Herbalife HLF

NYSE · Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' Sundries · $1.6B
$14.90−2.68%Nov 5 close · Databento
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HLF Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $14.901D −2.68%3M +29.34%SMA20 $13.84SMA50 $12.86RSI(14) 65.4
14.90
RSI (14, Wilder EOD) · 70 Overbought / 30 OversoldRSI 65.4

Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.

The numbers

fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$1.6B
EV / True FCF15.5x
Revenue$5.0B +0.9%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$208.8M +54.8%
Rule of 405.9%
ROIC35.3%
True FCF Yield13.0%
EPS, diluted$2.20 −12.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$1.6B
Enterprise Value$3.2B
EV / True FCF15.53
EV / FCF12.82
EV / Gross Profit0.83
EV / EBIT6.74
EV / Sales0.64
P / E (GAAP)7.03
P / FCF6.34
P / Oper. CF4.81
P / Book—
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield13.0%
FCF Yield15.8%
Owner Earn. Yield14.0%
Earnings Yield14.2%
Shareholder Yield−2.2%
Buyback Yield0.5%
Dividend Yield2.01%
Dividend / sh$0.30
Payout Ratio0%
FCF / sh$2.41
EPS (diluted)$2.20
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 405.9%
ROIC35.3%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)22.4%
GP / Assets140.8%
ROE-44.8%
ROA8.2%
Gross Margin77.9%
Oper. Margin9.5%
Net Margin4.5%
FCF Margin5.0%
True FCF Margin4.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion111%
Accrual Ratio−3.8%
SBC % of FCF17.4%
SBC % of Rev0.9%
Reinvest. Rate24%
Sales Growth Y/Y+0.9%
Sales 3Y CAGR−1.1%
EPS Growth Y/Y−12.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y+54.8%
FCF 3Y CAGR+8.8%
Share Change Y/Y+2.0%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$5.0B
Gross Profit (FY)$3.9B
Oper. Income (FY)$481.0M
GAAP Net Income$228.3M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$208.8M
Cash & Equiv$375.3M
Total Debt$2.0B
Net Cash (Debt)$-1.6B
Net Cash % MCap−102.1%
Debt / FCF (yrs)8.0y
Current Ratio1.13104.90M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+15.24%
Perf Month+17.79%
Perf Quarter+20.65%
Perf Half Y+2.83%
Perf YTD−12.25%
SMA 20 Dist+7.69%$13.84
SMA 50 Dist+15.88%$12.86
SMA 100 Dist+18.10%$12.62
Window High−12.25%$16.98
Window Low+35.58%$10.99
RSI (14) · Vol65.451%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of HLF revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
REVENUE · 100%$5.0BGROSS PROFIT · 77.9%$3.9BCOST OF REV · 22.1%$1.1BOPER. INCOME · 9.5%$481.0MOPEX · 68.3%$3.4B · SG&A $1.9BNET INCOME · 4.5%$228.3MTAX & OTHER · 5.0%$252.7M
Where Every $100 of Revenue Goes (FY2025)
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$1.1B ($22.1 / $100)
SG&A & Other OpEx$3.4B ($68.3 / $100)
Tax & Non-Operating$252.7M ($5.0 / $100)
Net Profit Kept$228.3M ($4.5 / $100)
Earnings Quality: GAAP Profit → True Owner Cash (FY2025)
GAAP Net Income$228.3M (4.5% margin)
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$333.3M(6.6% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$80.4M(1.6% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$252.9M(5.0% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$44.1M(17.4% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$208.8M(4.1% of rev)

Operating leverage — margins

GrossOperatingNet
0%45%90%78%10%5%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025YoY Δ4Y CAGRTrend
Income Statement
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$1.2B$1.2B$1.2B$1.1B$1.1B+0.9%−2.6%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)$2.0B$1.8B$1.9B$1.9B$1.9B+0.0%−1.7%
Total Operating Expenses$3.8B$3.5B$3.5B$3.5B$3.4B−1.7%−2.6%
Interest Expense$153.1M$139.3M$165.9M$218.3M$214.4M−1.8%+8.8%
Income Tax Expense$113.6M$103.5M$60.8M$-84.9M$47.3M+155.7%−19.7%
Diluted Shares108.3M99.5M100.2M101.6M103.6M+2.0%−1.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents$610.4M$516.3M$595.5M$438.1M$375.3M−14.3%−11.4%
Inventory$575.7M$580.7M$505.2M$475.4M$511.7M+7.6%−2.9%
Total Current Assets$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B$1.1B$1.1B+0.1%−5.4%
Total Assets$2.8B$2.7B$2.8B$2.7B$2.8B+2.1%−0.3%
Total Current Liabilities$1.1B$976.6M$1.3B$1.2B$1.0B−17.7%−1.6%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)$2.8B$2.7B$2.9B$2.5B$2.0B−20.8%−7.8%
Total Liabilities$4.2B$4.0B$3.9B$3.5B$3.3B−6.6%−5.9%
Stockholders' Equity$-1.4B$-1.3B$-1.1B$-801.1M$-509.4M+36.4%—
Net Cash / (Net Debt)$-2.2B$-2.2B$-2.3B$-2.1B$-1.6B+22.2%—
Invested Capital$790.1M$939.3M$1.2B$1.3B$1.1B−13.5%+9.3%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)$107.6M$115.4M$113.3M$121.4M$121.2M−0.2%+3.0%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$54.1M$44.4M$48.0M$50.0M$44.1M−11.8%−5.0%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)$151.4M$156.4M$135.0M$122.0M$80.4M−34.1%−14.6%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)$254.8M$151.7M$174.5M$113.4M$208.8M+84.1%−4.9%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)$1.0B$146.7M$11.0M$8.3M$8.2M−1.2%−70.0%
Dividends Paid————$0——

Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.

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