GCT Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $63.011D +8.86%3M +21.99%SMA20 $58.64SMA50 $54.94RSI(14) 64.0
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$2.2B
EV / True FCF10.3x
Revenue$1.3B +11.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$177.8M +28.2%
Rule of 4025.3%
ROIC117.3%
True FCF Yield8.0%
EPS, diluted$3.59 +17.7%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$2.2B
Enterprise Value$1.8B
EV / True FCF10.30
EV / FCF10.02
EV / Gross Profit6.09
EV / EBIT12.64
EV / Sales1.42
P / E (GAAP)16.11
P / FCF12.11
P / Oper. CF11.61
P / Book4.56
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield8.0%
FCF Yield8.3%
Owner Earn. Yield6.0%
Earnings Yield6.2%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$3.59
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4025.3%
ROIC117.3%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)173.7%
GP / Assets25.0%
ROE28.3%
ROA11.4%
Gross Margin23.3%
Oper. Margin11.2%
Net Margin10.6%
FCF Margin14.2%
True FCF Margin13.8%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion133%
Accrual Ratio−4.4%
SBC % of FCF2.7%
SBC % of Rev0.4%
Reinvest. Rate10%
Sales Growth Y/Y+11.1%
Sales 3Y CAGR+38.1%
EPS Growth Y/Y+17.7%
FCF Growth Y/Y+28.2%
FCF 3Y CAGR+55.1%
Share Change Y/Y−7.2%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$1.3B
Gross Profit (FY)$300.7M
Oper. Income (FY)$145.0M
GAAP Net Income$137.4M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$177.8M
Cash & Equiv$380.5M
Total Debt—
Net Cash (Debt)$380.5M
Net Cash % MCap+17.2%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.0y
Current Ratio2.02
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+3.94%
Perf Month+12.60%
Perf Quarter+18.33%
Perf Half Y+47.08%
Perf YTD+25.79%
SMA 20 Dist+7.45%$58.64
SMA 50 Dist+14.68%$54.94
SMA 100 Dist+31.29%$47.99
Window High0.00%$63.01
Window Low+99.84%$31.53
RSI (14) · Vol64.050%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of GCT revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$182.8M(14.2% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$5.0M(2.7% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$177.8M(13.8% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$414.2MFY21
$490.1MFY22
$703.8MFY23
$1.2BFY24
$1.3BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$414.2M
$490.1M
$703.8M
$1.2B
$1.3B
+11.1%
+32.8%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$324.6M
$407.0M
$515.2M
$875.8M
$989.2M
+13.0%
+32.1%
Gross Profit ▸
$89.6M
$83.1M
$188.6M
$285.2M
$300.7M
+5.4%
+35.3%
Research & Development (R&D)
$0
$1.4M
$3.9M
$9.8M
$10.8M
+10.6%
—
Total Operating Expenses
$50.2M
$48.1M
$78.6M
$154.6M
$155.7M
+0.7%
+32.7%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$39.4M
$35.0M
$110.1M
$130.6M
$145.0M
+11.0%
+38.5%
Interest Expense
$309,000
$568,000
$1.2M
$256,000
$200,000
−21.9%
−10.3%
Income Tax Expense
$8.5M
$7.2M
$20.9M
$14.8M
$23.8M
+60.9%
+29.5%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$29.3M
$24.0M
$94.1M
$125.8M
$137.4M
+9.2%
+47.2%
Diluted EPS ▸
$0.88
$0.60
$2.30
$3.05
$3.59
+17.7%
+42.1%
Diluted Shares
10.2M
24.4M
40.9M
41.2M
38.2M
−7.2%
+39.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$63.9M
$145.1M
$184.2M
$260.4M
$380.5M
+46.1%
+56.2%
Inventory
$81.4M
$78.3M
$132.2M
$172.5M
$188.3M
+9.2%
+23.3%
Total Current Assets
$172.4M
$258.1M
$392.8M
$547.6M
$690.7M
+26.1%
+41.5%
Total Assets
$186.8M
$418.6M
$846.9M
$1.1B
$1.2B
+12.3%
+59.3%
Total Current Liabilities
$57.0M
$102.6M
$205.8M
$264.4M
$342.2M
+29.5%
+56.5%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$927,000
$414,000
$0
$0
$0
—
—
Total Liabilities
$60.9M
$223.4M
$556.5M
$665.3M
$716.7M
+7.7%
+85.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$99.2M
$195.2M
$290.4M
$405.2M
$485.8M
+19.9%
+48.8%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$62.9M
$144.7M
$184.2M
$260.4M
$380.5M
+46.1%
+56.8%
Invested Capital
$36.2M
$50.5M
$106.2M
$144.8M
$105.3M
−27.3%
+30.5%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$8.6M
$49.7M
$133.5M
$158.1M
$190.7M
+20.6%
+117.3%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$775,000
$1.4M
$2.9M
$8.5M
$8.3M
−2.3%
+81.1%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$9.7M
$9.2M
$2.5M
$16.8M
$5.0M
−70.6%
−15.4%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$1.8M
$709,000
$4.4M
$15.5M
$7.9M
−49.3%
+44.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$6.7M
$48.9M
$129.1M
$142.5M
$182.8M
+28.2%
+128.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-3.0M
$39.8M
$126.6M
$125.7M
$177.8M
+41.5%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what GCT did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named GCT yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
17 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 6.53% from the one before, three times GCT’s median day (2.18%). On 0 of the 17, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±6.53%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayGCTWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 6, 2025−7.01%
Before our storiesgroup −3.0%, did not move with it
1Nov 6, 2025−7.01%
Before our stories
−3.0% did not move with itCPNG −4.0 · CDW −3.3 · AMZN −2.9 · W −2.1
2 Nov 7, 2025+30.05%
Resultsgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
2Nov 7, 2025+30.05%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 6 results filing
+0.6% did not move with itW +8.3 · CDW +0.6 · AMZN +0.6 · CPNG −0.4
3 Nov 21, 2025+10.26%
Before our storiesgroup +2.1%, did not move with it
3Nov 21, 2025+10.26%
Before our stories
+2.1% did not move with itW +7.7 · CDW +2.6 · AMZN +1.6 · CPNG +0.4
4 Jan 27, 2026−9.02%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
4Jan 27, 2026−9.02%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itCDW −1.6 · W +0.9 · AMZN +2.6 · CPNG +2.7
5 Feb 4, 2026−7.42%
Before our storiesgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
5Feb 4, 2026−7.42%
Before our stories
−0.9% did not move with itW −12.9 · AMZN −2.4 · CPNG +0.5 · CDW +9.4
6 Feb 26, 2026+33.05%
Resultsgroup +1.7%, did not move with it
6Feb 26, 2026+33.05%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 26 results filing
+1.7% did not move with itW +4.3 · CPNG +1.9 · CDW +1.5 · AMZN −1.3
7 Mar 23, 2026+7.37%
Before our storiesgroup +2.4%, did not move with it
7Mar 23, 2026+7.37%
Before our stories
+2.4% did not move with itW +5.8 · CPNG +2.5 · AMZN +2.3 · CDW −0.1
8 Mar 31, 2026+9.22%
Before our storiesgroup +3.5%, did not move with it
8Mar 31, 2026+9.22%
Before our stories
+3.5% did not move with itW +8.1 · AMZN +3.6 · CPNG +3.4 · CDW +2.1
9 Apr 7, 2026−9.97%
Before our storiesgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
9Apr 7, 2026−9.97%
Before our stories
−0.7% did not move with itW −3.0 · CPNG −1.6 · CDW +0.2 · AMZN +0.5
10 Apr 8, 2026+11.10%
Before our storiesgroup +3.0%, did not move with it
10Apr 8, 2026+11.10%
Before our stories
+3.0% did not move with itW +6.3 · AMZN +3.5 · CPNG +2.5 · CDW +2.5
11 Apr 17, 2026+7.42%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
11Apr 17, 2026+7.42%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itW +5.2 · CDW +0.5 · AMZN +0.3 · CPNG +0.3
12 May 6, 2026+6.76%
Before our storiesgroup −6.7%, did not move with it
12May 6, 2026+6.76%
Before our stories
−6.7% did not move with itW +4.4 · AMZN +0.5 · CPNG −13.8 · CDW −20.3
13 Jul 27, 2026+8.53%
Nothing on GCTgroup +3.0%, did not move with it
13Jul 27, 2026+8.53%
Nothing on GCTNo GCT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.0% did not move with itW +12.3 · CDW +3.1 · CPNG +2.8 · AMZN −0.3
14 Aug 6, 2026+13.32%
Resultsgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
14Aug 6, 2026+13.32%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 6 results filing
+0.6% did not move with itCPNG +2.2 · CDW +1.3 · AMZN −0.1 · W −3.3
15 Aug 31, 2026−8.35%
Nothing on GCTgroup −2.6%, did not move with it
15Aug 31, 2026−8.35%
Nothing on GCTNo GCT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.6% did not move with itW −4.3 · CPNG −2.8 · AMZN −2.5 · CDW +2.6
16 Sep 2, 2026+6.61%
Nothing on GCTgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
16Sep 2, 2026+6.61%
Nothing on GCTNo GCT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.4% did not move with itCPNG +1.1 · W +0.7 · AMZN +0.0 · CDW −1.1
17 Nov 5, 2026+8.86%
Nothing on GCTgroup −6.1%, did not move with it
17Nov 5, 2026+8.86%
Nothing on GCTNo GCT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−6.1% did not move with itCPNG −3.7 · CDW −6.1 · W −8.2
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AMZN, CPNG, CDW and W that day, the largest companies in GCT’s SEC industry; “moved with GCT” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). Day 1 is the first close after each filing: the next day’s for a filing after the close, the same day’s otherwise. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 6, 2025
day 1+30.05%day 6+19.48%
Reported Feb 26, 2026
day 1+33.05%day 6+23.65%
Reported May 7, 2026
day 1−4.78%day 6−17.63%
Reported Aug 6, 2026
day 1+13.32%day 6+15.12%
Next report: expected early NovemberEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Aug 6 report: +36.27%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is GCT’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
GCT against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
GCT is up 90.3% in a year. All four did less: CDW (+11.2%), Amazon (+8.8%), Wayfair (+6.1%) and Coupang (−43.1%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in GCT’s SEC industry (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.