PINS Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $19.791D −6.74%3M −18.79%SMA20 $21.44SMA50 $20.40RSI(14) 43.5
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$14.6B
EV / True FCF36.7x
Revenue$4.2B +15.8%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$371.4M +33.2%
Rule of 4045.5%
ROIC7.9%
True FCF Yield2.5%
EPS, diluted$0.61 −77.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$14.6B
Enterprise Value$13.6B
EV / True FCF36.67
EV / FCF10.88
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT42.58
EV / Sales3.23
P / E (GAAP)35.01
P / FCF11.66
P / Oper. CF11.36
P / Book3.08
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield2.5%
FCF Yield8.6%
Owner Earn. Yield-3.2%
Earnings Yield2.9%
Shareholder Yield+0.3%
Buyback Yield6.4%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$0.61
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4045.5%
ROIC7.9%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)33.2%
GP / Assets—
ROE8.8%
ROA7.6%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin7.6%
Net Margin9.9%
FCF Margin29.7%
True FCF Margin8.8%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion300%
Accrual Ratio−15.8%
SBC % of FCF70.3%
SBC % of Rev20.9%
Reinvest. Rate114%
Sales Growth Y/Y+15.8%
Sales 3Y CAGR+14.6%
EPS Growth Y/Y−77.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y+33.2%
FCF 3Y CAGR+41.7%
Share Change Y/Y−1.5%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$4.2B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$319.9M
GAAP Net Income$416.9M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$371.4M
Cash & Equiv$975.4M
Total Debt—
Net Cash (Debt)$975.4M
Net Cash % MCap+6.7%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio7.64
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−0.65%
Perf Month−2.56%
Perf Quarter−16.43%
Perf Half Y−8.17%
Perf YTD−4.12%
SMA 20 Dist−7.69%$21.44
SMA 50 Dist−2.98%$20.40
SMA 100 Dist−8.10%$21.53
Window High−22.63%$25.58
Window Low+8.26%$18.28
RSI (14) · Vol43.558%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of PINS revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$880.5M(70.3% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$371.4M(8.8% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$2.6BFY21
$2.8BFY22
$3.1BFY23
$3.6BFY24
$4.2BFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$2.6B
$2.8B
$3.1B
$3.6B
$4.2B
+15.8%
+13.1%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$529.3M
$678.6M
$688.8M
$750.4M
$841.5M
+12.1%
+12.3%
Research & Development (R&D)
$780.3M
$949.0M
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.4B
+15.1%
+16.3%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$326.2M
$-101.7M
$-125.7M
$179.8M
$319.9M
+77.9%
−0.5%
Income Tax Expense
$4.5M
$10.1M
$19.2M
$-1.6B
$29.0M
+101.8%
+59.1%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$316.4M
$-96.0M
$-35.6M
$1.9B
$416.9M
−77.6%
+7.1%
Diluted EPS ▸
$0.46
$-0.14
$-0.05
$2.67
$0.61
−77.2%
+7.3%
Diluted Shares
691.7M
665.7M
674.6M
698.4M
687.8M
−1.5%
−0.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$1.4B
$1.6B
$1.4B
$1.1B
$975.4M
−14.5%
−9.1%
Total Current Assets
$3.2B
$3.5B
$3.3B
$3.5B
$3.6B
+2.0%
+2.8%
Total Assets
$3.5B
$3.9B
$3.6B
$5.3B
$5.5B
+2.8%
+11.6%
Total Current Liabilities
$259.8M
$380.5M
$317.1M
$398.1M
$465.5M
+16.9%
+15.7%
Total Liabilities
$498.5M
$581.1M
$503.7M
$591.5M
$746.9M
+26.3%
+10.6%
Stockholders' Equity
$3.0B
$3.3B
$3.1B
$4.8B
$4.7B
−0.1%
+11.8%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$1.4B
$1.6B
$1.4B
$1.1B
$975.4M
−14.5%
−9.1%
Invested Capital
$1.6B
$1.7B
$1.7B
$3.6B
$3.8B
+4.4%
+23.7%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$752.9M
$469.2M
$613.0M
$964.6M
$1.3B
+33.1%
+14.3%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$27.5M
$46.5M
$21.5M
$21.3M
$25.2M
+18.3%
−2.2%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$415.4M
$497.1M
$647.9M
$765.8M
$880.5M
+15.0%
+20.7%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
—
$29.0M
$8.1M
$24.6M
$32.4M
+31.6%
+3.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
—
$440.2M
$604.9M
$940.0M
$1.3B
+33.2%
+41.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
—
$-56.9M
$-43.0M
$174.2M
$371.4M
+113.2%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$0
$500.0M
$600.2M
$927.0M
+54.5%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
25 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 5.06% from the one before, three times PINS’s median day (1.69%). On 2 of the 25, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±5.06%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayPINSWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 5, 2025−21.76%
Resultsgroup +1.9%, did not move with it
1Nov 5, 2025−21.76%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 4 results filing
+1.9% did not move with itMETA +1.4 · APP +1.4 · GOOGL +2.4 · NBIS +5.8
2 Jan 27, 2026−9.61%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
2Jan 27, 2026−9.61%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itMETA +0.1 · GOOGL +0.4 · APP +1.5 · NBIS +7.0
3 Feb 3, 2026−5.59%
Before our storiesgroup −1.6%, did not move with it
3Feb 3, 2026−5.59%
Before our stories
−1.6% did not move with itAPP −4.4 · META −2.1 · GOOGL −1.2 · NBIS +2.0
4 Feb 11, 2026−6.10%
Before our storiesgroup −2.9%, did not move with it
4Feb 11, 2026−6.10%
Before our stories
−2.9% did not move with itNBIS −3.5 · APP −3.4 · GOOGL −2.4 · META −0.3
5 Feb 13, 2026−16.83%
Resultsgroup +2.7%, did not move with it
5Feb 13, 2026−16.83%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 12 results filing
+2.7% did not move with itMETA −1.6 · GOOGL −1.1 · APP +6.4 · NBIS +9.2
6 Feb 18, 2026+5.61%
Before our storiesgroup +2.5%, did not move with it
6Feb 18, 2026+5.61%
Before our stories
+2.5% did not move with itAPP +7.4 · NBIS +4.4 · META +0.6 · GOOGL +0.4
7 Feb 20, 2026+5.96%
Before our storiesgroup +1.7%, did not move with it
7Feb 20, 2026+5.96%
Before our stories
+1.7% did not move with itGOOGL +4.0 · META +1.7 · APP +1.6 · NBIS −9.0
8 Feb 23, 2026−6.08%
Before our storiesgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
8Feb 23, 2026−6.08%
Before our stories
−2.0% did not move with itAPP −9.1 · META −2.8 · GOOGL −1.1 · NBIS +2.8
9 Mar 3, 2026+9.27%
Before our storiesgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
9Mar 3, 2026+9.27%
Before our stories
−0.4% did not move with itAPP +1.4 · META +0.2 · GOOGL −1.0 · NBIS −4.6
10 Mar 12, 2026−6.66%
Before our storiesgroup −2.6%, did not move with it
10Mar 12, 2026−6.66%
Before our stories
−2.6% did not move with itNBIS −3.5 · APP −2.6 · META −2.5 · GOOGL −1.7
11 Apr 15, 2026+8.40%
Before our storiesgroup +2.2%, did not move with it
11Apr 15, 2026+8.40%
Before our stories
+2.2% did not move with itAPP +7.2 · NBIS +3.0 · META +1.4 · GOOGL +1.3
12 May 5, 2026+6.86%
Resultsgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
12May 5, 2026+6.86%
ResultsFirst close after the May 4 results filing
+0.2% did not move with itGOOGL +1.4 · APP +0.7 · NBIS −0.3 · META −0.9
13 May 13, 2026−5.89%
Before our storiesgroup +3.1%, did not move with it
13May 13, 2026−5.89%
Before our stories
+3.1% did not move with itAPP −7.6 · META +2.3 · GOOGL +3.9 · NBIS +15.7
14 May 19, 2026−5.47%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
14May 19, 2026−5.47%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itAPP −3.1 · GOOGL −2.3 · META −1.4 · NBIS −1.1
15 Jun 1, 2026+6.48%
Before our storiesgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
15Jun 1, 2026+6.48%
Before our stories
−0.5% did not move with itNBIS +14.5 · APP +0.1 · GOOGL −1.0 · META −5.1
16 Jun 12, 2026−6.00%
Nothing on PINSgroup +2.2%, did not move with it
16Jun 12, 2026−6.00%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.2% did not move with itMETA −0.3 · GOOGL +0.5 · APP +3.8 · NBIS +4.5
17 Jun 15, 2026+5.54%
Nothing on PINSgroup +4.8%, moved with PINS
17Jun 15, 2026+5.54%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.8% moved with PINSNBIS +11.9 · APP +4.8 · META +4.7 · GOOGL +2.7
18 Jun 26, 2026+6.88%
Nothing on PINSgroup −0.2%, did not move with it
18Jun 26, 2026+6.88%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.2% did not move with itAPP +7.0 · META +1.4 · GOOGL −1.8 · NBIS −6.4
19 Jun 29, 2026+5.09%
Nothing on PINSgroup +4.7%, moved with PINS
19Jun 29, 2026+5.09%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.7% moved with PINSNBIS +8.7 · GOOGL +4.8 · APP +4.5 · META +2.2
20 Jul 27, 2026+6.19%
Nothing on PINSgroup +1.1%, did not move with it
20Jul 27, 2026+6.19%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.1% did not move with itAPP +5.3 · GOOGL +2.1 · NBIS +0.1 · META −0.2
21 Aug 4, 2026+5.88%
Nothing on PINSgroup +2.2%, did not move with it
21Aug 4, 2026+5.88%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.2% did not move with itNBIS +6.2 · APP +3.3 · GOOGL +1.1 · META −0.4
22 Aug 5, 2026−8.68%
Resultsgroup −1.7%, did not move with it
22Aug 5, 2026−8.68%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 4 results filing
−1.7% did not move with itGOOGL −4.0 · NBIS −3.0 · APP −0.5 · META +0.1
−1.6% did not move with itGOOGL −2.1 · APP −1.8 · NBIS −1.4 · META −1.0
24 Sep 9, 2026−9.24%
Nothing on PINSgroup −1.8%, did not move with it
24Sep 9, 2026−9.24%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.8% did not move with itGOOGL −2.3 · APP −2.2 · NBIS −1.4 · META +6.5
25 Nov 5, 2026−6.74%
Nothing on PINS
25Nov 5, 2026−6.74%
Nothing on PINSNo PINS story, brief or results filing in our record that day
No group that day
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of GOOGL, META, APP and NBIS that day, the largest companies in PINS’s SEC industry; “moved with PINS” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). PINS reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 4, 2025
day 1−21.76%day 6−16.99%
Reported Feb 12, 2026
day 1−16.83%day 6−9.98%
Reported May 4, 2026
day 1+6.86%day 6−1.39%
Reported Aug 4, 2026
day 1−8.68%day 6−10.48%
Next report: expected late January to mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 29 report: −0.65%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is PINS’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
PINS against four same-industry peers, a year at 100
PINS is down 27.0% in a year. Nebius Group is up 8.2%, Alphabet 3.6% and Meta Platforms 1.3%. Of these four, only AppLovin (−42.6%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in PINS’s SEC industry (Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.