DKNG Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $23.521D +1.77%3M −3.09%SMA20 $20.65SMA50 $21.62RSI(14) 67.9
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$11.5B
EV / True FCF32.0x
Revenue$6.1B +27.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$308.2M +58.9%
Rule of 4037.7%
Operating margin-0.3%
True FCF Yield2.7%
EPS, diluted$-0.01 +99.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$11.5B
Enterprise Value$9.9B
EV / True FCF31.98
EV / FCF15.22
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales1.63
P / E (GAAP)3089.03
P / FCF17.70
P / Oper. CF17.29
P / Book18.15
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield2.7%
FCF Yield5.6%
Owner Earn. Yield-2.9%
Earnings Yield0.0%
Shareholder Yield+2.0%
Buyback Yield5.0%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$-0.01
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4037.7%
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE0.6%
ROA0.1%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin-0.3%
Net Margin0.1%
FCF Margin10.7%
True FCF Margin5.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion17453%
Accrual Ratio−14.5%
SBC % of FCF52.4%
SBC % of Rev5.6%
Reinvest. Rate2%
Sales Growth Y/Y+27.0%
Sales 3Y CAGR+39.3%
EPS Growth Y/Y+99.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y+58.9%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+2.9%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$6.1B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$-15.8M
GAAP Net Income$3.7M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$308.2M
Cash & Equiv$1.6B
Total Debt—
Net Cash (Debt)$1.6B
Net Cash % MCap+14.0%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio1.03
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+13.51%
Perf Month+22.82%
Perf Quarter−2.12%
Perf Half Y−6.74%
Perf YTD+2.75%
SMA 20 Dist+13.90%$20.65
SMA 50 Dist+8.79%$21.62
SMA 100 Dist+0.93%$23.30
Window High−21.65%$30.02
Window Low+26.52%$18.59
RSI (14) · Vol67.940%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DKNG revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$647.5M(10.7% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$339.3M(52.4% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$308.2M(5.1% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$1.3BFY21
$2.2BFY22
$3.7BFY23
$4.8BFY24
$6.1BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$1.3B
$2.2B
$3.7B
$4.8B
$6.1B
+27.0%
+47.0%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$794.2M
$1.5B
$2.3B
$3.0B
$3.6B
+20.6%
+45.5%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-1.6B
$-1.5B
$-789.2M
$-609.0M
$-15.8M
+97.4%
—
Interest Expense
$2.1M
$2.7M
$2.7M
$3.0M
$3.0M
+0.0%
+8.8%
Income Tax Expense
$8.3M
$-67.9M
$10.2M
$-86.3M
$4.3M
+105.0%
−15.2%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-1.5B
$-1.4B
$-802.1M
$-507.3M
$3.7M
+100.7%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-3.78
$-3.16
$-1.73
$-1.05
$-0.01
+99.0%
—
Diluted Shares
402.5M
436.5M
462.6M
482.0M
495.9M
+2.9%
+5.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$2.6B
$1.8B
$1.6B
$1.3B
$1.6B
+20.6%
−11.6%
Total Current Assets
$2.8B
$2.1B
$2.1B
$1.5B
$1.8B
+18.3%
−9.9%
Total Assets
$4.1B
$4.0B
$3.9B
$4.3B
$4.5B
+5.8%
+2.7%
Total Current Liabilities
$929.4M
$1.2B
$1.5B
$1.7B
$1.8B
+6.1%
+17.2%
Total Liabilities
$2.4B
$2.7B
$3.1B
$3.3B
$3.9B
+19.1%
+13.0%
Stockholders' Equity
$1.7B
$1.3B
$840.3M
$1.0B
$631.5M
−37.5%
−21.7%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$2.6B
$1.8B
$1.6B
$1.3B
$1.6B
+20.6%
−11.6%
Invested Capital
$-951.3M
$-456.1M
$-783.2M
$-319.6M
$-973.1M
−204.5%
—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-419.5M
$-625.5M
$-1.8M
$417.8M
$662.9M
+58.7%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$13.8M
$18.7M
$20.4M
$21.1M
$19.2M
−9.0%
+8.6%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$683.3M
$578.8M
$398.5M
$381.4M
$339.3M
−11.0%
−16.1%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$15.9M
$32.4M
$20.9M
$10.2M
$15.4M
+50.9%
−0.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-435.4M
$-657.9M
$-22.7M
$407.6M
$647.5M
+58.9%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-1.1B
$-1.2B
$-421.1M
$26.2M
$308.2M
+1075.2%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$17.8M
$0
$0
$48.1M
$571.5M
+1089.0%
+137.9%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
18 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 5.69% from the one before, three times DKNG’s median day (1.90%). On 2 of the 18, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±5.69%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayDKNGWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 7, 2025+8.65%
Resultsgroup +2.3%, did not move with it
1Nov 7, 2025+8.65%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 7 results filing
+2.3% did not move with itMSGE +5.1 · MTN +2.3 · DIS +0.2
2 Nov 13, 2025−5.78%
Before our storiesgroup −3.4%, moved with DKNG
2Nov 13, 2025−5.78%
Before our stories
−3.4% moved with DKNGDIS −7.8 · MSGE −3.4 · MTN −2.2
3 Nov 25, 2025+7.57%
Before our storiesgroup +3.7%, did not move with it
3Nov 25, 2025+7.57%
Before our stories
+3.7% did not move with itMTN +3.8 · MSGE +3.7 · DIS +1.3
4 Jan 16, 2026−8.01%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
4Jan 16, 2026−8.01%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itDIS −1.9 · MSGE +0.1 · MTN +1.7
5 Jan 30, 2026−8.12%
Before our storiesgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
5Jan 30, 2026−8.12%
Before our stories
+1.1% did not move with itMSGE −0.4 · DIS +1.1 · MTN +1.2
6 Feb 5, 2026−6.31%
Before our storiesgroup −0.8%, did not move with it
6Feb 5, 2026−6.31%
Before our stories
−0.8% did not move with itDIS −1.9 · MSGE −0.8 · MTN +0.6
7 Feb 13, 2026−13.51%
Resultsgroup +3.0%, did not move with it
7Feb 13, 2026−13.51%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 13 results filing
+3.0% did not move with itMTN −1.9 · DIS +3.0 · MSGE +3.9
8 Mar 25, 2026−8.11%
Before our storiesgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
8Mar 25, 2026−8.11%
Before our stories
+0.5% did not move with itDIS −0.5 · MSGE +0.5 · MTN +1.6
9 Apr 9, 2026−7.06%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
9Apr 9, 2026−7.06%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itMSGE −0.3 · MTN +0.1 · DIS +0.6
10 Jun 1, 2026+7.51%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
10Jun 1, 2026+7.51%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itMSGE +2.6 · DIS +1.0 · MTN −0.0
11 Jun 9, 2026+11.34%
Before our storiesgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
11Jun 9, 2026+11.34%
Before our stories
+0.2% did not move with itDIS +0.5 · MSGE +0.2 · MTN −4.3
12 Jun 17, 2026−7.68%
Nothing on DKNGgroup −3.1%, did not move with it
12Jun 17, 2026−7.68%
Nothing on DKNGNo DKNG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.1% did not move with itMTN −4.9 · MSGE −3.1 · DIS −0.4
13 Jun 25, 2026−5.83%
Nothing on DKNGgroup −3.0%, moved with DKNG
13Jun 25, 2026−5.83%
Nothing on DKNGNo DKNG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.0% moved with DKNGMTN −7.6 · DIS −3.0 · MSGE +3.0
14 Jun 26, 2026+11.26%
Nothing on DKNGgroup +1.9%, did not move with it
14Jun 26, 2026+11.26%
Nothing on DKNGNo DKNG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.9% did not move with itMTN +3.5 · MSGE +1.9 · DIS +0.8
15 Aug 5, 2026−7.84%
Nothing on DKNGgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
15Aug 5, 2026−7.84%
Nothing on DKNGNo DKNG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.1% did not move with itMSGE −0.3 · MTN +1.1 · DIS +3.6
16 Aug 7, 2026+8.39%
Resultsgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
16Aug 7, 2026+8.39%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 7 results filing
+0.2% did not move with itMTN +1.4 · DIS +0.2 · MSGE −0.2
17 Sep 17, 2026−7.64%
Nothing on DKNGgroup −1.7%, did not move with it
17Sep 17, 2026−7.64%
Nothing on DKNGNo DKNG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.7% did not move with itMSGE −2.7 · MTN −1.7 · DIS −1.5
18 Sep 29, 2026−7.42%
Nothing on DKNGgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
18Sep 29, 2026−7.42%
Nothing on DKNGNo DKNG story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.1% did not move with itDIS −0.2 · MSGE −0.1 · MTN +2.3
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of DIS, MSGK, MTN and MSGE that day, the largest companies in DKNG’s SEC industry; “moved with DKNG” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). DKNG reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 7, 2025
day 1+8.65%day 6+5.72%
Reported Feb 13, 2026
day 1−13.51%day 6−13.31%
Reported May 8, 2026
day 1+1.19%day 6−0.87%
Reported Aug 7, 2026
day 1+8.39%day 6+17.91%
Next report: expected early-to-mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is DKNG’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
DKNG against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
DKNG is down 22.6% in a year. Madison Square Garden Entertainment is up 62.1%, Vail Resorts 7.5% and Disney 7.4%. Of these four, only Rush Street Interactive (−31.0%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
DKNG −22.6%. Madison Square Garden Entertainment +62.1%, Vail Resorts +7.5%, Disney +7.4%, Rush Street Interactive −31.0%. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, log scale.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in DKNG’s SEC industry (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.