ACHR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $3.871D −6.07%3M −38.18%SMA20 $4.17SMA50 $4.90RSI(14) 34.4
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$3.2B
Enterprise value$2.2B
Revenue$300,000
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-735.2M −13.6%
ROIC-58.1%
True FCF Yield-23.2%
EPS, diluted$-0.99 +30.3%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$3.2B
Enterprise Value$2.2B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales7415.99
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book1.44
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-23.2%
FCF Yield-16.1%
Owner Earn. Yield-28.4%
Earnings Yield-19.5%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.66
EPS (diluted)$-0.99
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40—
ROIC-58.1%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-40.8%
GP / Assets—
ROE-28.1%
ROA-25.1%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin-243100.0%
Net Margin-206066.7%
FCF Margin-170566.7%
True FCF Margin-245066.7%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−7.5%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev74500.0%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y—
Sales 3Y CAGR—
EPS Growth Y/Y+30.3%
FCF Growth Y/Y−13.6%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+65.7%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$300,000
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$-729.3M
GAAP Net Income$-618.2M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-735.2M
Cash & Equiv$1.0B
Total Debt$81.1M
Net Cash (Debt)$947.7M
Net Cash % MCap+29.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio19.89770.02M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−11.64%
Perf Month−17.13%
Perf Quarter−30.77%
Perf Half Y−38.38%
Perf YTD−36.66%
SMA 20 Dist−7.28%$4.17
SMA 50 Dist−20.99%$4.90
SMA 100 Dist−24.36%$5.12
Window High−44.48%$6.97
Window Low+1.84%$3.80
RSI (14) · Vol34.466%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of ACHR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$-432.9M(-144300.0% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$78.8M(26266.7% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-511.7M(-170566.7% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$223.5M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-735.2M(-245066.7% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$0FY23
$0FY24
$300,000FY25
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$0
$0
$300,000
—
—
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$0
$0
$200,000
—
—
Research & Development (R&D)
$276.4M
$357.7M
$493.9M
+38.1%
+33.7%
Total Operating Expenses
$446.9M
$509.7M
—
—
+14.1%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-446.9M
$-509.7M
$-729.3M
−43.1%
—
Interest Expense
—
—
$1.0M
—
—
Income Tax Expense
$500,000
$200,000
$300,000
+50.0%
−22.5%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-457.9M
$-536.8M
$-618.2M
−15.2%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-1.69
$-1.42
$-0.99
+30.3%
—
Diluted Shares
270.4M
376.7M
624.3M
+65.7%
+51.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$471.5M
$841.3M
$1.0B
+22.3%
+47.7%
Total Current Assets
$480.2M
$858.4M
$2.1B
+141.9%
+107.9%
Total Assets
$554.3M
$1.0B
$2.5B
+146.3%
+110.9%
Total Current Liabilities
$114.0M
$71.1M
$104.4M
+46.8%
−4.3%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$7.2M
$64.0M
$81.1M
+26.7%
+235.6%
Total Liabilities
$187.2M
$248.6M
$263.1M
+5.8%
+18.6%
Stockholders' Equity
$367.1M
$752.6M
$2.2B
+192.7%
+145.0%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$464.3M
$777.3M
$947.7M
+21.9%
+42.9%
Invested Capital
$-97.2M
$-24.7M
$1.3B
+5181.4%
—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-271.6M
$-368.6M
$-432.9M
−17.4%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$6.5M
$11.7M
$20.0M
+70.9%
+75.4%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$45.2M
$108.8M
$223.5M
+105.4%
+122.4%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$44.3M
$82.0M
$78.8M
−3.9%
+33.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-315.9M
$-450.6M
$-511.7M
−13.6%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-361.1M
$-559.4M
$-735.2M
−31.4%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
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What happened · big days
10 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 8.95% from the one before, three times ACHR’s median day (2.98%). On 4 of the 10, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±8.95%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayACHRWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Dec 3, 2025+9.15%
Before our storiesgroup +3.3%, did not move with it
1Dec 3, 2025+9.15%
Before our stories
+3.3% did not move with itJOBY +5.8 · BETA +4.0 · AVAV +2.6 · BA −1.4
2 Feb 6, 2026+12.48%
Before our storiesgroup +6.8%, moved with ACHR
2Feb 6, 2026+12.48%
Before our stories
+6.8% moved with ACHRJOBY +11.2 · AVAV +8.6 · BETA +5.1 · BA +2.6
3 Mar 3, 2026−10.64%
Resultsgroup −2.5%, did not move with it
3Mar 3, 2026−10.64%
ResultsFirst close after the Mar 2 results filing
−2.5% did not move with itJOBY −5.0 · BETA −2.5 · BA −2.5 · AVAV +9.6
4 May 6, 2026+9.76%
Before our storiesgroup +5.1%, moved with ACHR
4May 6, 2026+9.76%
Before our stories
+5.1% moved with ACHRJOBY +21.2 · BETA +5.7 · AVAV +4.6 · BA +2.5
5 Jun 5, 2026−13.17%
Before our storiesgroup −7.3%, moved with ACHR
5Jun 5, 2026−13.17%
Before our stories
−7.3% moved with ACHRJOBY −14.3 · AVAV −9.0 · BETA −5.5 · BA −0.9
6 Jun 15, 2026+9.25%
Nothing on ACHRgroup +3.6%, did not move with it
6Jun 15, 2026+9.25%
Nothing on ACHRNo ACHR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.6% did not move with itJOBY +5.7 · BA +4.5 · BETA +2.6 · AVAV +0.8
7 Jul 20, 2026+19.59%
Nothing on ACHRgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
7Jul 20, 2026+19.59%
Nothing on ACHRNo ACHR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% did not move with itBETA +10.6 · JOBY +3.3 · AVAV +0.3 · BA −2.1
8 Aug 4, 2026+9.71%
Nothing on ACHRgroup +7.1%, moved with ACHR
8Aug 4, 2026+9.71%
Nothing on ACHRNo ACHR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+7.1% moved with ACHRBETA +13.2 · JOBY +8.0 · AVAV +6.2 · BA +1.6
+1.2% did not move with itJOBY +2.0 · AVAV +1.3 · BETA +1.1 · BA −0.7
10 Aug 13, 2026+10.81%
Nothing on ACHRgroup +1.7%, did not move with it
10Aug 13, 2026+10.81%
Nothing on ACHRNo ACHR story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.7% did not move with itBETA +10.3 · JOBY +3.8 · BA −0.4 · AVAV −2.3
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of BA, AVAV, JOBY and BETA that day, the largest companies in ACHR’s SEC industry; “moved with ACHR” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). ACHR reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 6, 2025
day 1−7.88%day 6−11.26%
Reported Mar 2, 2026
day 1−10.64%day 6−15.96%
Reported May 11, 2026
day 1−2.29%day 6−9.63%
Reported Aug 10, 2026
day 1+8.47%day 6+0.96%
Next report: expected early NovemberEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Aug 10 report: −34.19%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is ACHR’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
ACHR against four aircraft peers, a year at 100
ACHR is down 49.6% in a year. Boeing is down 9.0% and BETA Technologies 24.9%. Of these four, Joby Aviation (−64.4%) and AeroVironment (−69.0%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in ACHR’s SEC industry (Aircraft) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.