COSM Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $0.291D −11.51%3M +29.71%SMA20 $0.31SMA50 $0.31RSI(14) 47.4
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$18M
Enterprise value$19.8M
Revenue$65.3M +19.9%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-10.8M −4.5%
Rule of 406.9%
ROIC-50.0%
True FCF Yield-60.7%
EPS, diluted$-0.63 +46.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$18M
Enterprise Value$19.8M
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit2.50
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales0.30
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book0.97
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-60.7%
FCF Yield-47.7%
Owner Earn. Yield-113.0%
Earnings Yield-107.4%
Shareholder Yield−13.0%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.08
EPS (diluted)$-0.63
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 406.9%
ROIC-50.0%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-41.8%
GP / Assets12.1%
ROE-103.9%
ROA-29.2%
Gross Margin12.1%
Oper. Margin-25.6%
Net Margin-29.3%
FCF Margin-13.0%
True FCF Margin-16.6%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−16.3%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev3.5%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+19.9%
Sales 3Y CAGR+9.0%
EPS Growth Y/Y+46.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y−4.5%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+58.2%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$65.3M
Gross Profit (FY)$7.9M
Oper. Income (FY)$-16.7M
GAAP Net Income$-19.1M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-10.8M
Cash & Equiv$3.5M
Total Debt$5.4M
Net Cash (Debt)$-1.9M
Net Cash % MCap−10.8%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio1.00100.63M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+4.47%
Perf Month−9.66%
Perf Quarter+24.42%
Perf Half Y−17.17%
Perf YTD−24.43%
SMA 20 Dist−4.99%$0.31
SMA 50 Dist−5.65%$0.31
SMA 100 Dist+9.28%$0.27
Window High−32.57%$0.43
Window Low+68.35%$0.17
RSI (14) · Vol47.4131%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of COSM revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-8.5M(-13.0% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$2.3M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-10.8M(-16.6% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$56.2MFY21
$50.3MFY22
$53.4MFY23
$54.4MFY24
$65.3MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$56.2M
$50.3M
$53.4M
$54.4M
$65.3M
+19.9%
+3.8%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$47.9M
$44.4M
$49.0M
$50.1M
$57.4M
+14.5%
+4.6%
Gross Profit ▸
$8.3M
$6.0M
$4.3M
$4.3M
$7.9M
+83.1%
−1.3%
Research & Development (R&D)
—
—
$164,859
$533,293
$519,363
−2.6%
+77.5%
Total Operating Expenses
$12.9M
$13.4M
$26.2M
$19.9M
$24.6M
+23.9%
+17.6%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-4.5M
$-7.5M
$-21.8M
$-15.5M
$-16.7M
−7.5%
—
Interest Expense
$2.8M
$2.3M
$866,476
$1.0M
$1.9M
+87.7%
−9.4%
Income Tax Expense
$114,010
$-775,051
$0
$0
$0
—
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-8.0M
$-13.8M
$-18.5M
$-16.2M
$-19.1M
−18.3%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-23.74
$-33.16
$-2.15
$-1.17
$-0.63
+46.2%
—
Diluted Shares
656,933
1.9M
—
19.1M
30.3M
+58.2%
+160.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$286,487
$20.7M
$3.8M
$315,105
$3.5M
+998.0%
+86.4%
Inventory
$3.1M
$3.5M
$4.8M
$4.4M
$5.8M
+32.7%
+16.4%
Total Current Assets
$39.8M
$56.4M
$36.6M
$25.5M
$38.4M
+50.8%
−0.9%
Total Assets
$49.4M
$68.0M
$66.0M
$54.3M
$65.5M
+20.6%
+7.3%
Total Current Liabilities
$29.9M
$21.7M
$24.3M
$25.8M
$38.3M
+48.6%
+6.3%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$18.5M
$9.0M
$6.5M
$5.7M
$5.4M
−5.8%
−26.5%
Total Liabilities
$45.0M
$28.4M
$30.0M
$29.8M
$47.1M
+58.0%
+1.1%
Stockholders' Equity
$4.4M
$39.3M
$36.0M
$24.5M
$18.4M
−24.9%
+43.2%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-18.2M
$11.8M
$-2.7M
$-5.4M
$-1.9M
+64.3%
—
Invested Capital
$22.6M
$27.5M
$38.7M
$29.9M
$20.4M
−32.0%
−2.5%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-7.1M
$-14.9M
$-15.6M
$-7.7M
$-8.4M
−9.5%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$352,422
$103,194
$614,377
$1.2M
$1.4M
+11.6%
+40.2%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$5.9M
$24,401
$577,931
$1.7M
$2.3M
+36.8%
−20.9%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$581,398
$74,207
$1.3M
$418,075
$55,675
−86.7%
−44.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-7.7M
$-14.9M
$-16.9M
$-8.1M
$-8.5M
−4.5%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-13.6M
$-15.0M
$-17.5M
$-9.8M
$-10.8M
−10.1%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$376,863
—
$100,452
$0
$0
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what COSM did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named COSM yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
21 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 10.33% from the one before, three times COSM’s median day (3.44%). On 0 of the 21, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±10.33%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayCOSMWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 4, 2025−13.01%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
1Nov 4, 2025−13.01%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itHLF −1.1 · COR +1.1 · MCK +2.6 · CAH +2.7
2 Dec 1, 2025−12.30%
Before our storiesgroup −2.2%, did not move with it
2Dec 1, 2025−12.30%
Before our stories
−2.2% did not move with itMCK −2.8 · COR −2.4 · CAH −2.0 · HLF −0.8
3 Dec 3, 2025−10.81%
Before our storiesgroup −2.8%, did not move with it
3Dec 3, 2025−10.81%
Before our stories
−2.8% did not move with itCOR −4.4 · MCK −2.9 · CAH −2.6 · HLF 0.0
4 Dec 16, 2025+20.79%
Before our storiesgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
4Dec 16, 2025+20.79%
Before our stories
−2.0% did not move with itCAH −1.0 · MCK −1.6 · COR −2.5 · HLF −3.0
5 Jan 15, 2026+21.53%
Before our storiesgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
5Jan 15, 2026+21.53%
Before our stories
+1.4% did not move with itHLF +5.0 · COR +1.6 · MCK +1.2 · CAH −0.1
6 Apr 15, 2026+16.92%
Before our storiesgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
6Apr 15, 2026+16.92%
Before our stories
−0.3% did not move with itHLF +1.3 · MCK +0.1 · COR −0.7 · CAH −1.4
7 Jun 15, 2026+12.90%
Nothing on COSMgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
7Jun 15, 2026+12.90%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.3% did not move with itCAH +1.1 · COR −0.1 · MCK −0.5 · HLF −1.0
8 Jun 18, 2026−11.92%
Nothing on COSMgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
8Jun 18, 2026−11.92%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.9% did not move with itMCK −3.7 · CAH −2.0 · COR −1.9 · HLF +2.4
9 Jun 25, 2026−10.91%
Nothing on COSMgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
9Jun 25, 2026−10.91%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.2% did not move with itHLF −4.0 · MCK −0.4 · CAH +0.8 · COR +0.9
10 Jul 2, 2026+17.61%
Nothing on COSMgroup +1.6%, did not move with it
10Jul 2, 2026+17.61%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.6% did not move with itCOR +2.8 · MCK +2.4 · HLF +0.9 · CAH +0.5
11 Jul 6, 2026+13.83%
Nothing on COSMgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
11Jul 6, 2026+13.83%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.4% did not move with itCOR +0.7 · MCK −0.3 · CAH −0.6 · HLF −1.8
12 Jul 10, 2026+12.02%
Nothing on COSMgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
12Jul 10, 2026+12.02%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.3% did not move with itHLF +1.9 · MCK +1.7 · CAH +0.9 · COR +0.3
13 Jul 17, 2026−16.35%
Nothing on COSMgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
13Jul 17, 2026−16.35%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.1% did not move with itHLF −3.1 · CAH −0.1 · COR −0.0 · MCK +0.0
14 Sep 3, 2026+18.72%
Nothing on COSMgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
14Sep 3, 2026+18.72%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.2% did not move with itCAH +1.3 · COR +0.3 · HLF +0.1 · MCK −0.4
15 Sep 23, 2026+14.79%
Nothing on COSMgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
15Sep 23, 2026+14.79%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.9% did not move with itCAH −0.3 · COR −0.7 · MCK −1.2 · HLF −2.0
16 Sep 29, 2026+13.67%
Nothing on COSMgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
16Sep 29, 2026+13.67%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.1% did not move with itCAH +1.6 · COR +1.3 · MCK +1.0 · HLF −1.3
17 Oct 15, 2026−12.14%
Nothing on COSMgroup +2.3%, did not move with it
17Oct 15, 2026−12.14%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.3% did not move with itCOR +1.6 · MCK +2.3 · CAH +2.4 · HLF +2.7
18 Oct 21, 2026−15.07%
Nothing on COSMgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
18Oct 21, 2026−15.07%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.6% did not move with itMCK −1.4 · COR −0.8 · HLF −0.4 · CAH −0.0
19 Oct 26, 2026−10.96%
Nothing on COSMgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
19Oct 26, 2026−10.96%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.6% did not move with itHLF −0.8 · MCK −0.8 · COR −0.3 · CAH +0.8
20 Oct 29, 2026+11.45%
Nothing on COSMgroup +2.0%, did not move with it
20Oct 29, 2026+11.45%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.0% did not move with itCAH +2.6 · MCK +2.1 · COR +1.9 · HLF −3.4
21 Oct 30, 2026+10.95%
Nothing on COSMgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
21Oct 30, 2026+10.95%
Nothing on COSMNo COSM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.5% did not move with itMCK +1.4 · HLF +0.9 · COR +0.1 · CAH −0.2
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of MCK, COR, CAH and HLF that day, the largest companies in COSM’s SEC industry; “moved with COSM” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). Day 1 is the first close after each filing: the next day’s for a filing after the close, the same day’s otherwise. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 17, 2025
day 1+0.01%day 6−10.29%
Reported May 22, 2026
day 1−1.10%day 6−1.06%
Reported Aug 20, 2026
day 1+4.19%day 6+5.69%
Reported Oct 22, 2026
day 1−9.87%day 6−1.14%
Next report: expected late JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 22 report: +16.71%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is COSM’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
COSM against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
COSM is down 52.5% in a year. Herbalife is up 68.4%, Cardinal Health 28.6%, Mckesson 25.5% and Cencora is down 1.9%. All four did more. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in COSM’s SEC industry (Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' Sundries) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.