BDX Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $213.551D +2.08%3M +18.88%SMA20 $195.75SMA50 $187.73RSI(14) 78.2
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$57.0B
EV / True FCF31.3x
Revenue$21.8B +8.2%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$2.4B −14.4%
Rule of 4020.4%
ROIC5.3%
True FCF Yield4.2%
EPS, diluted$5.82 −0.7%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$57.0B
Enterprise Value$75.4B
EV / True FCF31.25
EV / FCF28.23
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT29.23
EV / Sales3.45
P / E (GAAP)33.96
P / FCF21.34
P / Oper. CF16.61
P / Book2.24
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield4.2%
FCF Yield4.7%
Owner Earn. Yield5.5%
Earnings Yield2.9%
Shareholder Yield+3.4%
Buyback Yield1.8%
Dividend Yield1.95%
Dividend / sh$4.16
Payout Ratio71%
FCF / sh$9.80
EPS (diluted)$5.82
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4020.4%
ROIC5.3%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)6.1%
GP / Assets—
ROE6.6%
ROA3.0%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin11.8%
Net Margin7.7%
FCF Margin12.2%
True FCF Margin11.0%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion159%
Accrual Ratio−3.2%
SBC % of FCF9.7%
SBC % of Rev1.2%
Reinvest. Rate59%
Sales Growth Y/Y+8.2%
Sales 3Y CAGR+5.0%
EPS Growth Y/Y−0.7%
FCF Growth Y/Y−14.4%
FCF 3Y CAGR+21.2%
Share Change Y/Y−0.9%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$21.8B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$2.6B
GAAP Net Income$1.7B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$2.4B
Cash & Equiv$777.0M
Total Debt$19.2B
Net Cash (Debt)$-18.4B
Net Cash % MCap−32.3%
Debt / FCF (yrs)7.2y
Current Ratio1.11272.39M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+7.67%
Perf Month+18.53%
Perf Quarter+20.75%
Perf Half Y+39.34%
Perf YTD+34.61%
SMA 20 Dist+9.10%$195.75
SMA 50 Dist+13.75%$187.73
SMA 100 Dist+21.41%$175.89
Window High0.00%$213.55
Window Low+51.77%$140.71
RSI (14) · Vol78.227%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of BDX revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$19.1B
$18.9B
$19.4B
$20.2B
$21.8B
+8.2%
+3.4%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$10.5B
$10.4B
$11.2B
$11.1B
$11.9B
+7.8%
+3.2%
Research & Development (R&D)
$1.3B
$1.3B
$1.2B
$1.2B
$1.3B
+6.3%
−0.3%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$4.7B
$4.7B
$4.7B
$4.9B
$5.3B
+8.7%
+2.8%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$2.3B
$2.3B
$2.1B
$2.4B
$2.6B
+7.6%
+3.5%
Interest Expense
$469.0M
$398.0M
$452.0M
$528.0M
$613.0M
+16.1%
+6.9%
Income Tax Expense
$88.0M
$148.0M
$132.0M
$300.0M
$203.0M
−32.3%
+23.2%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$2.1B
$1.8B
$1.5B
$1.7B
$1.7B
−1.6%
−5.4%
Diluted EPS ▸
$6.85
$5.88
$4.94
$5.86
$5.82
−0.7%
−4.0%
Diluted Shares
292.1M
287.4M
288.4M
291.0M
288.5M
−0.9%
−0.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$2.4B
$1.2B
$1.5B
$1.8B
$777.0M
−56.6%
−24.5%
Inventory
$2.7B
$3.2B
$3.3B
$3.8B
$3.1B
−18.1%
+3.5%
Total Current Assets
$8.8B
$8.1B
$8.7B
$10.5B
$9.3B
−11.6%
+1.2%
Total Assets
$53.9B
$52.9B
$52.8B
$57.3B
$55.3B
−3.4%
+0.7%
Total Current Liabilities
$6.6B
$7.8B
$6.6B
$9.0B
$8.3B
−7.2%
+5.8%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$17.6B
$16.1B
$15.9B
$20.1B
$19.2B
−4.6%
+2.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$23.7B
$25.3B
$25.8B
$25.9B
$25.4B
−1.9%
+1.8%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-15.2B
$-14.9B
$-14.4B
$-18.3B
$-18.4B
−0.5%
—
Invested Capital
$38.9B
$40.2B
$40.2B
$44.2B
$43.8B
−0.9%
+3.0%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$4.6B
$2.5B
$3.0B
$3.8B
$3.4B
−10.8%
−7.3%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$2.2B
$2.2B
$2.3B
$2.3B
$2.5B
+7.7%
+2.5%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$229.0M
$233.0M
$259.0M
$247.0M
$258.0M
+4.5%
+3.0%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$1.2B
$973.0M
$874.0M
$725.0M
$760.0M
+4.8%
−10.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$3.5B
$1.5B
$2.1B
$3.1B
$2.7B
−14.4%
−6.2%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$3.2B
$1.3B
$1.9B
$2.9B
$2.4B
−16.0%
−7.0%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$1.8B
$500.0M
$0
$500.0M
$1.0B
+100.0%
−13.1%
Dividends Paid
$1.0B
$1.1B
$1.1B
$1.1B
$1.2B
+8.7%
+3.4%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what BDX did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named BDX yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
29 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.62% from the one before, three times BDX’s median day (0.87%). On 17 of the 29, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.62%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayBDXWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 11, 2025+4.06%
Before our storiesgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
1Nov 11, 2025+4.06%
Before our stories
+1.3% did not move with itSYK +2.4 · BSX +1.6 · RMD +0.9 · MMM +0.6
2 Dec 10, 2025+5.07%
Before our storiesgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
2Dec 10, 2025+5.07%
Before our stories
+0.8% did not move with itRMD +2.0 · SYK +1.3 · MMM +0.3 · BSX +0.2
3 Jan 6, 2026+3.22%
Before our storiesgroup +2.0%, moved with BDX
3Jan 6, 2026+3.22%
Before our stories
+2.0% moved with BDXSYK +5.0 · BSX +2.4 · MMM +1.6 · RMD +1.6
4 Jan 14, 2026+2.93%
Before our storiesgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
4Jan 14, 2026+2.93%
Before our stories
+0.7% did not move with itRMD +1.9 · SYK +1.0 · MMM +0.3 · BSX −0.4
5 Feb 10, 2026−17.22%
Before our storiesgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
5Feb 10, 2026−17.22%
Before our stories
+0.8% did not move with itRMD −4.5 · BSX +0.2 · SYK +1.4 · MMM +1.9
6 Feb 11, 2026+5.21%
Before our storiesgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
6Feb 11, 2026+5.21%
Before our stories
−0.7% did not move with itSYK +0.7 · MMM −0.3 · BSX −1.1 · RMD −1.5
7 Feb 18, 2026+2.99%
Before our storiesgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
7Feb 18, 2026+2.99%
Before our stories
+0.6% did not move with itSYK +2.2 · RMD +1.2 · BSX −0.0 · MMM −2.1
8 Apr 29, 2026−2.82%
Before our storiesgroup −2.1%, moved with BDX
8Apr 29, 2026−2.82%
Before our stories
−2.1% moved with BDXRMD −2.4 · BSX −2.2 · SYK −2.0 · MMM −1.5
9 May 7, 2026+5.87%
Resultsgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
9May 7, 2026+5.87%
ResultsFirst close after the May 7 results filing
−0.3% did not move with itBSX +1.0 · SYK +0.7 · RMD −1.3 · MMM −1.9
10 May 11, 2026−4.20%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
10May 11, 2026−4.20%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itRMD −3.9 · BSX −1.0 · SYK −1.0 · MMM +0.0
11 May 12, 2026+3.05%
Before our storiesgroup +1.9%, moved with BDX
11May 12, 2026+3.05%
Before our stories
+1.9% moved with BDXSYK +4.2 · RMD +2.5 · BSX +1.4 · MMM −0.1
12 May 19, 2026+3.23%
Before our storiesgroup +1.5%, did not move with it
12May 19, 2026+3.23%
Before our stories
+1.5% did not move with itRMD +1.8 · BSX +1.6 · SYK +1.4 · MMM −2.1
13 Jun 4, 2026+2.71%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, moved with BDX
13Jun 4, 2026+2.71%
Before our stories
+2.3% moved with BDXRMD +4.2 · BSX +2.4 · SYK +2.1 · MMM +0.7
14 Jun 10, 2026−2.80%
Nothing on BDXgroup −1.5%, moved with BDX
14Jun 10, 2026−2.80%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.5% moved with BDXRMD −1.7 · SYK −1.6 · BSX −1.3 · MMM +0.3
15 Jun 24, 2026+2.68%
Nothing on BDXgroup +1.9%, moved with BDX
15Jun 24, 2026+2.68%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.9% moved with BDXRMD +2.7 · MMM +2.5 · SYK +1.2 · BSX −2.5
16 Jun 26, 2026+3.00%
Nothing on BDXgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
16Jun 26, 2026+3.00%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.5% did not move with itSYK +5.3 · RMD +0.8 · BSX +0.1 · MMM −2.4
17 Jul 2, 2026+3.39%
Nothing on BDXgroup +4.2%, moved with BDX
17Jul 2, 2026+3.39%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.2% moved with BDXBSX +4.8 · RMD +4.2 · SYK +4.2 · MMM +0.3
18 Jul 8, 2026−3.67%
Nothing on BDXgroup −1.6%, did not move with it
18Jul 8, 2026−3.67%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.6% did not move with itRMD −6.3 · MMM −2.1 · BSX −1.1 · SYK −0.9
19 Jul 15, 2026+2.81%
Nothing on BDXgroup +2.1%, moved with BDX
19Jul 15, 2026+2.81%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.1% moved with BDXRMD +2.9 · MMM +2.5 · SYK +1.7 · BSX +1.0
20 Jul 16, 2026+3.26%
Nothing on BDXgroup +2.9%, moved with BDX
20Jul 16, 2026+3.26%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.9% moved with BDXSYK +4.7 · BSX +3.7 · RMD +2.1 · MMM +0.8
21 Jul 28, 2026+4.67%
Nothing on BDXgroup +2.6%, moved with BDX
21Jul 28, 2026+4.67%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.6% moved with BDXSYK +2.9 · RMD +2.9 · MMM +2.4 · BSX +1.2
22 Aug 3, 2026+2.77%
Nothing on BDXgroup +2.8%, moved with BDX
22Aug 3, 2026+2.77%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.8% moved with BDXSYK +4.8 · BSX +3.6 · RMD +2.0 · MMM +0.5
23 Aug 6, 2026+3.76%
Resultsgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
23Aug 6, 2026+3.76%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 6 results filing
−0.1% did not move with itBSX +3.3 · SYK +0.1 · RMD −0.3 · MMM −0.8
24 Aug 19, 2026+3.78%
Nothing on BDXgroup +2.8%, moved with BDX
24Aug 19, 2026+3.78%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.8% moved with BDXRMD +4.8 · BSX +3.0 · SYK +2.6 · MMM −0.1
25 Sep 8, 2026−3.05%
Nothing on BDXgroup −4.5%, moved with BDX
25Sep 8, 2026−3.05%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.5% moved with BDXSYK −8.8 · BSX −5.9 · RMD −3.2 · MMM −0.6
26 Sep 14, 2026+2.85%
Nothing on BDXgroup +2.2%, moved with BDX
26Sep 14, 2026+2.85%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.2% moved with BDXBSX +4.8 · SYK +2.3 · RMD +2.2 · MMM −1.8
27 Oct 12, 2026+2.80%
Nothing on BDXgroup +1.9%, moved with BDX
27Oct 12, 2026+2.80%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.9% moved with BDXBSX +2.6 · RMD +2.0 · SYK +1.9 · MMM +0.6
28 Oct 22, 2026+3.13%
Nothing on BDXgroup +3.0%, moved with BDX
28Oct 22, 2026+3.13%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.0% moved with BDXBSX +3.4 · SYK +3.2 · RMD +2.8 · MMM +0.5
29 Nov 4, 2026+5.56%
Nothing on BDXgroup +7.6%, moved with BDX
29Nov 4, 2026+5.56%
Nothing on BDXNo BDX story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+7.6% moved with BDXMMM +9.6 · SYK +9.4 · RMD +5.9 · BSX +5.3
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of SYK, MMM, BSX and RMD that day, the largest companies in BDX’s SEC industry; “moved with BDX” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). BDX reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 6, 2025
day 1+0.57%day 6+9.44%
Reported Feb 9, 2026
day 1−1.25%day 6−15.54%
Reported May 7, 2026
day 1+5.87%day 6−0.20%
Reported Aug 6, 2026
day 1+3.76%day 6+6.63%
Next report: expected early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 5 report: +2.08%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is BDX’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
BDX against four medical device peers, a year at 100
BDX is up 17.6% in a year. 3M is up 17.7%. Of these four, Resmed (−4.4%), Stryker (−4.6%) and Boston Scientific (−54.2%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in BDX’s SEC industry (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.