Dollar Tree DLTR
Nasdaq · Retail-Variety Stores · $28.2B$137.94−6.16%Nov 5 close · Databento
DLTR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $137.941D −6.16%3M +6.62%SMA20 $127.60SMA50 $122.25RSI(14) 60.6
137.94
RSI (14, Wilder EOD) · 70 Overbought / 30 OversoldRSI 60.6
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via DatabentoMarket cap$28.2B
EV / True FCF22.8x
Revenue$19.4B +10.4%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.3B +8.1%
Rule of 4017.5%
ROIC22.9%
True FCF Yield4.7%
EPS, diluted$6.22 +144.3%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$28.2B
Enterprise Value$29.9B
EV / True FCF22.76
EV / FCF21.78
EV / Gross Profit4.24
EV / EBIT18.10
EV / Sales1.54
P / E (GAAP)22.03
P / FCF20.57
P / Oper. CF12.90
P / Book7.52
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield4.7%
FCF Yield4.9%
Owner Earn. Yield3.7%
Earnings Yield4.5%
Shareholder Yield+5.3%
Buyback Yield5.5%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$7.32
EPS (diluted)$6.22
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4017.5%
ROIC22.9%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)25.3%
GP / Assets52.4%
ROE34.2%
ROA9.5%
Gross Margin36.3%
Oper. Margin8.5%
Net Margin6.6%
FCF Margin7.1%
True FCF Margin6.8%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion107%
Accrual Ratio−6.7%
SBC % of FCF4.3%
SBC % of Rev0.3%
Reinvest. Rate37%
Sales Growth Y/Y+10.4%
Sales 3Y CAGR+8.0%
EPS Growth Y/Y+144.3%
FCF Growth Y/Y+8.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR+43.4%
Share Change Y/Y−4.4%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$19.4B
Gross Profit (FY)$7.1B
Oper. Income (FY)$1.7B
GAAP Net Income$1.3B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.3B
Cash & Equiv$760.7M
Total Debt$2.4B
Net Cash (Debt)$-1.7B
Net Cash % MCap−5.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)1.8y
Current Ratio1.07187.63M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+4.48%
Perf Month+18.61%
Perf Quarter+5.38%
Perf Half Y+42.56%
Perf YTD+28.62%
SMA 20 Dist+8.10%$127.60
SMA 50 Dist+12.84%$122.25
SMA 100 Dist+11.57%$123.64
Window High−6.16%$147.00
Window Low+58.92%$86.80
RSI (14) · Vol60.655%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DLTR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Where Every $100 of Revenue Goes (FY2026)
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$12.3B ($63.6 / $100)
SG&A & Other OpEx$5.5B ($28.2 / $100)
Tax & Non-Operating$370.6M ($1.9 / $100)
Net Profit Kept$1.3B ($6.3 / $100)
Earnings Quality: GAAP Profit → True Owner Cash (FY2026)
GAAP Net Income$1.3B (6.6% margin)
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$2.2B(11.3% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$817.1M(4.2% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$1.4B(7.1% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$58.9M(4.3% of FCF)
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$1.3B(6.8% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
| Line Item (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | YoY Δ | 4Y CAGR | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | ||||||||
| Revenue | $26.3B | $15.4B | $16.8B | $17.6B | $19.4B | +10.4% | −7.3% | |
| Cost of Revenue (COGS) | $18.6B | $9.6B | $10.8B | $11.3B | $12.3B | +9.4% | −9.7% | |
| Gross Profit | $7.7B | $5.8B | $6.0B | $6.3B | $7.1B | +12.2% | −2.3% | |
| Selling, General & Admin (SG&A) | $5.9B | $3.7B | $4.2B | $4.8B | $5.5B | +13.2% | −2.0% | |
| Total Operating Expenses | $5.9B | $3.7B | $4.2B | $4.8B | $5.4B | +12.0% | −2.3% | |
| Operating Income (EBIT) | $1.8B | $2.1B | $1.8B | $1.5B | $1.7B | +13.1% | −2.3% | |
| Income Tax Expense | $304.3M | $471.6M | $396.1M | $341.1M | $404.2M | +18.5% | +7.4% | |
| GAAP Net Income | $1.3B | $1.6B | $-998.4M | $-3.0B | $1.3B | +142.3% | −0.9% | |
| Diluted EPS | $5.80 | $7.21 | $-4.54 | $-14.03 | $6.22 | +144.3% | +1.8% | |
| Diluted Shares | 229.0M | 224.1M | 219.9M | 215.9M | 206.3M | −4.4% | −2.6% | |
| Balance Sheet | ||||||||
| Cash & Equivalents | $1.0B | $711.3M | $757.2M | $1.5B | $760.7M | −49.7% | −7.5% | |
| Total Current Assets | $5.6B | $6.4B | $6.1B | $9.1B | $3.4B | −62.2% | −11.5% | |
| Total Assets | $21.7B | $23.0B | $22.0B | $18.6B | $13.5B | −27.8% | −11.3% | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $4.2B | $4.2B | $4.7B | $8.6B | $3.2B | −62.4% | −6.2% | |
| Total Debt (Short + Long Term) | $3.4B | $3.4B | $3.4B | $3.4B | $2.4B | −29.1% | −8.2% | |
| Total Liabilities | $14.0B | $14.3B | $14.7B | $14.7B | $9.7B | −33.8% | −8.7% | |
| Stockholders' Equity | $7.7B | $8.8B | $7.3B | $4.0B | $3.8B | −5.6% | −16.5% | |
| Net Cash / (Net Debt) | $-2.4B | $-2.7B | $-2.7B | $-1.9B | $-1.7B | +13.0% | — | |
| Invested Capital | $10.1B | $11.5B | $10.0B | $5.9B | $5.4B | −8.0% | −14.4% | |
| Cash Flow & Capital Allocation | ||||||||
| Operating Cash Flow (OCF) | $1.4B | $1.6B | $2.7B | $2.2B | $2.2B | −0.1% | +11.2% | |
| Depreciation & Amortization (D&A) | $716.0M | $365.3M | $400.5M | $526.9M | $648.1M | +23.0% | −2.5% | |
| Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) | $79.9M | $91.5M | $76.3M | $106.9M | $58.9M | −44.9% | −7.3% | |
| Capital Expenditures (CapEx) | — | — | — | — | $817.1M | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | — | — | — | — | $1.4B | — | — | |
| True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash) | — | — | — | — | $1.3B | — | — | |
| Share Repurchases (Buybacks) | $950.0M | $647.5M | $500.0M | $400.0M | $1.5B | +287.0% | +13.0% | |
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
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