BMNR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $19.001D −12.56%3M +4.97%SMA20 $21.96SMA50 $24.13RSI(14) 37.2
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$13.1B
Enterprise value$12.6B
Revenue$6.1M +84.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-7.6M −4818.9%
Rule of 40-1.4%
ROIC4.3%
True FCF Yield-0.1%
EPS, diluted$13.39 +1114.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$13.1B
Enterprise Value$12.6B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT28.36
EV / Sales2066.63
P / E (GAAP)37.60
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book1.51
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-0.1%
FCF Yield0.0%
Owner Earn. Yield2.6%
Earnings Yield2.7%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.01
EPS (diluted)$13.39
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40-1.4%
ROIC4.3%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-0.1%
GP / Assets—
ROE4.0%
ROA4.0%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin7288.1%
Net Margin5719.1%
FCF Margin-85.5%
True FCF Margin-125.3%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion-2%
Accrual Ratio+4.0%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev39.8%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+84.1%
Sales 3Y CAGR+142.4%
EPS Growth Y/Y+1114.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y−4818.9%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+883.0%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$6.1M
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$444.2M
GAAP Net Income$348.6M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-7.6M
Cash & Equiv$512.0M
Total Debt—
Net Cash (Debt)$512.0M
Net Cash % MCap+3.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio51.50603.23M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−12.28%
Perf Month−22.95%
Perf Quarter+0.96%
Perf Half Y−13.64%
Perf YTD−15.67%
SMA 20 Dist−13.47%$21.96
SMA 50 Dist−21.28%$24.13
SMA 100 Dist−7.92%$20.63
Window High−33.94%$28.76
Window Low+42.75%$13.31
RSI (14) · Vol37.285%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of BMNR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-5.2M(-85.5% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$2.4M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-7.6M(-125.3% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$0FY21
$427,669FY22
$645,278FY23
$3.3MFY24
$6.1MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$0
$427,669
$645,278
$3.3M
$6.1M
+84.1%
—
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$0
$556,699
$422,809
$3.5M
$5.8M
+66.6%
—
Gross Profit ▸
$0
$-129,030
$222,469
$761,027
—
—
—
Total Operating Expenses
$131,815
$1.6M
$2.6M
$2.3M
$-443.9M
−19526.7%
—
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-131,815
$-1.7M
$-2.4M
$-2.4M
$444.2M
+18245.9%
—
Interest Expense
—
—
—
$269,000
$245,000
−8.9%
−8.9%
Income Tax Expense
—
—
—
—
$92.3M
—
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-154,239
$-2.0M
$-2.5M
$-3.3M
$348.6M
+10685.4%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-0.02
$-0.05
$-0.05
$-1.32
$13.39
+1114.4%
—
Diluted Shares
9.8M
43.1M
49.1M
2.5M
24.5M
+883.0%
+25.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$218,737
$392,550
$270,547
$499,270
$512.0M
+102449.5%
+595.6%
Total Current Assets
$218,737
$888,945
$879,460
$1.5M
$513.0M
+33082.9%
+595.9%
Total Assets
$646,033
$8.0M
$8.2M
$7.3M
$8.8B
+120678.0%
+980.2%
Total Current Liabilities
$285,481
$317,674
$1.6M
$3.1M
$10.0M
+218.1%
+143.0%
Total Liabilities
$285,481
$569,995
$1.9M
$3.2M
$102.3M
+3099.5%
+335.0%
Stockholders' Equity
$360,551
$7.4M
$6.3M
$4.1M
$8.7B
+212645.9%
+1146.1%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$218,737
$392,550
$270,547
$499,270
$512.0M
+102449.5%
+595.6%
Invested Capital
$141,814
$7.0M
$6.0M
$3.6M
$8.2B
+227985.1%
+1449.8%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-76,361
$-1.6M
$-809,715
$-30,000
$-4.1M
−13730.0%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$0
$0
$470,705
$924,000
$761,000
−17.6%
—
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$71,250
$856,724
$1.3M
$1.1M
$2.4M
+115.9%
+141.5%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$427,296
$2.8M
$612,288
$76,000
$1.1M
+1301.3%
+25.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-503,657
$-4.4M
$-1.4M
$-106,000
$-5.2M
−4818.9%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-574,907
$-5.3M
$-2.7M
$-1.2M
$-7.6M
−521.6%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
12 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 11.05% from the one before, three times BMNR’s median day (3.68%). On 2 of the 12, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±11.05%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayBMNRWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 24, 2025+19.62%
Before our storiesgroup +2.9%, did not move with it
1Nov 24, 2025+19.62%
Before our stories
+2.9% did not move with itCOIN +6.5 · MSTR +5.0 · AXP +0.9 · SYF −0.1
2 Dec 1, 2025−12.62%
Before our storiesgroup −2.3%, did not move with it
2Dec 1, 2025−12.62%
Before our stories
−2.3% did not move with itCOIN −4.8 · MSTR −3.3 · AXP −1.4 · SYF +0.9
3 Dec 15, 2025−11.22%
Before our storiesgroup −3.8%, did not move with it
3Dec 15, 2025−11.22%
Before our stories
−3.8% did not move with itMSTR −8.1 · COIN −6.4 · SYF −1.2 · AXP 0.0
4 Jan 2, 2026+14.88%
Before our storiesgroup +2.5%, did not move with it
4Jan 2, 2026+14.88%
Before our stories
+2.5% did not move with itCOIN +4.6 · MSTR +3.4 · SYF +1.5 · AXP +0.8
5 Feb 5, 2026−14.29%
Before our storiesgroup −7.5%, moved with BMNR
5Feb 5, 2026−14.29%
Before our stories
−7.5% moved with BMNRMSTR −17.1 · COIN −13.3 · SYF −1.6 · AXP +0.3
6 Feb 6, 2026+17.64%
Before our storiesgroup +7.3%, did not move with it
6Feb 6, 2026+17.64%
Before our stories
+7.3% did not move with itMSTR +26.1 · COIN +13.0 · SYF +1.6 · AXP +1.3
7 Mar 16, 2026+13.88%
Before our storiesgroup +2.2%, did not move with it
7Mar 16, 2026+13.88%
Before our stories
+2.2% did not move with itMSTR +5.6 · COIN +4.0 · SYF +0.4 · AXP −0.6
8 Jun 5, 2026−11.12%
Before our storiesgroup −3.8%, did not move with it
8Jun 5, 2026−11.12%
Before our stories
−3.8% did not move with itCOIN −7.2 · MSTR −6.9 · AXP −0.6 · SYF +0.1
9 Jul 14, 2026+11.50%
Nothing on BMNRgroup +1.6%, did not move with it
9Jul 14, 2026+11.50%
Nothing on BMNRNo BMNR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.6% did not move with itMSTR +6.0 · COIN +2.6 · SYF +0.6 · AXP +0.2
10 Jul 27, 2026+13.49%
Nothing on BMNRgroup +4.6%, did not move with it
10Jul 27, 2026+13.49%
Nothing on BMNRNo BMNR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.6% did not move with itMSTR +7.6 · COIN +5.8 · SYF +3.3 · AXP +2.8
11 Sep 3, 2026+14.70%
Nothing on BMNRgroup +6.0%, did not move with it
11Sep 3, 2026+14.70%
Nothing on BMNRNo BMNR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+6.0% did not move with itMSTR +17.6 · COIN +10.1 · SYF +1.9 · AXP −0.1
12 Nov 5, 2026−12.56%
Nothing on BMNRgroup −9.3%, moved with BMNR
12Nov 5, 2026−12.56%
Nothing on BMNRNo BMNR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−9.3% moved with BMNRCOIN −9.7 · MSTR −9.3 · SYF −1.3
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AXP, COIN, MSTR and SYF that day, the largest companies in BMNR’s SEC industry; “moved with BMNR” means the same direction and at least half the size.
Same industry
BMNR against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
BMNR is down 52.8% in a year. Synchrony Financial is up 1.2%, American Express is down 9.8% and Strategy 46.5%. Of these four, only Coinbase Global (−55.7%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in BMNR’s SEC industry (Finance Services) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.