PSMT Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $162.561D −1.60%3M −3.70%SMA20 $168.18SMA50 $169.75RSI(14) 41.4
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$5.1B
EV / True FCF69.3x
Revenue$5.9B +11.5%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$73.1M −6.6%
Rule of 4013.1%
ROIC13.4%
True FCF Yield1.4%
EPS, diluted$5.40 +12.0%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$5.1B
Enterprise Value$5.1B
EV / True FCF69.34
EV / FCF52.55
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT19.41
EV / Sales0.86
P / E (GAAP)30.60
P / FCF52.89
P / Oper. CF16.57
P / Book3.50
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield1.4%
FCF Yield1.9%
Owner Earn. Yield0.6%
Earnings Yield3.3%
Shareholder Yield+0.6%
Buyback Yield0.2%
Dividend Yield0.86%
Dividend / sh$1.40
Payout Ratio26%
FCF / sh$3.12
EPS (diluted)$5.40
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4013.1%
ROIC13.4%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)6.8%
GP / Assets—
ROE11.4%
ROA6.4%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin4.4%
Net Margin2.8%
FCF Margin1.6%
True FCF Margin1.2%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion58%
Accrual Ratio−5.4%
SBC % of FCF24.2%
SBC % of Rev0.4%
Reinvest. Rate69%
Sales Growth Y/Y+11.5%
Sales 3Y CAGR+10.0%
EPS Growth Y/Y+12.0%
FCF Growth Y/Y−6.6%
FCF 3Y CAGR−5.7%
Share Change Y/Y+0.6%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$5.9B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$261.0M
GAAP Net Income$166.6M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$73.1M
Cash & Equiv$264.7M
Total Debt$232.1M
Net Cash (Debt)$32.6M
Net Cash % MCap+0.6%
Debt / FCF (yrs)2.4y
Current Ratio1.2430.93M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−1.56%
Perf Month−4.22%
Perf Quarter−8.18%
Perf Half Y+3.85%
Perf YTD+2.11%
SMA 20 Dist−3.34%$168.18
SMA 50 Dist−4.24%$169.75
SMA 100 Dist−8.51%$177.69
Window High−17.86%$197.90
Window Low+6.17%$153.11
RSI (14) · Vol41.429%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of PSMT revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$4.1B
$4.4B
$4.9B
$5.3B
$5.9B
+11.5%
+9.6%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
—
$3.7B
$4.1B
$4.4B
$4.8B
+11.1%
+9.8%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$167.1M
$184.5M
$220.9M
$232.5M
$261.0M
+12.3%
+11.8%
Interest Expense
$9.6M
$11.0M
$13.0M
$11.5M
$16.8M
+45.6%
+14.9%
Income Tax Expense
$51.9M
$60.0M
$62.6M
$58.6M
$61.1M
+4.3%
+4.2%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$104.5M
$109.2M
$138.9M
$147.9M
$166.6M
+12.6%
+12.4%
Diluted EPS ▸
$3.38
$3.50
$4.57
$4.82
$5.40
+12.0%
+12.4%
Diluted Shares
30.6M
30.8M
30.0M
30.1M
30.2M
+0.6%
−0.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$251.4M
$252.2M
$136.3M
$285.3M
$264.7M
−7.2%
+1.3%
Inventory
$464.4M
$471.4M
$528.7M
$560.7M
$617.2M
+10.1%
+7.4%
Total Current Assets
$773.6M
$877.1M
$832.3M
$974.5M
$1.1B
+8.7%
+8.2%
Total Assets
$1.8B
$2.0B
$2.0B
$2.3B
$2.6B
+14.7%
+9.5%
Total Current Liabilities
$579.5M
$634.5M
$680.1M
$726.3M
$854.8M
+17.7%
+10.2%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$171.0M
$159.9M
$166.3M
$225.3M
$232.1M
+3.0%
+7.9%
Total Liabilities
$817.3M
$898.6M
$899.7M
$1.0B
$1.1B
+12.3%
+8.9%
Stockholders' Equity
$991.1M
$1.1B
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.5B
+16.7%
+10.1%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$80.4M
$92.3M
$-30.0M
$60.0M
$32.6M
−45.7%
−20.2%
Invested Capital
$910.7M
$1.0B
$1.2B
$1.2B
$1.4B
+19.8%
+11.8%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$121.8M
$257.3M
$207.6M
$261.3M
$307.7M
+17.8%
+26.1%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$67.9M
$72.7M
$82.6M
$88.2M
$99.5M
+12.9%
+10.0%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$16.8M
$16.6M
$17.3M
$18.8M
$23.3M
+24.1%
+8.6%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$120.7M
$142.5M
$168.5M
$158.1M
$211.3M
+33.6%
+15.0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$1.2M
$114.8M
$39.0M
$103.2M
$96.4M
−6.6%
+201.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-15.6M
$98.2M
$21.8M
$84.4M
$73.1M
−13.4%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$6.3M
$12.9M
$73.5M
$6.7M
$9.1M
+35.5%
+9.8%
Dividends Paid
$26.6M
$28.5M
$66.2M
$38.7M
$43.0M
+11.0%
+12.8%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what PSMT did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named PSMT yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
28 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.00% from the one before, three times PSMT’s median day (1.00%). On 9 of the 28, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.00%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayPSMTWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 25, 2025+6.89%
Before our storiesgroup +2.5%, did not move with it
1Nov 25, 2025+6.89%
Before our stories
+2.5% did not move with itWMT +2.8 · DG +2.6 · TGT +2.4 · COST +0.9
2 Dec 11, 2025+4.03%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, moved with PSMT
2Dec 11, 2025+4.03%
Before our stories
+2.3% moved with PSMTDG +5.4 · TGT +2.5 · WMT +2.1 · COST +1.1
3 Jan 5, 2026+3.11%
Before our storiesgroup +1.6%, moved with PSMT
3Jan 5, 2026+3.11%
Before our stories
+1.6% moved with PSMTCOST +2.5 · TGT +1.6 · DG +1.5 · WMT −0.0
4 Jan 8, 2026+4.55%
Resultsgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
4Jan 8, 2026+4.55%
ResultsFirst close after the Jan 7 results filing
+1.4% did not move with itCOST +3.7 · TGT +2.6 · DG +0.3 · WMT +0.3
5 Jan 14, 2026+3.51%
Before our storiesgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
5Jan 14, 2026+3.51%
Before our stories
+0.4% did not move with itTGT +1.1 · COST +1.0 · DG −0.2 · WMT −0.3
6 Jan 21, 2026+3.54%
Before our storiesgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
6Jan 21, 2026+3.54%
Before our stories
+0.5% did not move with itCOST +1.9 · WMT +0.6 · DG +0.4 · TGT −3.0
7 Feb 6, 2026+3.65%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, moved with PSMT
7Feb 6, 2026+3.65%
Before our stories
+2.3% moved with PSMTTGT +4.2 · WMT +3.3 · DG +1.2 · COST +1.2
8 Mar 3, 2026−3.60%
Before our storiesgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
8Mar 3, 2026−3.60%
Before our stories
+0.6% did not move with itDG +0.3 · COST +0.5 · WMT +0.6 · TGT +6.7
9 Mar 5, 2026−4.19%
Before our storiesgroup −2.9%, moved with PSMT
9Mar 5, 2026−4.19%
Before our stories
−2.9% moved with PSMTWMT −3.5 · DG −3.3 · COST −2.4 · TGT +0.2
10 Mar 18, 2026−5.59%
Before our storiesgroup −2.0%, did not move with it
10Mar 18, 2026−5.59%
Before our stories
−2.0% did not move with itDG −3.3 · WMT −2.5 · COST −1.6 · TGT −1.5
11 Mar 23, 2026+3.58%
Before our storiesgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
11Mar 23, 2026+3.58%
Before our stories
+0.9% did not move with itTGT +1.5 · WMT +1.4 · DG +0.5 · COST −0.7
12 Apr 8, 2026+3.94%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, moved with PSMT
12Apr 8, 2026+3.94%
Before our stories
+2.3% moved with PSMTWMT +3.9 · TGT +3.0 · COST +1.7 · DG +1.5
13 Apr 17, 2026+3.26%
Before our storiesgroup +2.4%, moved with PSMT
13Apr 17, 2026+3.26%
Before our stories
+2.4% moved with PSMTTGT +3.2 · DG +2.6 · WMT +2.1 · COST +1.3
14 Apr 27, 2026−3.79%
Before our storiesgroup −1.5%, did not move with it
14Apr 27, 2026−3.79%
Before our stories
−1.5% did not move with itDG −2.8 · WMT −1.8 · COST −1.3 · TGT +0.4
15 May 4, 2026−3.22%
Before our storiesgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
15May 4, 2026−3.22%
Before our stories
−0.4% did not move with itWMT −1.0 · TGT −0.9 · DG +0.0 · COST +0.1
16 Jun 11, 2026+3.18%
Nothing on PSMTgroup +1.8%, moved with PSMT
16Jun 11, 2026+3.18%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% moved with PSMTDG +4.0 · TGT +3.6 · WMT −0.1 · COST −0.8
17 Jun 25, 2026+4.04%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −1.7%, did not move with it
17Jun 25, 2026+4.04%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.7% did not move with itTGT −1.1 · DG −1.4 · COST −2.0 · WMT −2.7
18 Jul 10, 2026+4.27%
Nothing on PSMTgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
18Jul 10, 2026+4.27%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% did not move with itDG +2.8 · TGT +2.2 · WMT +1.5 · COST +0.4
19 Jul 15, 2026−3.07%
Nothing on PSMTgroup +0.2%, did not move with it
19Jul 15, 2026−3.07%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.2% did not move with itWMT −1.0 · COST −0.6 · DG +0.9 · TGT +3.2
20 Jul 20, 2026−3.00%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −0.7%, did not move with it
20Jul 20, 2026−3.00%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.7% did not move with itWMT −1.8 · DG −0.8 · COST −0.5 · TGT −0.0
21 Jul 21, 2026+3.36%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
21Jul 21, 2026+3.36%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.0% did not move with itCOST −0.7 · TGT −0.8 · DG −1.2 · WMT −1.6
22 Aug 5, 2026−3.52%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
22Aug 5, 2026−3.52%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.3% did not move with itCOST −0.6 · TGT −0.3 · DG −0.3 · WMT +0.7
23 Aug 6, 2026−4.52%
Nothing on PSMTgroup +0.1%, did not move with it
23Aug 6, 2026−4.52%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.1% did not move with itTGT −0.4 · WMT −0.2 · DG +0.4 · COST +0.8
24 Aug 10, 2026−4.65%
Nothing on PSMTgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
24Aug 10, 2026−4.65%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.6% did not move with itDG −3.3 · COST +0.5 · WMT +0.7 · TGT +1.6
25 Aug 20, 2026−3.50%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −1.9%, moved with PSMT
25Aug 20, 2026−3.50%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.9% moved with PSMTWMT −9.2 · COST −2.5 · DG −1.4 · TGT −0.5
26 Oct 27, 2026−3.82%
Resultsgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
26Oct 27, 2026−3.82%
ResultsFirst close after the Oct 26 results filing
−1.0% did not move with itCOST −1.3 · DG −1.2 · WMT −0.8 · TGT −0.3
27 Oct 28, 2026−3.02%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
27Oct 28, 2026−3.02%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.5% did not move with itCOST −0.9 · DG −0.5 · WMT −0.5 · TGT +0.6
28 Nov 3, 2026−3.69%
Nothing on PSMTgroup −2.4%, moved with PSMT
28Nov 3, 2026−3.69%
Nothing on PSMTNo PSMT story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−2.4% moved with PSMTDG −3.9 · TGT −2.5 · WMT −2.2 · COST −2.0
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of WMT, COST, TGT and DG that day, the largest companies in PSMT’s SEC industry; “moved with PSMT” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). PSMT reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Jan 7, 2026
day 1+4.55%day 6+10.33%
Reported Apr 8, 2026
day 1+2.91%day 6−0.02%
Reported Jul 8, 2026
day 1−0.45%day 6−0.03%
Reported Oct 26, 2026
day 1−3.82%day 6−7.22%
Next report: expected early-to-late JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 26 report: −6.09%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is PSMT’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
PSMT against four retail peers, a year at 100
PSMT is up 39.2% in a year. Target is up 78.8%. Of these four, Dollar General (+39.1%), Walmart (+25.9%) and Costco (+13.4%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in PSMT’s SEC industry (Retail-Variety Stores) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.