BRCC Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $9.741D −0.10%3M +1027.18%SMA20 $10.86SMA50 $9.72RSI(14) 43.9
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$928M
Enterprise value$961.1M
Revenue$398.3M +1.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-23.8M −609.8%
Rule of 40-1.7%
ROIC-24.5%
True FCF Yield-2.6%
EPS, diluted$-0.13 −225.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$928M
Enterprise Value$961.1M
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit6.97
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales2.41
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book13.65
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-2.6%
FCF Yield-1.5%
Owner Earn. Yield-1.5%
Earnings Yield-1.3%
Shareholder Yield−1.1%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio0%
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$-0.13
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40-1.7%
ROIC-24.5%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-13.4%
GP / Assets65.9%
ROE-17.5%
ROA-5.7%
Gross Margin34.6%
Oper. Margin-6.2%
Net Margin-3.0%
FCF Margin-3.4%
True FCF Margin-6.0%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−1.0%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev2.6%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+1.7%
Sales 3Y CAGR+9.7%
EPS Growth Y/Y−225.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y−609.8%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+33.9%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$398.3M
Gross Profit (FY)$137.9M
Oper. Income (FY)$-24.6M
GAAP Net Income$-11.9M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-23.8M
Cash & Equiv$4.3M
Total Debt$37.1M
Net Cash (Debt)$-32.8M
Net Cash % MCap−3.5%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio1.32
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−25.02%
Perf Month+2.96%
Perf Quarter+874.00%
Perf Half Y+679.20%
Perf YTD+959.50%
SMA 20 Dist−10.33%$10.86
SMA 50 Dist+0.17%$9.72
SMA 100 Dist+72.78%$5.64
Window High−25.02%$12.99
Window Low+1102.47%$0.81
RSI (14) · Vol43.9107%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of BRCC revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-13.5M(-3.4% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$10.3M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-23.8M(-6.0% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$233.1MFY21
$301.3MFY22
$395.6MFY23
$391.5MFY24
$398.3MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$233.1M
$301.3M
$395.6M
$391.5M
$398.3M
+1.7%
+14.3%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$143.4M
$202.1M
$270.2M
$230.3M
$260.3M
+13.0%
+16.1%
Gross Profit ▸
$89.7M
$99.2M
$125.4M
$161.2M
$137.9M
−14.4%
+11.4%
Total Operating Expenses
$101.3M
$166.9M
$175.7M
$157.3M
$162.5M
+3.3%
+12.6%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-11.6M
$-67.8M
$-50.2M
$3.8M
$-24.6M
−739.2%
—
Interest Expense
$2.0M
$1.6M
$6.3M
$11.3M
$7.5M
−33.7%
+38.6%
Income Tax Expense
$178,000
$367,000
$185,000
$172,000
$132,000
−23.3%
−7.2%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-13.8M
$-82.9M
$-16.7M
$-3.0M
$-11.9M
−303.6%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
—
$-1.62
$-0.27
$-0.04
$-0.13
−225.0%
—
Diluted Shares
—
51.2M
60.9M
71.1M
95.2M
+33.9%
+22.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$18.3M
$39.0M
$12.4M
$6.8M
$4.3M
−36.4%
−30.3%
Inventory
$20.9M
$77.2M
$56.5M
$42.6M
$49.7M
+16.5%
+24.2%
Total Current Assets
$53.0M
$145.3M
$107.7M
$95.5M
$100.3M
+5.1%
+17.3%
Total Assets
$87.1M
$225.3M
$235.8M
$227.4M
$209.2M
−8.0%
+24.5%
Total Current Liabilities
$59.0M
$62.2M
$84.1M
$75.2M
$76.1M
+1.2%
+6.6%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$46.7M
$51.3M
$73.3M
$67.1M
$37.1M
−44.7%
−5.6%
Total Liabilities
$82.3M
$129.4M
$189.3M
$177.9M
$141.2M
−20.6%
+14.5%
Stockholders' Equity
$-149.5M
$95.9M
$46.5M
$49.5M
$68.0M
+37.4%
—
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-28.3M
$-12.3M
$-60.8M
$-60.3M
$-32.8M
+45.6%
—
Invested Capital
$-121.2M
$108.2M
$107.3M
$109.8M
$100.8M
−8.2%
—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-7.7M
$-116.2M
$-25.0M
$11.3M
$-9.8M
−186.8%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$2.9M
$4.4M
$7.3M
$10.1M
$12.2M
+21.3%
+43.3%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$3.2M
$6.1M
$7.0M
$10.6M
$10.3M
−2.8%
+33.9%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$19.3M
$30.4M
$27.2M
$8.7M
$3.7M
−57.8%
−34.0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-27.0M
$-146.6M
$-52.2M
$2.6M
$-13.5M
−609.8%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-30.2M
$-152.7M
$-59.2M
$-8.0M
$-23.8M
−198.5%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$20.1M
$0
$0
$0
—
—
Dividends Paid
$7.0M
$0
$0
—
$0
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what BRCC did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named BRCC yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
28 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 6.87% from the one before, three times BRCC’s median day (2.29%). On 0 of the 28, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±6.87%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayBRCCWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Jan 7, 2026−7.61%
Before our storiesgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
1Jan 7, 2026−7.61%
Before our stories
−0.9% did not move with itSTZ −2.2 · PEP −1.4 · KO −0.4 · KDP −0.3
2 Jan 14, 2026−8.47%
Before our storiesgroup +1.6%, did not move with it
2Jan 14, 2026−8.47%
Before our stories
+1.6% did not move with itKO +0.3 · KDP +1.4 · PEP +1.7 · STZ +2.1
3 Jan 28, 2026−7.02%
Before our storiesgroup −1.4%, did not move with it
3Jan 28, 2026−7.02%
Before our stories
−1.4% did not move with itKDP −3.2 · STZ −2.2 · KO −0.7 · PEP −0.2
4 Feb 3, 2026−7.18%
Before our storiesgroup +2.6%, did not move with it
4Feb 3, 2026−7.18%
Before our stories
+2.6% did not move with itKDP +1.8 · KO +2.1 · STZ +3.2 · PEP +4.9
5 Feb 5, 2026−9.76%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
5Feb 5, 2026−9.76%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itKDP −1.6 · STZ −0.7 · PEP +0.8 · KO +1.5
6 Feb 6, 2026+11.55%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
6Feb 6, 2026+11.55%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itPEP +1.8 · KDP +1.4 · KO +0.7 · STZ −0.8
7 Feb 23, 2026−8.66%
Before our storiesgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
7Feb 23, 2026−8.66%
Before our stories
+1.4% did not move with itKDP +0.8 · KO +0.9 · STZ +1.9 · PEP +2.0
8 Mar 3, 2026+24.87%
Before our storiesgroup −1.2%, did not move with it
8Mar 3, 2026+24.87%
Before our stories
−1.2% did not move with itSTZ −0.3 · KO −1.1 · KDP −1.3 · PEP −1.4
9 Mar 9, 2026+13.76%
Before our storiesgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
9Mar 9, 2026+13.76%
Before our stories
+1.2% did not move with itSTZ +1.7 · PEP +1.3 · KO +1.0 · KDP −0.2
10 Mar 10, 2026+6.98%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
10Mar 10, 2026+6.98%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itSTZ +0.8 · KO +0.1 · PEP −0.5 · KDP −0.5
11 Mar 25, 2026−7.31%
Before our storiesgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
11Mar 25, 2026−7.31%
Before our stories
+0.7% did not move with itSTZ −0.7 · KDP +0.6 · PEP +0.8 · KO +0.8
12 Apr 16, 2026+7.05%
Before our storiesgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
12Apr 16, 2026+7.05%
Before our stories
+0.2% did not move with itPEP +2.3 · STZ +0.2 · KDP +0.1 · KO −0.2
13 Apr 22, 2026+10.75%
Before our storiesgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
13Apr 22, 2026+10.75%
Before our stories
−0.1% did not move with itKDP +0.4 · STZ −0.0 · KO −0.1 · PEP −0.7
14 Apr 28, 2026−6.96%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
14Apr 28, 2026−6.96%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itSTZ +0.2 · PEP +1.4 · KDP +2.3 · KO +3.9
15 May 5, 2026+23.85%
Resultsgroup +0.3%, did not move with it
15May 5, 2026+23.85%
ResultsFirst close after the May 4 results filing
+0.3% did not move with itSTZ +1.1 · KO +0.4 · PEP +0.3 · KDP +0.2
16 May 14, 2026+14.93%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
16May 14, 2026+14.93%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itKO +0.2 · STZ +0.1 · PEP −0.4 · KDP −0.7
17 Jun 4, 2026−14.67%
Before our storiesgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
17Jun 4, 2026−14.67%
Before our stories
−0.9% did not move with itKO −2.5 · KDP −1.6 · PEP −0.3 · STZ +1.8
18 Jun 29, 2026−7.69%
Nothing on BRCCgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
18Jun 29, 2026−7.69%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.9% did not move with itSTZ −4.5 · PEP −1.9 · KO +0.0 · KDP +0.3
19 Jun 30, 2026−7.50%
Nothing on BRCCgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
19Jun 30, 2026−7.50%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.0% did not move with itPEP −2.4 · KDP −2.3 · KO −1.7 · STZ −0.4
20 Jul 2, 2026+13.08%
Nothing on BRCCgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
20Jul 2, 2026+13.08%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.3% did not move with itKO +3.5 · PEP +2.2 · STZ +0.4 · KDP −0.2
21 Jul 24, 2026−10.00%
Nothing on BRCCgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
21Jul 24, 2026−10.00%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.0% did not move with itKDP +0.0 · STZ +0.7 · PEP +1.3 · KO +1.3
22 Jul 27, 2026−8.32%
Nothing on BRCCgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
22Jul 27, 2026−8.32%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% did not move with itSTZ −0.3 · KDP +1.5 · KO +2.2 · PEP +2.3
23 Aug 10, 2026−13.59%
Nothing on BRCCgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
23Aug 10, 2026−13.59%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.3% did not move with itKDP −2.4 · STZ −1.8 · PEP −0.9 · KO −0.2
24 Aug 24, 2026+960.35%
Nothing on BRCCgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
24Aug 24, 2026+960.35%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.2% did not move with itKDP +1.5 · STZ +1.4 · KO +1.0 · PEP +0.8
25 Aug 25, 2026−8.36%
Nothing on BRCCgroup −1.8%, did not move with it
25Aug 25, 2026−8.36%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.8% did not move with itKDP −2.1 · STZ −1.9 · PEP −1.7 · KO −0.4
26 Sep 16, 2026+7.89%
Nothing on BRCCgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
26Sep 16, 2026+7.89%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.7% did not move with itKDP +1.0 · STZ −0.5 · PEP −0.9 · KO −0.9
27 Oct 29, 2026+6.91%
Nothing on BRCCgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
27Oct 29, 2026+6.91%
Nothing on BRCCNo BRCC story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.0% did not move with itKO +1.2 · KDP +1.1 · PEP +0.9 · STZ +0.4
28 Nov 3, 2026−22.89%
Resultsgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
28Nov 3, 2026−22.89%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 2 results filing
−2.0% did not move with itKDP −5.7 · PEP −2.2 · STZ −1.8 · KO −1.1
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of KO, PEP, KDP and STZ that day, the largest companies in BRCC’s SEC industry; “moved with BRCC” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last three did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). BRCC reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 2 of 3 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 3, 2025
day 1−7.04%day 6−5.63%
Reported May 4, 2026
day 1+23.85%day 6+18.35%
Reported Aug 3, 2026
day 10.00%day 6−19.24%
Next report: expected early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 2 report: −23.13%. Three reports is a small sample.
Each line is BRCC’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
BRCC against four beverage peers, a year at 100
BRCC is up 8.0 times in a year. All four did less: Keurig Dr Pepper (+42.1%), Coca-Cola (+35.7%), Constellation Brands (+13.3%) and PepsiCo (−0.4%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a eightfold rise and a 0.4% fall both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in BRCC’s SEC industry (Beverages) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.