MSGE Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $75.401D −4.23%3M −3.42%SMA20 $79.06SMA50 $79.09RSI(14) 38.0
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$3.8B
Enterprise value$4.1B
Revenue$1.1B +12.5%
ROIC27.2%
EPS, diluted$1.38 +79.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$3.8B
Enterprise Value$4.1B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT28.84
EV / Sales3.85
P / E (GAAP)57.49
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF10.83
P / Book83.11
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield—
FCF Yield—
Owner Earn. Yield—
Earnings Yield1.7%
Shareholder Yield−0.2%
Buyback Yield0.7%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$1.38
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40—
ROIC27.2%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE144.6%
ROA3.4%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin13.3%
Net Margin6.2%
FCF Margin—
True FCF Margin—
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−14.7%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev3.1%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+12.5%
Sales 3Y CAGR+7.6%
EPS Growth Y/Y+79.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y—
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y−0.7%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$1.1B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$141.5M
GAAP Net Income$66.2M
True FCF (ex-SBC)—
Cash & Equiv$294.2M
Total Debt$570.8M
Net Cash (Debt)$-276.6M
Net Cash % MCap−7.3%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio0.70
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−7.01%
Perf Month−8.05%
Perf Quarter−1.50%
Perf Half Y+12.98%
Perf YTD+19.89%
SMA 20 Dist−4.63%$79.06
SMA 50 Dist−4.67%$79.09
SMA 100 Dist−3.96%$78.51
Window High−14.73%$88.42
Window Low+22.76%$61.42
RSI (14) · Vol38.030%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of MSGE revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$653.5M
$851.5M
$959.3M
$942.7M
$1.1B
+12.5%
+12.9%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$167.1M
$180.2M
$207.0M
$215.0M
$253.1M
+17.7%
+10.9%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-5.6M
$105.0M
$111.9M
$122.1M
$141.5M
+15.9%
—
Interest Expense
$53.1M
$51.9M
$58.0M
$50.5M
$40.0M
−20.9%
−6.9%
Income Tax Expense
$-70,000
$1.7M
$-92.0M
$28.1M
$40.8M
+45.0%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-133.3M
$76.0M
$144.3M
$37.4M
$66.2M
+76.8%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-2.58
$1.47
$2.97
$0.77
$1.38
+79.2%
—
Diluted Shares
51.8M
52.3M
48.6M
48.3M
48.0M
−0.7%
−1.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$62.6M
$84.4M
$33.6M
$43.5M
$294.2M
+575.6%
+47.2%
Inventory
$2.8M
$2.6M
$3.9M
$3.8M
$3.7M
−0.1%
+8.0%
Total Current Assets
$341.5M
$295.3M
$219.1M
$237.1M
$522.1M
+120.2%
+11.2%
Total Assets
$1.5B
$1.4B
$1.6B
$1.7B
$1.9B
+15.9%
+6.1%
Total Current Liabilities
$545.1M
$540.6M
$505.8M
$502.4M
$748.3M
+48.9%
+8.2%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$663.7M
$646.4M
$615.5M
$599.2M
$570.8M
−4.7%
−3.7%
Total Liabilities
$1.5B
$1.5B
$1.6B
$1.7B
$1.9B
+12.3%
+5.4%
Stockholders' Equity
$-1.6M
$-69.5M
$-23.2M
$-13.3M
$45.8M
+444.2%
—
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-601.1M
$-562.1M
$-581.9M
$-555.7M
$-276.6M
+50.2%
—
Invested Capital
$599.5M
$492.6M
$558.8M
$542.4M
$322.4M
−40.6%
−14.4%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$95.4M
$135.7M
$111.3M
$115.3M
$351.4M
+204.8%
+38.6%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$69.5M
$60.5M
$53.9M
$57.8M
$56.1M
−2.9%
−5.2%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$39.4M
$31.8M
$31.2M
$27.7M
$32.4M
+17.1%
−4.7%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$25.0M
$50.9M
$39.7M
$25.0M
−37.0%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what MSGE did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named MSGE yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
16 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.52% from the one before, three times MSGE’s median day (1.17%). On 4 of the 16, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.52%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayMSGEWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 7, 2025+5.06%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, did not move with it
1Nov 7, 2025+5.06%
Before our stories
+2.3% did not move with itDKNG +8.7 · MTN +2.3 · DIS +0.2
2 Nov 10, 2025+5.93%
Before our storiesgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
2Nov 10, 2025+5.93%
Before our stories
+0.5% did not move with itDIS +1.4 · DKNG +0.5 · MTN −0.9
3 Nov 18, 2025+5.16%
Before our storiesgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
3Nov 18, 2025+5.16%
Before our stories
+0.8% did not move with itDKNG +1.9 · MTN +0.8 · DIS +0.6
4 Nov 25, 2025+3.69%
Before our storiesgroup +3.8%, moved with MSGE
4Nov 25, 2025+3.69%
Before our stories
+3.8% moved with MSGEDKNG +7.6 · MTN +3.8 · DIS +1.3
5 Dec 15, 2025−3.67%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
5Dec 15, 2025−3.67%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itMTN −1.1 · DIS −1.0 · DKNG +0.2
6 Jan 12, 2026+3.87%
Before our storiesgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
6Jan 12, 2026+3.87%
Before our stories
−0.6% did not move with itMTN +2.3 · DKNG −0.6 · DIS −2.6
7 Jan 13, 2026+3.87%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
7Jan 13, 2026+3.87%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itMTN +0.4 · DIS +0.1 · DKNG −2.6
8 Feb 13, 2026+3.92%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
8Feb 13, 2026+3.92%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itDIS +3.0 · MTN −1.9 · DKNG −13.5
9 Mar 16, 2026+3.70%
Before our storiesgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
9Mar 16, 2026+3.70%
Before our stories
−0.6% did not move with itMTN +0.5 · DIS −0.6 · DKNG −3.8
10 Mar 31, 2026+3.99%
Before our storiesgroup +3.3%, moved with MSGE
10Mar 31, 2026+3.99%
Before our stories
+3.3% moved with MSGEMTN +3.5 · DKNG +3.3 · DIS +2.2
11 Apr 2, 2026+4.23%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, moved with MSGE
11Apr 2, 2026+4.23%
Before our stories
+2.3% moved with MSGEDKNG +4.5 · MTN +2.3 · DIS +0.1
12 Jul 30, 2026+3.78%
Nothing on MSGEgroup −3.4%, did not move with it
12Jul 30, 2026+3.78%
Nothing on MSGENo MSGE story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.4% did not move with itDIS −2.4 · DKNG −3.4 · MTN −4.5
13 Aug 12, 2026+11.40%
Resultsgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
13Aug 12, 2026+11.40%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 12 results filing
+0.5% did not move with itDKNG +0.7 · MTN +0.5 · DIS −0.3
14 Aug 13, 2026−4.67%
Nothing on MSGEgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
14Aug 13, 2026−4.67%
Nothing on MSGENo MSGE story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.3% did not move with itMTN −2.0 · DKNG −0.3 · DIS +1.5
15 Sep 11, 2026+4.54%
Nothing on MSGEgroup +4.3%, moved with MSGE
15Sep 11, 2026+4.54%
Nothing on MSGENo MSGE story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.3% moved with MSGEMTN +5.1 · DKNG +4.3 · DIS +0.7
16 Oct 20, 2026+4.05%
Nothing on MSGEgroup +1.9%, did not move with it
16Oct 20, 2026+4.05%
Nothing on MSGENo MSGE story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.9% did not move with itDKNG +3.6 · DIS +1.9 · MTN +0.3
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of DIS, DKNG, MSGK and MTN that day, the largest companies in MSGE’s SEC industry; “moved with MSGE” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). MSGE reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 2 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 6, 2025
day 1−0.61%day 6+5.32%
Reported Feb 3, 2026
day 1−2.58%day 6−2.49%
Reported May 7, 2026
day 1−0.31%day 6+2.29%
Reported Aug 12, 2026
day 1+11.40%day 6+3.86%
Next report: expected early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 4 report: −0.97%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is MSGE’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
MSGE against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
MSGE is up 69.3% in a year. All four did less: Vail Resorts (+9.2%), Disney (+7.4%), DraftKings (−24.0%) and Rush Street Interactive (−28.4%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in MSGE’s SEC industry (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.