APP Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $356.101D +31.04%3M +5.04%SMA20 $266.55SMA50 $291.78RSI(14) 71.8
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$92.9B
EV / True FCF25.0x
Revenue$5.5B +70.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$3.8B +98.1%
Rule of 40142.4%
ROIC114.2%
True FCF Yield4.0%
EPS, diluted$9.75 +115.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$92.9B
Enterprise Value$94.0B
EV / True FCF25.02
EV / FCF23.69
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT22.63
EV / Sales17.14
P / E (GAAP)27.87
P / FCF23.43
P / Oper. CF23.40
P / Book43.53
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield4.0%
FCF Yield4.3%
Owner Earn. Yield3.6%
Earnings Yield3.6%
Shareholder Yield+2.1%
Buyback Yield2.4%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$9.75
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40142.4%
ROIC114.2%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)125.5%
GP / Assets—
ROE156.2%
ROA45.9%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin75.8%
Net Margin60.8%
FCF Margin72.4%
True FCF Margin68.5%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion119%
Accrual Ratio−8.8%
SBC % of FCF5.3%
SBC % of Rev3.8%
Reinvest. Rate6%
Sales Growth Y/Y+70.0%
Sales 3Y CAGR+24.8%
EPS Growth Y/Y+115.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y+98.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR+79.8%
Share Change Y/Y−1.7%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$5.5B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$4.2B
GAAP Net Income$3.3B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$3.8B
Cash & Equiv$2.5B
Total Debt$3.5B
Net Cash (Debt)$-1.0B
Net Cash % MCap−1.1%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.9y
Current Ratio3.32
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+39.70%
Perf Month+26.60%
Perf Quarter+2.68%
Perf Half Y−28.62%
Perf YTD−27.47%
SMA 20 Dist+33.60%$266.55
SMA 50 Dist+22.04%$291.78
SMA 100 Dist+0.67%$353.73
Window High−41.97%$613.70
Window Low+55.84%$228.50
RSI (14) · Vol71.8119%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of APP revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$2.8B
$2.8B
$1.8B
$3.2B
$5.5B
+70.0%
+18.4%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$988.1M
$1.3B
$356.6M
$520.6M
$665.1M
+27.8%
−9.4%
Research & Development (R&D)
$366.4M
$507.6M
$333.8M
$374.7M
$226.5M
−39.6%
−11.3%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$150.0M
$-47.8M
$772.4M
$1.9B
$4.2B
+117.3%
+129.4%
Income Tax Expense
$11.0M
$-12.2M
$43.8M
$22.4M
$519.7M
+2218.2%
+162.3%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$35.0M
$-193.0M
$357.0M
$1.6B
$3.3B
+111.0%
+212.4%
Diluted EPS ▸
$0.09
$-0.52
$0.98
$4.53
$9.75
+115.2%
+222.6%
Diluted Shares
342.8M
371.6M
362.6M
347.8M
342.0M
−1.7%
−0.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$2.6B
$1.1B
$502.2M
$697.0M
$2.5B
+256.8%
−0.8%
Total Current Assets
$3.2B
$1.9B
$1.6B
$2.3B
$4.4B
+91.6%
+8.2%
Total Assets
$6.2B
$5.8B
$5.4B
$5.9B
$7.3B
+23.7%
+4.2%
Total Current Liabilities
$640.1M
$579.0M
$944.1M
$1.1B
$1.3B
+26.1%
+20.1%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$3.3B
$3.2B
$3.3B
$3.5B
$3.5B
+0.1%
+1.9%
Total Liabilities
$4.0B
$3.9B
$4.1B
$4.8B
$5.1B
+7.2%
+6.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$2.1B
$1.9B
$1.3B
$1.1B
$2.1B
+95.9%
−0.0%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-683.0M
$-2.2B
$-2.8B
$-2.8B
$-1.0B
+63.5%
—
Invested Capital
$2.8B
$4.1B
$4.1B
$3.9B
$3.2B
−19.0%
+2.9%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$361.9M
$412.8M
$1.1B
$2.1B
$4.0B
+89.2%
+82.0%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$431.1M
$547.1M
$489.0M
$448.7M
$194.8M
−56.6%
−18.0%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$133.2M
$191.6M
$363.1M
$369.4M
$210.4M
−43.0%
+12.1%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$1.4M
$662,000
$4.2M
$4.8M
$4.8M
+0.0%
+36.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$360.5M
$412.1M
$1.1B
$2.1B
$4.0B
+89.4%
+82.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$227.3M
$220.5M
$694.2M
$1.7B
$3.8B
+117.7%
+101.6%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$338.9M
$1.2B
$981.3M
$2.2B
+123.4%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
23 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 7.36% from the one before, three times APP’s median day (2.45%). On 2 of the 23, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±7.36%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayAPPWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 11, 2025−8.66%
Before our storiesgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
1Nov 11, 2025−8.66%
Before our stories
−0.2% did not move with itNBIS −7.0 · META −0.7 · GOOGL +0.4 · ZM +1.7
2 Nov 24, 2025+7.60%
Before our storiesgroup +4.7%, moved with APP
2Nov 24, 2025+7.60%
Before our stories
+4.7% moved with APPNBIS +10.4 · GOOGL +6.3 · META +3.2 · ZM −0.0
3 Jan 2, 2026−8.24%
Before our storiesgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
3Jan 2, 2026−8.24%
Before our stories
−0.4% did not move with itZM −3.4 · META −1.5 · GOOGL +0.7 · NBIS +7.5
4 Jan 14, 2026−7.61%
Before our storiesgroup −1.5%, did not move with it
4Jan 14, 2026−7.61%
Before our stories
−1.5% did not move with itNBIS −3.3 · META −2.5 · ZM −0.5 · GOOGL −0.0
5 Jan 30, 2026−16.89%
Before our storiesgroup −1.7%, did not move with it
5Jan 30, 2026−16.89%
Before our stories
−1.7% did not move with itNBIS −10.2 · META −3.0 · ZM −0.5 · GOOGL −0.1
6 Feb 4, 2026−16.12%
Before our storiesgroup −2.6%, did not move with it
6Feb 4, 2026−16.12%
Before our stories
−2.6% did not move with itNBIS −8.4 · META −3.3 · GOOGL −2.0 · ZM +2.4
7 Feb 6, 2026+8.39%
Before our storiesgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
7Feb 6, 2026+8.39%
Before our stories
+1.1% did not move with itNBIS +16.6 · ZM +3.5 · META −1.3 · GOOGL −2.5
8 Feb 9, 2026+13.19%
Before our storiesgroup +2.9%, did not move with it
8Feb 9, 2026+13.19%
Before our stories
+2.9% did not move with itNBIS +7.9 · ZM +3.5 · META +2.4 · GOOGL +0.5
9 Feb 12, 2026−19.68%
Resultsgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
9Feb 12, 2026−19.68%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 11 results filing
−0.3% did not move with itMETA −2.8 · GOOGL −0.6 · ZM +0.1 · NBIS +1.3
10 Feb 18, 2026+7.44%
Before our storiesgroup +1.7%, did not move with it
10Feb 18, 2026+7.44%
Before our stories
+1.7% did not move with itNBIS +4.4 · ZM +2.8 · META +0.6 · GOOGL +0.4
11 Feb 23, 2026−9.09%
Before our storiesgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
11Feb 23, 2026−9.09%
Before our stories
−2.0% did not move with itZM −4.7 · META −2.8 · GOOGL −1.1 · NBIS +2.8
12 Mar 4, 2026+10.01%
Before our storiesgroup +4.0%, did not move with it
12Mar 4, 2026+10.01%
Before our stories
+4.0% did not move with itNBIS +12.7 · ZM +6.2 · META +1.9 · GOOGL −0.1
13 Mar 10, 2026−7.70%
Before our storiesgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
13Mar 10, 2026−7.70%
Before our stories
+0.6% did not move with itZM −0.9 · GOOGL +0.2 · META +1.0 · NBIS +1.6
14 Mar 26, 2026−10.41%
Before our storiesgroup −5.7%, moved with APP
14Mar 26, 2026−10.41%
Before our stories
−5.7% moved with APPMETA −8.0 · NBIS −7.9 · GOOGL −3.4 · ZM +1.6
15 May 13, 2026−7.57%
Before our storiesgroup +3.1%, did not move with it
15May 13, 2026−7.57%
Before our stories
+3.1% did not move with itZM −0.5 · META +2.3 · GOOGL +3.9 · NBIS +15.7
16 May 27, 2026+10.42%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
16May 27, 2026+10.42%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itMETA +3.7 · NBIS +0.1 · GOOGL −0.0 · ZM −0.1
17 Jun 9, 2026−7.60%
Before our storiesgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
17Jun 9, 2026−7.60%
Before our stories
+0.1% did not move with itZM −4.3 · META −0.1 · GOOGL +0.3 · NBIS +1.0
18 Jul 1, 2026+9.58%
Nothing on APPgroup +2.8%, did not move with it
18Jul 1, 2026+9.58%
Nothing on APPNo APP story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.8% did not move with itMETA +8.8 · ZM +4.4 · GOOGL +1.1 · NBIS −17.0
19 Jul 13, 2026−12.65%
Nothing on APPgroup −1.6%, did not move with it
19Jul 13, 2026−12.65%
Nothing on APPNo APP story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.6% did not move with itNBIS −4.2 · META −1.9 · GOOGL −1.3 · ZM +2.4
20 Aug 6, 2026−19.66%
Resultsgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
20Aug 6, 2026−19.66%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 5 results filing
−0.6% did not move with itNBIS −13.3 · GOOGL −1.3 · META +0.2 · ZM +0.7
21 Oct 30, 2026−10.36%
Nothing on APPgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
21Oct 30, 2026−10.36%
Nothing on APPNo APP story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.9% did not move with itNBIS −10.4 · ZM −2.2 · META −1.5 · GOOGL −1.4
22 Nov 4, 2026+10.69%
Nothing on APPgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
22Nov 4, 2026+10.69%
Nothing on APPNo APP story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.7% did not move with itGOOGL +3.2 · META +1.4 · ZM 0.0 · NBIS −6.7
23 Nov 5, 2026+31.04%
Results
23Nov 5, 2026+31.04%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 4 results filing
No group that day
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of GOOGL, META, NBIS and ZM that day, the largest companies in APP’s SEC industry; “moved with APP” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). APP reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 5, 2025
day 1+0.70%day 6−9.87%
Reported Feb 11, 2026
day 1−19.68%day 6−8.35%
Reported May 6, 2026
day 1+6.41%day 6+3.48%
Reported Aug 5, 2026
day 1−19.66%day 6−25.16%
Next report: expected early-to-mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 4 report: +31.04%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is APP’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
APP against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
APP is down 42.6% in a year. Zoom Communications is up 8.7%, Nebius Group 8.2%, Alphabet 3.6% and Meta Platforms 1.3%. All four did more. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in APP’s SEC industry (Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.