Archer Aviation ACHR

NYSE · Aircraft · $3.2B
$3.87−6.07%Nov 5 close · Databento
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ACHR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $3.871D −6.07%3M −38.18%SMA20 $4.17SMA50 $4.90RSI(14) 34.4
3.87
RSI (14, Wilder EOD) · 70 Overbought / 30 OversoldRSI 34.4

Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.

1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.

The numbers

fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$3.2B
Enterprise value$2.2B
Revenue$300,000
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-735.2M −13.6%
ROIC-58.1%
True FCF Yield-23.2%
EPS, diluted$-0.99 +30.3%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$3.2B
Enterprise Value$2.2B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales7415.99
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book1.44
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-23.2%
FCF Yield-16.1%
Owner Earn. Yield-28.4%
Earnings Yield-19.5%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.66
EPS (diluted)$-0.99
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40—
ROIC-58.1%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-40.8%
GP / Assets—
ROE-28.1%
ROA-25.1%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin-243100.0%
Net Margin-206066.7%
FCF Margin-170566.7%
True FCF Margin-245066.7%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−7.5%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev74500.0%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y—
Sales 3Y CAGR—
EPS Growth Y/Y+30.3%
FCF Growth Y/Y−13.6%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+65.7%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$300,000
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$-729.3M
GAAP Net Income$-618.2M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-735.2M
Cash & Equiv$1.0B
Total Debt$81.1M
Net Cash (Debt)$947.7M
Net Cash % MCap+29.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio19.89770.02M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−11.64%
Perf Month−17.13%
Perf Quarter−30.77%
Perf Half Y−38.38%
Perf YTD−36.66%
SMA 20 Dist−7.28%$4.17
SMA 50 Dist−20.99%$4.90
SMA 100 Dist−24.36%$5.12
Window High−44.48%$6.97
Window Low+1.84%$3.80
RSI (14) · Vol34.466%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of ACHR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
REVENUE · 100%$300,000GROSS PROFIT · 33.3%$100,000COST OF REV · 66.7%$200,000OPER. INCOME · -243100.0%$-729.3MOPEX · 243133.3%R&D $493.9MNET INCOME · -206066.7%$-618.2M
Where Every $100 of Revenue Goes (FY2025)
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$200,000 ($66.7 / $100)
R&D Reinvestment$493.9M ($100.0 / $100)
Operating Expenses$235.5M ($100.0 / $100)
Tax & Non-Operating$0 ($0.0 / $100)
Net Profit Kept$-618.2M ($0.0 / $100)
Earnings Quality: GAAP Profit → True Owner Cash (FY2025)
GAAP Net Income$-618.2M (-206066.7% margin)
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$-432.9M(-144300.0% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$78.8M(26266.7% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-511.7M(-170566.7% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$223.5M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-735.2M(-245066.7% of rev)
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)FY2023FY2024FY2025YoY ΔCAGRTrend
Income Statement
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$0$0$200,000——
Research & Development (R&D)$276.4M$357.7M$493.9M+38.1%+33.7%
Total Operating Expenses$446.9M$509.7M——+14.1%
Interest Expense——$1.0M——
Income Tax Expense$500,000$200,000$300,000+50.0%−22.5%
Diluted Shares270.4M376.7M624.3M+65.7%+51.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents$471.5M$841.3M$1.0B+22.3%+47.7%
Total Current Assets$480.2M$858.4M$2.1B+141.9%+107.9%
Total Assets$554.3M$1.0B$2.5B+146.3%+110.9%
Total Current Liabilities$114.0M$71.1M$104.4M+46.8%−4.3%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)$7.2M$64.0M$81.1M+26.7%+235.6%
Total Liabilities$187.2M$248.6M$263.1M+5.8%+18.6%
Stockholders' Equity$367.1M$752.6M$2.2B+192.7%+145.0%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)$464.3M$777.3M$947.7M+21.9%+42.9%
Invested Capital$-97.2M$-24.7M$1.3B+5181.4%—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)$6.5M$11.7M$20.0M+70.9%+75.4%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$45.2M$108.8M$223.5M+105.4%+122.4%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)$44.3M$82.0M$78.8M−3.9%+33.4%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)$-361.1M$-559.4M$-735.2M−31.4%—

Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.

On the Wire

what ACHR did at the next close after each story
Aug 10—
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