BETA Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $24.051D −4.98%3M +1.22%SMA20 $20.07SMA50 $20.87RSI(14) 63.1
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$1.9B
Enterprise value$373.5M
Revenue$35.6M +136.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-348.0M −5.8%
Rule of 40-743.5%
ROIC-127.0%
True FCF Yield-18.3%
EPS, diluted$-12.85 −89.8%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$1.9B
Enterprise Value$373.5M
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit14.52
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales10.49
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book1.04
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-18.3%
FCF Yield-16.5%
Owner Earn. Yield-42.4%
Earnings Yield-39.3%
Shareholder Yield−1.8%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$-12.85
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40-743.5%
ROIC-127.0%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-106.6%
GP / Assets1.2%
ROE-41.0%
ROA-35.4%
Gross Margin72.2%
Oper. Margin-1046.3%
Net Margin-2094.2%
FCF Margin-879.5%
True FCF Margin-977.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−22.7%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev97.6%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+136.0%
Sales 3Y CAGR—
EPS Growth Y/Y−89.8%
FCF Growth Y/Y−5.8%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+65.7%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$35.6M
Gross Profit (FY)$25.7M
Oper. Income (FY)$-372.7M
GAAP Net Income$-745.9M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-348.0M
Cash & Equiv$1.7B
Total Debt$191.2M
Net Cash (Debt)$1.5B
Net Cash % MCap+80.3%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio22.77
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+16.92%
Perf Month+18.71%
Perf Quarter+2.30%
Perf Half Y+33.69%
Perf YTD+41.72%
SMA 20 Dist+19.85%$20.07
SMA 50 Dist+15.23%$20.87
SMA 100 Dist+18.45%$20.30
Window High−10.13%$26.76
Window Low+65.29%$14.55
RSI (14) · Vol63.186%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of BETA revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-313.2M(-879.5% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$34.8M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-348.0M(-977.1% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$15.4MFY23
$15.1MFY24
$35.6MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$15.4M
$15.1M
$35.6M
+136.0%
+52.3%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$2.0M
$4.5M
$9.9M
+119.1%
+121.1%
Gross Profit ▸
$13.3M
$10.6M
$25.7M
+143.2%
+38.9%
Research & Development (R&D)
$138.3M
$206.9M
$259.9M
+25.6%
+37.1%
Total Operating Expenses
$199.9M
$282.8M
$398.4M
+40.9%
+41.2%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-186.6M
$-272.2M
$-372.7M
−36.9%
—
Interest Expense
$352,000
$11.4M
$13.0M
+13.5%
+507.1%
Income Tax Expense
$1.0M
$514,000
$756,000
+47.1%
−14.3%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-175.6M
$-275.6M
$-745.9M
−170.6%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-4.50
$-6.77
$-12.85
−89.8%
—
Diluted Shares
44.9M
45.2M
75.0M
+65.7%
+29.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$254.1M
$302.0M
$1.7B
+467.9%
+159.8%
Total Current Assets
$1.4B
$327.3M
$1.7B
+431.4%
+12.8%
Total Assets
$1.9B
$666.4M
$2.1B
+216.1%
+6.5%
Total Current Liabilities
$118.8M
$56.6M
$76.4M
+35.1%
−19.8%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$184.0M
$152.1M
$191.2M
+25.7%
+1.9%
Total Liabilities
$339.8M
$230.4M
$288.4M
+25.2%
−7.9%
Stockholders' Equity
$385.4M
$435.9M
$1.8B
+317.0%
+117.2%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$70.1M
$150.0M
$1.5B
+916.3%
+366.2%
Invested Capital
$315.3M
$286.0M
$293.8M
+2.7%
−3.5%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-158.0M
$-222.7M
$-267.8M
−20.3%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$8.6M
$16.5M
$22.0M
+33.8%
+59.9%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$9.0M
$12.1M
$34.8M
+187.2%
+97.0%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$153.2M
$73.5M
$45.4M
−38.2%
−45.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-311.3M
$-296.2M
$-313.2M
−5.8%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-320.2M
$-308.3M
$-348.0M
−12.9%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$530,000
$0
−100.0%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what BETA did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named BETA yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
9 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 10.40% from the one before, three times BETA’s median day (3.47%). On 4 of the 9, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±10.40%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayBETAWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 13, 2025−10.58%
Before our storiesgroup −8.3%, moved with BETA
1Nov 13, 2025−10.58%
Before our stories
−8.3% moved with BETAJOBY −9.3 · AVAV −8.6 · ACHR −8.0 · BA −0.5
2 Nov 17, 2025−10.83%
Before our storiesgroup −3.1%, did not move with it
2Nov 17, 2025−10.83%
Before our stories
−3.1% did not move with itACHR −5.8 · JOBY −3.6 · AVAV −2.6 · BA −1.4
3 Feb 5, 2026−12.32%
Before our storiesgroup −7.3%, moved with BETA
3Feb 5, 2026−12.32%
Before our stories
−7.3% moved with BETAJOBY −8.9 · AVAV −7.9 · ACHR −6.6 · BA +0.4
4 Feb 11, 2026+15.62%
Before our storiesgroup −2.7%, did not move with it
4Feb 11, 2026+15.62%
Before our stories
−2.7% did not move with itJOBY −1.3 · BA −2.6 · ACHR −2.8 · AVAV −7.5
5 Mar 9, 2026+11.94%
Resultsgroup +1.5%, did not move with it
5Mar 9, 2026+11.94%
ResultsFirst close after the Mar 9 results filing
+1.5% did not move with itJOBY +5.1 · ACHR +4.2 · AVAV −1.1 · BA −2.6
6 Jul 7, 2026−10.68%
Nothing on BETAgroup −8.1%, moved with BETA
6Jul 7, 2026−10.68%
Nothing on BETANo BETA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−8.1% moved with BETAJOBY −9.0 · ACHR −8.2 · AVAV −8.1 · BA −1.2
7 Jul 20, 2026+10.59%
Nothing on BETAgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
7Jul 20, 2026+10.59%
Nothing on BETANo BETA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% did not move with itACHR +19.6 · JOBY +3.3 · AVAV +0.3 · BA −2.1
8 Aug 4, 2026+13.20%
Nothing on BETAgroup +7.1%, moved with BETA
8Aug 4, 2026+13.20%
Nothing on BETANo BETA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+7.1% moved with BETAACHR +9.7 · JOBY +8.0 · AVAV +6.2 · BA +1.6
9 Nov 3, 2026+16.00%
Resultsgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
9Nov 3, 2026+16.00%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 3 results filing
−0.3% did not move with itJOBY +0.8 · AVAV +0.4 · ACHR −1.0 · BA −1.2
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of BA, AVAV, JOBY and ACHR that day, the largest companies in BETA’s SEC industry; “moved with BETA” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). BETA reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 2 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Dec 4, 2025
day 1+1.15%day 6+6.41%
Reported Mar 9, 2026
day 1+11.94%day 6−12.56%
Reported May 12, 2026
day 1−2.58%day 6−21.46%
Reported Aug 12, 2026
day 1−3.29%day 6+7.36%
Next report: expected early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 3 report: +18.01%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is BETA’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
BETA against four aircraft peers, a year at 100
BETA is down 24.9% in a year. Boeing is down 9.0%. Of these four, Archer Aviation (−49.6%), Joby Aviation (−64.4%) and AeroVironment (−69.0%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in BETA’s SEC industry (Aircraft) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.