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.2B −31.4%
Rule of 4010.1%
ROIC1.8%
True FCF Yield13.4%
EPS, diluted$0.75 −89.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$9.0B
Enterprise Value$15.1B
EV / True FCF12.53
EV / FCF11.23
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT12.72
EV / Sales0.74
P / E (GAAP)54.44
P / FCF6.70
P / Oper. CF4.11
P / Book0.96
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield13.4%
FCF Yield14.9%
Owner Earn. Yield1.9%
Earnings Yield1.8%
Shareholder Yield+2.9%
Buyback Yield4.4%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh$0.00
Payout Ratio0%
FCF / sh$6.62
EPS (diluted)$0.75
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4010.1%
ROIC1.8%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)8.7%
GP / Assets—
ROE1.8%
ROA0.7%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin5.8%
Net Margin0.8%
FCF Margin6.6%
True FCF Margin5.9%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion813%
Accrual Ratio−8.6%
SBC % of FCF10.4%
SBC % of Rev0.7%
Reinvest. Rate90%
Sales Growth Y/Y+3.5%
Sales 3Y CAGR+5.3%
EPS Growth Y/Y−89.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y−31.4%
FCF 3Y CAGR−20.8%
Share Change Y/Y−14.0%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$20.4B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$1.2B
GAAP Net Income$165.0M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.2B
Cash & Equiv$1.6B
Total Debt$7.7B
Net Cash (Debt)$-6.1B
Net Cash % MCap−67.7%
Debt / FCF (yrs)5.7y
Current Ratio1.74202.43M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−8.06%
Perf Month−7.62%
Perf Quarter−17.56%
Perf Half Y−28.47%
Perf YTD−32.85%
SMA 20 Dist−6.66%$43.76
SMA 50 Dist−7.68%$44.25
SMA 100 Dist−18.23%$49.96
Window High−46.82%$76.82
Window Low0.00%$40.85
RSI (14) · Vol37.842%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of APTV revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$139.0M(10.4% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$1.2B(5.9% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$15.6BFY21
$17.5BFY22
$20.1BFY23
$19.7BFY24
$20.4BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$15.6B
$17.5B
$20.1B
$19.7B
$20.4B
+3.5%
+6.9%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$13.2B
$14.9B
$16.6B
$16.0B
$16.5B
+3.1%
+5.8%
Research & Development (R&D)
$1.0B
$1.1B
$1.3B
$1.1B
$1.1B
+2.9%
+2.3%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$1.1B
$1.1B
$1.4B
$1.5B
$1.7B
+14.2%
+11.7%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$1.2B
$1.3B
$1.6B
$1.8B
$1.2B
−35.7%
−0.1%
Interest Expense
$150.0M
$219.0M
$285.0M
$337.0M
$361.0M
+7.1%
+24.6%
Income Tax Expense
$101.0M
$121.0M
$-1.9B
$223.0M
$700.0M
+213.9%
+62.3%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$590.0M
$594.0M
$2.9B
$1.8B
$165.0M
−90.8%
−27.3%
Diluted EPS ▸
$1.94
$1.96
$10.39
$6.96
$0.75
−89.2%
−21.1%
Diluted Shares
271.2M
271.2M
282.9M
256.7M
220.8M
−14.0%
−5.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$3.1B
$1.5B
$1.6B
$1.6B
$1.6B
+0.1%
−15.8%
Inventory
$2.0B
$2.3B
$2.4B
$2.3B
$1.8B
−22.9%
−2.9%
Total Current Assets
$8.4B
$7.8B
$8.2B
$7.8B
$8.7B
+11.7%
+0.9%
Total Assets
$18.0B
$21.9B
$24.4B
$23.5B
$23.4B
−0.2%
+6.8%
Total Current Liabilities
$4.2B
$4.9B
$4.8B
$5.1B
$5.0B
−1.8%
+4.6%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$4.1B
$6.6B
$6.3B
$8.5B
$7.7B
−9.6%
+17.2%
Total Liabilities
$9.4B
$12.8B
$12.6B
$14.4B
$13.9B
−3.2%
+10.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$8.6B
$9.0B
$11.7B
$9.0B
$9.4B
+4.5%
+2.4%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-920.0M
$-5.0B
$-4.7B
$-6.9B
$-6.1B
+11.8%
—
Invested Capital
$9.5B
$14.0B
$16.4B
$15.9B
$15.5B
−2.6%
+13.0%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$1.2B
$1.3B
$1.9B
$2.4B
$2.2B
−10.7%
+15.6%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$773.0M
$762.0M
$912.0M
$964.0M
$991.0M
+2.8%
+6.4%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$87.0M
$86.0M
$115.0M
$120.0M
$139.0M
+15.8%
+12.4%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$611.0M
$844.0M
—
—
$844.0M
—
+8.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$611.0M
$419.0M
—
—
$1.3B
—
+21.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$524.0M
$333.0M
—
—
$1.2B
—
+23.1%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$0
$398.0M
$4.1B
$397.0M
−90.3%
—
Dividends Paid
$0
$0
—
—
$0
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what APTV did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named APTV yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
21 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 4.54% from the one before, three times APTV’s median day (1.51%). On 7 of the 21, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±4.54%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayAPTVWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 21, 2025+5.48%
Before our storiesgroup +4.3%, moved with APTV
1Nov 21, 2025+5.48%
Before our stories
+4.3% moved with APTVMGA +5.7 · BWA +4.9 · ALSN +3.8 · ALV +3.5
2 Jan 8, 2026+5.23%
Before our storiesgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
2Jan 8, 2026+5.23%
Before our stories
+0.7% did not move with itALSN +2.7 · BWA +0.7 · ALV +0.6 · MGA −0.6
3 Jan 14, 2026−6.03%
Before our storiesgroup +0.0%, did not move with it
3Jan 14, 2026−6.03%
Before our stories
+0.0% did not move with itMGA −0.8 · BWA −0.1 · ALV +0.2 · ALSN +1.9
4 Jan 16, 2026−4.84%
Before our storiesgroup −2.6%, moved with APTV
4Jan 16, 2026−4.84%
Before our stories
−2.6% moved with APTVBWA −2.9 · MGA −2.8 · ALV −2.5 · ALSN −1.2
5 Feb 27, 2026−4.54%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
5Feb 27, 2026−4.54%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itALV −1.9 · MGA −1.7 · BWA −0.6 · ALSN +0.4
6 Mar 27, 2026−5.51%
Before our storiesgroup −1.7%, did not move with it
6Mar 27, 2026−5.51%
Before our stories
−1.7% did not move with itALV −2.5 · MGA −1.9 · ALSN −1.6 · BWA −0.9
7 Apr 1, 2026−10.58%
Before our storiesgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
7Apr 1, 2026−10.58%
Before our stories
+1.4% did not move with itBWA +0.6 · MGA +1.3 · ALSN +1.5 · ALV +1.8
8 May 5, 2026−7.90%
Resultsgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
8May 5, 2026−7.90%
ResultsFirst close after the May 5 results filing
+1.3% did not move with itALSN −1.3 · MGA +0.9 · BWA +1.8 · ALV +2.4
9 May 14, 2026+6.18%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
9May 14, 2026+6.18%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itMGA +1.5 · BWA +0.8 · ALSN −0.1 · ALV −0.6
10 May 15, 2026−5.59%
Before our storiesgroup −4.7%, moved with APTV
10May 15, 2026−5.59%
Before our stories
−4.7% moved with APTVBWA −6.2 · ALV −4.8 · MGA −4.6 · ALSN −4.4
11 May 27, 2026+5.34%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
11May 27, 2026+5.34%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itBWA +3.8 · MGA +1.8 · ALV +1.7 · ALSN −0.2
12 May 29, 2026+6.71%
Before our storiesgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
12May 29, 2026+6.71%
Before our stories
−0.7% did not move with itBWA +0.7 · ALSN +0.0 · ALV −1.4 · MGA −2.1
13 Jun 2, 2026+7.65%
Before our storiesgroup +4.1%, moved with APTV
13Jun 2, 2026+7.65%
Before our stories
+4.1% moved with APTVMGA +4.5 · BWA +4.3 · ALSN +4.0 · ALV +3.1
14 Jun 4, 2026−5.08%
Before our storiesgroup −0.0%, did not move with it
14Jun 4, 2026−5.08%
Before our stories
−0.0% did not move with itALSN −0.6 · ALV −0.1 · MGA 0.0 · BWA +0.6
15 Jun 5, 2026−5.92%
Before our storiesgroup −2.6%, did not move with it
15Jun 5, 2026−5.92%
Before our stories
−2.6% did not move with itBWA −5.7 · MGA −3.0 · ALSN −2.2 · ALV −2.1
16 Jun 10, 2026−4.79%
Nothing on APTVgroup −2.9%, moved with APTV
16Jun 10, 2026−4.79%
Nothing on APTVNo APTV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.9% moved with APTVALSN −3.5 · MGA −3.1 · BWA −2.7 · ALV −1.6
17 Aug 4, 2026−16.62%
Resultsgroup +1.9%, did not move with it
17Aug 4, 2026−16.62%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 4 results filing
+1.9% did not move with itBWA −0.4 · ALV +0.7 · MGA +3.2 · ALSN +5.4
18 Aug 7, 2026+7.02%
Nothing on APTVgroup +3.0%, did not move with it
18Aug 7, 2026+7.02%
Nothing on APTVNo APTV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.0% did not move with itBWA +4.0 · MGA +3.8 · ALSN +2.3 · ALV +1.9
19 Sep 8, 2026−4.63%
Nothing on APTVgroup −2.6%, moved with APTV
19Sep 8, 2026−4.63%
Nothing on APTVNo APTV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.6% moved with APTVALV −4.0 · MGA −3.4 · BWA −1.9 · ALSN −0.5
20 Nov 3, 2026−6.53%
Resultsgroup −1.4%, did not move with it
20Nov 3, 2026−6.53%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 3 results filing
−1.4% did not move with itMGA −3.9 · ALV −2.7 · BWA −0.1 · ALSN +5.2
21 Nov 4, 2026+4.64%
Nothing on APTVgroup +2.8%, moved with APTV
21Nov 4, 2026+4.64%
Nothing on APTVNo APTV story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.8% moved with APTVALV +5.3 · MGA +4.2 · ALSN +1.4 · BWA −2.5
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of MGA, BWA, ALSN and ALV that day, the largest companies in APTV’s SEC industry; “moved with APTV” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). APTV reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Oct 30, 2025
day 1−4.26%day 6−4.28%
Reported Feb 2, 2026
day 1+2.94%day 6+10.06%
Reported May 5, 2026
day 1−7.90%day 6−7.69%
Reported Aug 4, 2026
day 1−16.62%day 6−13.30%
Next report: expected early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 3 report: −2.19%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is APTV’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
APTV against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
APTV is down 48.3% in a year. Allison Transmission is up 47.1%, Magna International 31.6%, Borgwarner 12.2% and Autoliv 3.2%. All four did more. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in APTV’s SEC industry (Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.