Genius Sports GENI
NYSE · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation · $1.8B$5.92−15.55%Nov 5 close · Databento
GENI Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $5.921D −15.55%3M −21.69%SMA20 $6.48SMA50 $6.56RSI(14) 41.7
5.92
RSI (14, Wilder EOD) · 70 Overbought / 30 OversoldRSI 41.7
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via DatabentoMarket cap$1.8B
EV / FCF23.3x
Revenue$669.5M +31.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-84.8M −7.2%
Rule of 4040.6%
ROIC-33.4%
True FCF Yield-4.7%
EPS, diluted$-0.44 −63.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$1.8B
Enterprise Value$1.5B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF23.32
EV / Gross Profit9.78
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales2.25
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF27.67
P / Oper. CF20.67
P / Book2.47
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-4.7%
FCF Yield3.6%
Owner Earn. Yield-11.9%
Earnings Yield-6.2%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$6.45
EPS (diluted)$-0.44
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4040.6%
ROIC-33.4%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)14.5%
GP / Assets13.6%
ROE-15.4%
ROA-9.9%
Gross Margin23.0%
Oper. Margin-22.6%
Net Margin-16.7%
FCF Margin9.6%
True FCF Margin-12.7%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−17.5%
SBC % of FCF231.4%
SBC % of Rev22.3%
Reinvest. Rate61%
Sales Growth Y/Y+31.0%
Sales 3Y CAGR+25.2%
EPS Growth Y/Y−63.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y−7.2%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+11.0%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$669.5M
Gross Profit (FY)$153.8M
Oper. Income (FY)$-151.3M
GAAP Net Income$-111.6M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-84.8M
Cash & Equiv$280.6M
Total Debt$38,000
Net Cash (Debt)$280.5M
Net Cash % MCap+15.7%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.0y
Current Ratio1.5610.00M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−8.36%
Perf Month−6.62%
Perf Quarter−22.00%
Perf Half Y+23.85%
Perf YTD+21.81%
SMA 20 Dist−8.68%$6.48
SMA 50 Dist−9.73%$6.56
SMA 100 Dist−12.22%$6.74
Window High−29.36%$8.38
Window Low+42.31%$4.16
RSI (14) · Vol41.780%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of GENI revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Where Every $100 of Revenue Goes (FY2025)
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$515.6M ($77.0 / $100)
R&D Reinvestment$31.1M ($4.6 / $100)
Operating Expenses$274.1M ($40.9 / $100)
Tax & Non-Operating$0 ($0.0 / $100)
Net Profit Kept$-111.6M ($0.0 / $100)
Earnings Quality: GAAP Profit → True Owner Cash (FY2025)
GAAP Net Income$-111.6M (-16.7% margin)
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$86.4M(12.9% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$21.9M(3.3% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$64.5M(9.6% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$149.3M(231.4% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-84.8M(-12.7% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
| Line Item (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | YoY Δ | 4Y CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | ||||||||
| Revenue | $262.7M | $341.0M | $413.0M | $510.9M | $669.5M | +31.0% | +26.3% | |
| Cost of Revenue (COGS) | $476.2M | $338.2M | $344.0M | $382.2M | $515.6M | +34.9% | +2.0% | |
| Gross Profit | $-213.4M | $2.9M | $69.0M | $128.7M | $153.8M | +19.5% | — | |
| Research & Development (R&D) | $26.5M | $29.9M | $26.1M | $24.6M | $31.1M | +26.5% | +4.1% | |
| Total Operating Expenses | $359.9M | $185.7M | $143.2M | $187.2M | $305.2M | +63.0% | −4.0% | |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $-573.3M | $-182.9M | $-74.2M | $-58.5M | $-151.3M | −158.5% | — | |
| Income Tax Expense | $-11.7M | $1.7M | $5.3M | $509,000 | $-2.5M | −590.4% | — | |
| GAAP Net Income | $-592.8M | $-181.6M | $-85.5M | $-63.0M | $-111.6M | −77.0% | — | |
| Diluted EPS | $-3.79 | $-0.85 | $-0.38 | $-0.27 | $-0.44 | −63.0% | — | |
| Diluted Shares | 150.9M | 198.9M | 225.9M | 229.5M | 254.8M | +11.0% | +14.0% | |
| Balance Sheet | ||||||||
| Cash & Equivalents | $222.4M | $159.0M | $125.8M | $135.2M | $280.6M | +107.5% | +6.0% | |
| Inventory | $530,000 | $283,000 | $347,000 | $482,000 | $284,000 | −41.1% | −14.4% | |
| Total Current Assets | $324.7M | $236.5M | $244.8M | $288.6M | $549.7M | +90.5% | +14.1% | |
| Total Assets | $887.1M | $773.3M | $775.7M | $792.3M | $1.1B | +42.7% | +6.2% | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $152.8M | $171.1M | $182.9M | $201.6M | $352.9M | +75.1% | +23.3% | |
| Total Debt (Short + Long Term) | $111,000 | $21.9M | $15.2M | $38,000 | $38,000 | +0.0% | −23.5% | |
| Total Liabilities | $180.9M | $196.5M | $202.7M | $219.9M | $405.8M | +84.6% | +22.4% | |
| Stockholders' Equity | $706.2M | $576.8M | $573.0M | $572.4M | $724.5M | +26.6% | +0.6% | |
| Net Cash / (Net Debt) | $222.3M | $137.1M | $110.6M | $135.2M | $280.5M | +107.5% | +6.0% | |
| Invested Capital | $483.9M | $439.7M | $462.4M | $437.2M | $444.0M | +1.5% | −2.1% | |
| Cash Flow & Capital Allocation | ||||||||
| Operating Cash Flow (OCF) | $-63.3M | $-3.5M | $14.9M | $81.9M | $86.4M | +5.5% | — | |
| Depreciation & Amortization (D&A) | $59.4M | $68.5M | $77.3M | $72.6M | $70.5M | −2.8% | +4.4% | |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $489.5M | $89.8M | $35.3M | $54.5M | $149.3M | +174.1% | −25.7% | |
| Capital Expenditures (CapEx) | $6.4M | $6.0M | $3.6M | $12.3M | $21.9M | +77.8% | +35.8% | |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $-69.7M | $-9.4M | $11.3M | $69.6M | $64.5M | −7.2% | — | |
| True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash) | $-559.2M | $-99.3M | $-24.0M | $15.1M | $-84.8M | −661.8% | — | |
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
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