VIPS Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $13.971D +1.45%3M −9.34%SMA20 $12.94SMA50 $12.77RSI(14) 67.2
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$7.0B
EV / True FCF6.8x
Revenue$15.1B +2.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$534.4M −10.9%
Rule of 407.2%
ROIC31.8%
True FCF Yield7.6%
EPS, diluted$10.12 +3.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$7.0B
Enterprise Value$3.6B
EV / True FCF6.75
EV / FCF4.61
EV / Gross Profit1.03
EV / EBIT3.10
EV / Sales0.24
P / E (GAAP)6.81
P / FCF9.01
P / Oper. CF6.61
P / Book1.11
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield7.6%
FCF Yield11.1%
Owner Earn. Yield10.2%
Earnings Yield14.7%
Shareholder Yield+10.2%
Buyback Yield10.0%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio25%
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$10.12
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 407.2%
ROIC31.8%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)26.8%
GP / Assets31.1%
ROE16.3%
ROA9.2%
Gross Margin23.1%
Oper. Margin7.7%
Net Margin6.8%
FCF Margin5.2%
True FCF Margin3.5%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion76%
Accrual Ratio−0.3%
SBC % of FCF31.7%
SBC % of Rev1.6%
Reinvest. Rate27%
Sales Growth Y/Y+2.0%
Sales 3Y CAGR+0.4%
EPS Growth Y/Y+3.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y−10.9%
FCF 3Y CAGR−12.6%
Share Change Y/Y−5.1%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$15.1B
Gross Profit (FY)$3.5B
Oper. Income (FY)$1.2B
GAAP Net Income$1.0B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$534.4M
Cash & Equiv$3.4B
Total Debt$9.3M
Net Cash (Debt)$3.4B
Net Cash % MCap+48.8%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.0y
Current Ratio1.28
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+9.65%
Perf Month+9.40%
Perf Quarter−10.91%
Perf Half Y−3.92%
Perf YTD−8.81%
SMA 20 Dist+7.98%$12.94
SMA 50 Dist+9.40%$12.77
SMA 100 Dist+3.47%$13.50
Window High−10.91%$15.68
Window Low+15.55%$12.09
RSI (14) · Vol67.233%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of VIPS revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$247.5M(31.7% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$534.4M(3.5% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$18.4BFY21
$15.0BFY22
$15.9BFY23
$14.9BFY24
$15.1BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$18.4B
$15.0B
$15.9B
$14.9B
$15.1B
+2.0%
−4.7%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$14.7B
$11.8B
$12.3B
$11.4B
$11.6B
+2.5%
−5.7%
Gross Profit ▸
$3.6B
$3.1B
$3.6B
$3.5B
$3.5B
+0.4%
−0.9%
Total Operating Expenses
$2.9B
$2.3B
$2.5B
$2.4B
$2.5B
+5.6%
−3.7%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$876.0M
$898.5M
$1.3B
$1.3B
$1.2B
−7.4%
+7.4%
Interest Expense
$2.3M
$3.5M
$3.2M
$7.9M
$12.9M
+62.9%
+54.3%
Income Tax Expense
$191.9M
$255.0M
$262.8M
$317.2M
$257.2M
−18.9%
+7.6%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$736.4M
$915.1M
$1.2B
$1.1B
$1.0B
−3.6%
+8.9%
Diluted EPS ▸
$5.29
$7.13
$10.16
$9.83
$10.12
+3.0%
+17.6%
Diluted Shares
138.7M
128.2M
112.6M
107.9M
102.4M
−5.1%
−7.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$2.5B
$3.3B
$3.6B
$3.9B
$3.4B
−10.5%
+8.5%
Inventory
$1.1B
$799.7M
$795.0M
$689.4M
$736.9M
+6.9%
−9.1%
Total Current Assets
$5.2B
$4.9B
$5.3B
$5.2B
$5.7B
+9.3%
+2.4%
Total Assets
$9.8B
$9.5B
$10.2B
$10.3B
$11.3B
+9.8%
+3.6%
Total Current Liabilities
$4.0B
$4.1B
$4.3B
$4.1B
$4.4B
+7.7%
+2.2%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$9.3M
$9.3M
$9.3M
$9.3M
$9.3M
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Liabilities
$4.5B
$4.6B
$4.8B
$4.6B
$4.9B
+7.5%
+2.4%
Stockholders' Equity
$5.3B
$4.9B
$5.4B
$5.7B
$6.4B
+11.6%
+4.6%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$2.5B
$3.2B
$3.6B
$3.8B
$3.4B
−10.5%
+8.5%
Invested Capital
$2.8B
$1.7B
$1.8B
$1.8B
$2.9B
+57.8%
+0.8%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$1.1B
$1.5B
$2.0B
$1.3B
$1.1B
−14.8%
+0.2%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$172.1M
$178.5M
$183.0M
$194.3M
$218.3M
+12.3%
+6.1%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$158.5M
$175.1M
$212.7M
$210.7M
$247.5M
+17.5%
+11.8%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$428.8M
$352.4M
$305.2M
$373.1M
$284.0M
−23.9%
−9.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$629.6M
$1.2B
$1.7B
$877.6M
$782.0M
−10.9%
+5.6%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$471.1M
$997.7M
$1.5B
$666.9M
$534.4M
−19.9%
+3.2%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$304.2M
$907.3M
$719.3M
$529.6M
$706.5M
+33.4%
+23.4%
Dividends Paid
—
—
—
—
$256.7M
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what VIPS did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named VIPS yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
16 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.65% from the one before, three times VIPS’s median day (1.22%). On 2 of the 16, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.65%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayVIPSWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 10, 2025+5.52%
Before our storiesgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
1Nov 10, 2025+5.52%
Before our stories
+1.1% did not move with itW +5.3 · AMZN +1.6 · CDW +0.6 · CPNG +0.1
2 Nov 20, 2025−6.99%
Before our storiesgroup −2.4%, did not move with it
2Nov 20, 2025−6.99%
Before our stories
−2.4% did not move with itCPNG −3.1 · AMZN −2.5 · CDW −2.2 · W −0.4
3 Dec 30, 2025−6.92%
Before our storiesgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
3Dec 30, 2025−6.92%
Before our stories
−0.6% did not move with itCPNG −1.4 · W −1.0 · CDW −0.2 · AMZN +0.2
4 Jan 16, 2026−8.29%
Before our storiesgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
4Jan 16, 2026−8.29%
Before our stories
−0.5% did not move with itW −2.8 · CPNG −0.6 · CDW −0.4 · AMZN +0.4
5 Feb 6, 2026+3.76%
Before our storiesgroup +3.0%, moved with VIPS
5Feb 6, 2026+3.76%
Before our stories
+3.0% moved with VIPSCPNG +5.5 · W +4.8 · CDW +1.3 · AMZN −5.5
6 Feb 23, 2026−4.07%
Before our storiesgroup −1.8%, did not move with it
6Feb 23, 2026−4.07%
Before our stories
−1.8% did not move with itW −9.8 · AMZN −2.3 · CDW −1.2 · CPNG −0.9
7 Feb 27, 2026−3.86%
Before our storiesgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
7Feb 27, 2026−3.86%
Before our stories
+0.2% did not move with itW −3.3 · CDW −0.6 · AMZN +1.0 · CPNG +2.0
8 Mar 3, 2026−6.67%
Before our storiesgroup +0.3%, did not move with it
8Mar 3, 2026−6.67%
Before our stories
+0.3% did not move with itCPNG −3.1 · AMZN +0.2 · CDW +0.4 · W +2.3
9 Mar 25, 2026+4.26%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
9Mar 25, 2026+4.26%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itW +5.8 · AMZN +2.2 · CPNG +1.5 · CDW −0.5
10 Apr 1, 2026−4.45%
Before our storiesgroup +0.3%, did not move with it
10Apr 1, 2026−4.45%
Before our stories
+0.3% did not move with itW +0.1 · CPNG +0.2 · CDW +0.3 · AMZN +1.1
11 Apr 21, 2026−3.79%
Before our storiesgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
11Apr 21, 2026−3.79%
Before our stories
−0.3% did not move with itCPNG −5.1 · W −1.3 · AMZN +0.7 · CDW +3.3
12 May 6, 2026+4.32%
Before our storiesgroup −6.7%, did not move with it
12May 6, 2026+4.32%
Before our stories
−6.7% did not move with itW +4.4 · AMZN +0.5 · CPNG −13.8 · CDW −20.3
13 May 14, 2026−5.60%
Before our storiesgroup +2.4%, did not move with it
13May 14, 2026−5.60%
Before our stories
+2.4% did not move with itAMZN −1.1 · CDW +1.8 · W +3.1 · CPNG +4.0
14 Aug 27, 2026−4.33%
Nothing on VIPSgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
14Aug 27, 2026−4.33%
Nothing on VIPSNo VIPS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.3% did not move with itCPNG −1.8 · AMZN −1.5 · W +1.0 · CDW +5.3
15 Sep 9, 2026−3.99%
Nothing on VIPSgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
15Sep 9, 2026−3.99%
Nothing on VIPSNo VIPS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.9% did not move with itAMZN −1.8 · CDW −1.5 · CPNG −0.3 · W +0.1
16 Nov 4, 2026+5.60%
Nothing on VIPSgroup +11.5%, moved with VIPS
16Nov 4, 2026+5.60%
Nothing on VIPSNo VIPS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+11.5% moved with VIPSCDW +12.7 · CPNG +11.9 · W +11.0 · AMZN +6.1
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AMZN, CPNG, CDW and W that day, the largest companies in VIPS’s SEC industry; “moved with VIPS” means the same direction and at least half the size.
Same industry
VIPS against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
VIPS is down 25.1% in a year. CDW is up 11.2%, Amazon 8.8% and Wayfair 6.1%. Of these four, only Coupang (−43.1%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in VIPS’s SEC industry (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.