DBVT Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $9.801D −1.41%3M −31.32%SMA20 $9.62SMA50 $11.14RSI(14) 45.8
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$589M
Enterprise value$395.2M
Revenue$5.6M +35.8%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-127.1M −14.0%
Rule of 40-2123.8%
Operating margin-2609.2%
True FCF Yield-21.6%
EPS, diluted$-1.05 +10.3%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$589M
Enterprise Value$395.2M
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales70.12
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book3.49
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-21.6%
FCF Yield-20.7%
Owner Earn. Yield-25.5%
Earnings Yield-25.0%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.39
EPS (diluted)$-1.05
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40-2123.8%
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE-87.1%
ROA-62.9%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin-2609.2%
Net Margin-2607.3%
FCF Margin-2159.6%
True FCF Margin-2255.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−11.0%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev95.6%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+35.8%
Sales 3Y CAGR+5.2%
EPS Growth Y/Y+10.3%
FCF Growth Y/Y−14.0%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+43.9%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$5.6M
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$-147.1M
GAAP Net Income$-146.9M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-127.1M
Cash & Equiv$194.2M
Total Debt$810,000
Net Cash (Debt)$193.4M
Net Cash % MCap+32.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio3.67314.39M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−4.76%
Perf Month+0.31%
Perf Quarter−27.30%
Perf Half Y−50.98%
Perf YTD−53.33%
SMA 20 Dist+1.90%$9.62
SMA 50 Dist−12.05%$11.14
SMA 100 Dist−24.76%$13.03
Window High−53.33%$21.00
Window Low+10.48%$8.87
RSI (14) · Vol45.868%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DBVT revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$-121.2M(-2150.1% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$532,000(9.4% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-121.7M(-2159.6% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$5.4M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-127.1M(-2255.1% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$5.7MFY21
$4.8MFY22
$15.7MFY23
$4.2MFY24
$5.6MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$5.7M
$4.8M
$15.7M
$4.2M
$5.6M
+35.8%
−0.3%
Research & Development (R&D)
$70.3M
$75.5M
$60.2M
$89.3M
$116.7M
+30.6%
+13.5%
Total Operating Expenses
$104.3M
$101.5M
$92.2M
$120.7M
$152.7M
+26.5%
+10.0%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-98.6M
$-96.6M
$-76.4M
$-116.6M
$-147.1M
−26.1%
—
Income Tax Expense
$-381,000
$70,000
$7,000
$55,000
$491,000
+792.7%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-97.8M
$96.3M
$-72.7M
$-113.9M
$-146.9M
−29.0%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-1.78
$-1.24
$-0.76
$-1.17
$-1.05
+10.3%
—
Diluted Shares
54.9M
77.4M
95.1M
97.0M
139.6M
+43.9%
+26.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$77.3M
$209.2M
$141.4M
$32.5M
$194.2M
+497.5%
+25.9%
Inventory
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
—
—
Total Current Assets
$114.4M
$223.1M
$158.9M
$44.4M
$212.9M
+379.6%
+16.8%
Total Assets
$146.7M
$246.5M
$183.0M
$65.7M
$233.7M
+255.9%
+12.3%
Total Current Liabilities
$31.4M
$29.5M
$37.3M
$31.1M
$58.0M
+86.3%
+16.6%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$1.3M
$1.3M
$1.3M
$1.3M
$810,000
−38.6%
−11.5%
Total Liabilities
$47.4M
$52.1M
$42.8M
$38.3M
$64.9M
+69.6%
+8.1%
Stockholders' Equity
$99.3M
$194.5M
$140.2M
$27.4M
$168.8M
+516.1%
+14.2%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$76.0M
$207.9M
$140.0M
$31.2M
$193.4M
+520.2%
+26.3%
Invested Capital
$23.3M
$-13.4M
$140,000
$-3.8M
$-24.6M
−550.5%
—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-108.2M
$-55.7M
$-79.7M
$-104.5M
$-121.2M
−16.0%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$4.4M
$2.7M
$3.6M
$2.7M
$3.0M
+9.8%
−9.2%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$3.1M
$5.0M
$6.0M
$4.6M
$5.4M
+16.6%
+14.6%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$910,000
$754,000
$677,000
$2.3M
$532,000
−77.2%
−12.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-109.2M
$-56.4M
$-80.3M
$-106.8M
$-121.7M
−14.0%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-112.3M
$-61.4M
$-86.3M
$-111.4M
$-127.1M
−14.1%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
17 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 7.44% from the one before, three times DBVT’s median day (2.48%). On 0 of the 17, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±7.44%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayDBVTWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Dec 8, 2025+22.16%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
1Dec 8, 2025+22.16%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itMRNA +1.0 · GILD −0.0 · BIIB −0.5 · AMGN −2.6
2 Dec 10, 2025+16.55%
Before our storiesgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
2Dec 10, 2025+16.55%
Before our stories
+1.3% did not move with itMRNA +2.8 · GILD +1.7 · BIIB +1.0 · AMGN +0.5
3 Dec 17, 2025+25.42%
Before our storiesgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
3Dec 17, 2025+25.42%
Before our stories
+1.2% did not move with itGILD +2.2 · MRNA +2.1 · BIIB +0.3 · AMGN −0.2
4 Dec 22, 2025−10.94%
Before our storiesgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
4Dec 22, 2025−10.94%
Before our stories
+0.6% did not move with itGILD −0.1 · BIIB −0.1 · AMGN +1.2 · MRNA +3.3
5 Jan 5, 2026−10.81%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
5Jan 5, 2026−10.81%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itGILD −2.7 · AMGN −2.1 · BIIB −1.8 · MRNA +4.2
6 Jan 7, 2026+8.18%
Before our storiesgroup +2.4%, did not move with it
6Jan 7, 2026+8.18%
Before our stories
+2.4% did not move with itAMGN +3.5 · GILD +2.5 · BIIB +2.4 · MRNA +0.6
7 Jan 15, 2026+8.42%
Before our storiesgroup −1.4%, did not move with it
7Jan 15, 2026+8.42%
Before our stories
−1.4% did not move with itAMGN +0.3 · BIIB −0.4 · GILD −2.3 · MRNA −3.0
8 Jan 16, 2026+10.53%
Before our storiesgroup +1.6%, did not move with it
8Jan 16, 2026+10.53%
Before our stories
+1.6% did not move with itMRNA +6.3 · GILD +3.0 · AMGN +0.1 · BIIB −2.5
9 Feb 5, 2026−8.33%
Before our storiesgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
9Feb 5, 2026−8.33%
Before our stories
+0.2% did not move with itMRNA −4.4 · BIIB −0.1 · AMGN +0.4 · GILD +2.1
10 Mar 2, 2026+10.77%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
10Mar 2, 2026+10.77%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itGILD +0.7 · AMGN −0.6 · MRNA −1.4 · BIIB −2.0
11 Mar 11, 2026−12.02%
Before our storiesgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
11Mar 11, 2026−12.02%
Before our stories
+0.8% did not move with itGILD −1.7 · AMGN +0.6 · BIIB +1.1 · MRNA +1.8
12 Apr 13, 2026+7.53%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
12Apr 13, 2026+7.53%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itBIIB +2.0 · GILD +0.0 · AMGN −0.3 · MRNA −0.6
13 Jun 16, 2026−7.56%
Nothing on DBVTgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
13Jun 16, 2026−7.56%
Nothing on DBVTNo DBVT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.8% did not move with itBIIB −1.5 · AMGN −0.8 · GILD +2.4 · MRNA +6.3
14 Jul 7, 2026+11.15%
Nothing on DBVTgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
14Jul 7, 2026+11.15%
Nothing on DBVTNo DBVT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.4% did not move with itGILD +5.2 · AMGN +0.5 · BIIB −1.3 · MRNA −2.5
15 Sep 11, 2026−8.64%
Nothing on DBVTgroup +0.0%, did not move with it
15Sep 11, 2026−8.64%
Nothing on DBVTNo DBVT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.0% did not move with itAMGN −1.3 · GILD −0.8 · BIIB +0.8 · MRNA +5.4
16 Oct 30, 2026−7.77%
Nothing on DBVTgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
16Oct 30, 2026−7.77%
Nothing on DBVTNo DBVT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.4% did not move with itMRNA −0.5 · AMGN +1.1 · BIIB +1.6 · GILD +3.1
17 Nov 3, 2026+11.71%
Nothing on DBVTgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
17Nov 3, 2026+11.71%
Nothing on DBVTNo DBVT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.5% did not move with itMRNA +3.5 · BIIB −0.0 · AMGN −0.9 · GILD −1.7
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AMGN, GILD, MRNA and BIIB that day, the largest companies in DBVT’s SEC industry; “moved with DBVT” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). DBVT reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Oct 28, 2025
day 1−2.19%day 6−9.32%
Reported Apr 30, 2026
day 1−5.38%day 6−6.05%
Reported Jul 16, 2026
day 1−1.08%day 6−8.28%
Reported Oct 28, 2026
day 1−3.38%day 6−7.98%
Next report: expected late JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 28 report: −7.98%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is DBVT’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
DBVT against four biotech peers, a year at 100
DBVT is down 29.8% in a year. Moderna is up 9.8 times, Biogen is up 56.9%, Amgen 43.8% and Gilead Sciences 41.0%. All four did more. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 9.8-fold rise and a 29.8% fall both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in DBVT’s SEC industry (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.