FITB Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $53.451D −2.32%3M −6.44%SMA20 $52.48SMA50 $52.68RSI(14) 53.2
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$49.6B
EV / True FCF15.8x
Revenue$9.9B −5.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$3.8B +63.1%
Rule of 4034.7%
True FCF Yield7.6%
EPS, diluted$3.53 +12.4%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$49.6B
Enterprise Value$59.7B
EV / True FCF15.85
EV / FCF15.19
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales6.03
P / E (GAAP)19.68
P / FCF12.63
P / Oper. CF10.99
P / Book2.28
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield7.6%
FCF Yield7.9%
Owner Earn. Yield3.7%
Earnings Yield5.1%
Shareholder Yield+3.1%
Buyback Yield1.1%
Dividend Yield2.88%
Dividend / sh$1.54
Payout Ratio46%
FCF / sh$4.35
EPS (diluted)$3.53
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4034.7%
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)12.4%
GP / Assets—
ROE11.6%
ROA1.2%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin—
Net Margin25.5%
FCF Margin39.7%
True FCF Margin38.0%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion156%
Accrual Ratio−0.9%
SBC % of FCF4.1%
SBC % of Rev1.6%
Reinvest. Rate13%
Sales Growth Y/Y−5.0%
Sales 3Y CAGR+14.6%
EPS Growth Y/Y+12.4%
FCF Growth Y/Y+63.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR−13.5%
Share Change Y/Y−2.2%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$9.9B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)—
GAAP Net Income$2.5B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$3.8B
Cash & Equiv$3.5B
Total Debt$13.6B
Net Cash (Debt)$-10.1B
Net Cash % MCap−20.3%
Debt / FCF (yrs)3.5y
Current Ratio—903.65M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−1.82%
Perf Month+6.64%
Perf Quarter−6.38%
Perf Half Y+7.61%
Perf YTD+4.85%
SMA 20 Dist+1.86%$52.48
SMA 50 Dist+1.47%$52.68
SMA 100 Dist−2.14%$54.62
Window High−9.97%$59.37
Window Low+13.31%$47.17
RSI (14) · Vol53.223%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of FITB revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$5.2B
$6.6B
$9.8B
$10.4B
$9.9B
−5.0%
+17.4%
Interest Expense
$441.0M
$978.0M
$3.9B
—
$3.9B
—
+72.8%
Income Tax Expense
$747.0M
$647.0M
$639.0M
$602.0M
$689.0M
+14.5%
−2.0%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$2.8B
$2.4B
$2.3B
$2.3B
$2.5B
+9.0%
−2.3%
Diluted EPS ▸
$3.73
$3.35
$3.22
$3.14
$3.53
+12.4%
−1.4%
Diluted Shares
711.2M
695.0M
687.7M
687.3M
672.5M
−2.2%
−1.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$3.0B
$3.5B
$3.1B
$3.0B
$3.5B
+16.1%
+4.0%
Total Assets
$211.1B
$207.5B
$214.6B
$212.9B
$214.4B
+0.7%
+0.4%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$11.8B
$13.7B
$16.4B
$14.3B
$13.6B
−5.2%
+3.5%
Total Liabilities
$188.9B
$190.1B
$195.4B
$193.3B
$192.7B
−0.3%
+0.5%
Stockholders' Equity
$22.2B
$17.3B
$19.2B
$19.6B
$21.7B
+10.6%
−0.6%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-8.8B
$-10.2B
$-13.2B
$-11.3B
$-10.1B
+10.9%
—
Invested Capital
$31.0B
$27.6B
$32.4B
$31.0B
$31.8B
+2.7%
+0.6%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$2.7B
$6.4B
$4.5B
$2.8B
$4.5B
+59.8%
+13.7%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$124.0M
$121.0M
$110.0M
$81.0M
$65.0M
−19.8%
−14.9%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$120.0M
$165.0M
$169.0M
$164.0M
$163.0M
−0.6%
+8.0%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$309.0M
$348.0M
$491.0M
$414.0M
$584.0M
+41.1%
+17.3%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$2.4B
$6.1B
$4.0B
$2.4B
$3.9B
+63.1%
+13.2%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$2.3B
$5.9B
$3.8B
$2.2B
$3.8B
+67.7%
+13.4%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$1.4B
$100.0M
$200.0M
$625.0M
$525.0M
−16.0%
−21.6%
Dividends Paid
$897.0M
$927.0M
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.2B
−1.1%
+6.7%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what FITB did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named FITB yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
29 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.48% from the one before, three times FITB’s median day (0.83%). On 13 of the 29, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.48%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayFITBWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 17, 2025−3.41%
Before our storiesgroup −3.3%, moved with FITB
1Nov 17, 2025−3.41%
Before our stories
−3.3% moved with FITBNTRS −3.7 · STT −3.4 · MTB −3.2 · BNY +0.8
2 Nov 21, 2025+2.76%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
2Nov 21, 2025+2.76%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itMTB +3.2 · NTRS +1.1 · STT +0.9 · BNY +0.1
3 Dec 3, 2025+2.74%
Before our storiesgroup +1.5%, moved with FITB
3Dec 3, 2025+2.74%
Before our stories
+1.5% moved with FITBMTB +2.4 · STT +1.6 · NTRS +1.3 · BNY +0.6
4 Dec 10, 2025+5.25%
Before our storiesgroup +2.7%, moved with FITB
4Dec 10, 2025+5.25%
Before our stories
+2.7% moved with FITBMTB +3.5 · NTRS +3.1 · STT +2.2 · BNY −0.2
5 Jan 21, 2026+5.47%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
5Jan 21, 2026+5.47%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itMTB +3.5 · STT +1.3 · NTRS +0.8 · BNY 0.0
6 Jan 22, 2026−3.73%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
6Jan 22, 2026−3.73%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itMTB −0.8 · BNY −0.5 · STT +1.2 · NTRS +6.0
7 Feb 2, 2026+3.44%
Before our storiesgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
7Feb 2, 2026+3.44%
Before our stories
+1.4% did not move with itMTB +1.8 · NTRS +1.5 · STT +1.3 · BNY −0.2
8 Feb 4, 2026+2.54%
Before our storiesgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
8Feb 4, 2026+2.54%
Before our stories
+1.1% did not move with itMTB +1.8 · STT +1.5 · NTRS +0.6 · BNY +0.3
9 Feb 23, 2026−5.43%
Before our storiesgroup −3.0%, moved with FITB
9Feb 23, 2026−5.43%
Before our stories
−3.0% moved with FITBMTB −4.5 · NTRS −3.0 · STT −2.2
10 Feb 25, 2026+2.71%
Before our storiesgroup +3.1%, moved with FITB
10Feb 25, 2026+2.71%
Before our stories
+3.1% moved with FITBSTT +3.5 · NTRS +3.1 · MTB +1.8
11 Feb 27, 2026−4.81%
Before our storiesgroup −3.0%, moved with FITB
11Feb 27, 2026−4.81%
Before our stories
−3.0% moved with FITBMTB −3.7 · NTRS −3.0 · STT −2.8
12 Mar 6, 2026−2.85%
Before our storiesgroup −3.3%, moved with FITB
12Mar 6, 2026−2.85%
Before our stories
−3.3% moved with FITBNTRS −3.4 · STT −3.3 · MTB −2.6
13 Mar 11, 2026−3.28%
Before our storiesgroup +2.1%, did not move with it
13Mar 11, 2026−3.28%
Before our stories
+2.1% did not move with itMTB −0.5 · NTRS +2.1 · STT +2.8
14 Mar 12, 2026−3.26%
Before our storiesgroup −2.5%, moved with FITB
14Mar 12, 2026−3.26%
Before our stories
−2.5% moved with FITBNTRS −2.6 · MTB −2.5 · STT −2.2
15 Mar 23, 2026+2.67%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
15Mar 23, 2026+2.67%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itMTB +1.3 · STT +1.0 · NTRS +1.0
16 Mar 31, 2026+3.98%
Before our storiesgroup +2.5%, moved with FITB
16Mar 31, 2026+3.98%
Before our stories
+2.5% moved with FITBMTB +2.8 · STT +2.5 · NTRS +2.5
17 Apr 8, 2026+3.24%
Before our storiesgroup +3.8%, moved with FITB
17Apr 8, 2026+3.24%
Before our stories
+3.8% moved with FITBNTRS +4.2 · STT +3.8 · MTB +3.3
18 May 13, 2026−3.00%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
18May 13, 2026−3.00%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itMTB −2.2 · NTRS +0.4 · STT +0.8
19 May 20, 2026+2.65%
Before our storiesgroup +1.9%, moved with FITB
19May 20, 2026+2.65%
Before our stories
+1.9% moved with FITBSTT +2.1 · MTB +1.9 · NTRS +0.6
20 Jun 1, 2026−2.74%
Before our storiesgroup +2.0%, did not move with it
20Jun 1, 2026−2.74%
Before our stories
+2.0% did not move with itMTB −2.1 · NTRS +1.8 · BNY +2.3 · STT +2.7
21 Jun 2, 2026+3.60%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
21Jun 2, 2026+3.60%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itMTB +2.7 · NTRS +0.9 · STT −0.0 · BNY −0.9
22 Jun 4, 2026+4.67%
Before our storiesgroup +2.9%, moved with FITB
22Jun 4, 2026+4.67%
Before our stories
+2.9% moved with FITBMTB +3.6 · STT +3.1 · NTRS +2.7 · BNY +2.5
23 Jun 15, 2026−3.16%
Nothing on FITBgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
23Jun 15, 2026−3.16%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.0% did not move with itMTB −2.6 · BNY −1.0 · NTRS −0.9 · STT −0.2
24 Jun 25, 2026+2.64%
Nothing on FITBgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
24Jun 25, 2026+2.64%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.2% did not move with itMTB +1.5 · BNY +1.3 · NTRS +1.2 · STT +0.4
25 Jul 8, 2026−3.73%
Nothing on FITBgroup −1.6%, did not move with it
25Jul 8, 2026−3.73%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.6% did not move with itMTB −2.1 · BNY −1.8 · STT −1.4 · NTRS −0.8
26 Aug 19, 2026−4.07%
Nothing on FITBgroup −2.7%, moved with FITB
26Aug 19, 2026−4.07%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.7% moved with FITBSTT −3.2 · MTB −2.8 · NTRS −2.7 · BNY −2.5
27 Sep 2, 2026+2.62%
Nothing on FITBgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
27Sep 2, 2026+2.62%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.1% did not move with itMTB +1.5 · STT +1.2 · BNY +0.9 · NTRS +0.7
28 Sep 16, 2026−4.13%
Nothing on FITBgroup −1.2%, did not move with it
28Sep 16, 2026−4.13%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.2% did not move with itMTB −4.0 · STT −1.2 · NTRS −1.2 · BNY −0.8
29 Oct 20, 2026+3.76%
Nothing on FITBgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
29Oct 20, 2026+3.76%
Nothing on FITBNo FITB story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.0% did not move with itMTB +2.2 · BNY +1.3 · STT +0.7 · NTRS +0.6
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of BNY, STT, NTRS and MTB that day, the largest companies in FITB’s SEC industry; “moved with FITB” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). FITB reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Jan 20, 2026
day 1+1.95%day 6+3.42%
Reported Apr 17, 2026
day 1+1.66%day 6+0.28%
Reported Jul 17, 2026
day 1−2.29%day 6−3.30%
Reported Oct 19, 2026
day 1+0.28%day 6+5.42%
Next report: expected mid JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 19 report: +8.64%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is FITB’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
FITB against four bank peers, a year at 100
FITB is up 27.6% in a year. Bank of New York Mellon is up 15.1 times, State Street is up 46.6% and Northern Trust 37.0%. Of these four, only M&T Bank (+20.9%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale so a 15-fold rise and a 20.9% rise both read honestly.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in FITB’s SEC industry (State Commercial Banks) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.