DUKE Robotics DUKR

Nasdaq · Aircraft · $11M
$2.89−11.35%Nov 5 close · Databento
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DUKR Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $2.891D −11.35%3M −46.08%SMA20 $4.06SMA50 $4.86RSI(14) 19.9
2.89
RSI (14, Wilder EOD) · 70 Overbought / 30 OversoldRSI 19.9

Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.

The numbers

fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$11M
Enterprise value$10.4M
Revenue$377,000 +249.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-1.2M −2.1%
Rule of 40-20.4%
Operating margin-319.9%
True FCF Yield-11.2%
EPS, diluted$-0.57 −26.7%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$11M
Enterprise Value$10.4M
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit57.88
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales27.48
P / E (GAAP)8.95
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book111.10
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-11.2%
FCF Yield-9.1%
Owner Earn. Yield34.3%
Earnings Yield11.2%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh—
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.30
EPS (diluted)$-0.57
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40-20.4%
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets14.3%
ROE1241.0%
ROA99.4%
Gross Margin47.5%
Oper. Margin-319.9%
Net Margin329.2%
FCF Margin-269.5%
True FCF Margin-328.9%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion-82%
Accrual Ratio+164.3%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev59.4%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+249.1%
Sales 3Y CAGR−9.0%
EPS Growth Y/Y−26.7%
FCF Growth Y/Y−2.1%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y0.0%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$377,000
Gross Profit (FY)$179,000
Oper. Income (FY)$-1.2M
GAAP Net Income$1.2M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-1.2M
Cash & Equiv$750,000
Total Debt—
Net Cash (Debt)$750,000
Net Cash % MCap+6.8%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio1.203.43M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−32.00%
Perf Month−44.10%
Perf Quarter−46.28%
Perf Half Y—
Perf YTD−61.26%
SMA 20 Dist−28.85%$4.06
SMA 50 Dist−40.53%$4.86
SMA 100 Dist−44.55%$5.21
Window High−61.47%$7.50
Window Low0.00%$2.89
RSI (14) · Vol19.975%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DUKR revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
REVENUE · 100%$377,000GROSS PROFIT · 47.5%$179,000COST OF REV · 52.5%$198,000OPER. INCOME · -319.9%$-1.2MOPEX · 367.4%R&D $104,000 · SG&A $1.3MNET INCOME · 329.2%$1.2M
Where Every $100 of Revenue Goes (FY2025)
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$198,000 ($52.5 / $100)
R&D Reinvestment$104,000 ($27.6 / $100)
SG&A & Other OpEx$1.3M ($100.0 / $100)
Tax & Non-Operating$0 ($0.0 / $100)
Net Profit Kept$1.2M ($0.0 / $100)
Earnings Quality: GAAP Profit → True Owner Cash (FY2025)
GAAP Net Income$1.2M (329.2% margin)
Operating Cash Flow (OCF)$-811,000(-215.1% of rev)
Less: Capital Expenditures−$205,000(54.4% of rev)
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-1.0M(-269.5% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$224,000
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-1.2M(-328.9% of rev)

Operating leverage — margins

GrossOperatingNet
0%460%920%47%-320%329%FY19FY21FY23FY24FY25
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)FY2019FY2021FY2023FY2024FY2025YoY Δ4Y CAGRTrend
Income Statement
Cost of Revenue (COGS)$105,000$0$273,000$71,000$198,000+178.9%+17.2%
Research & Development (R&D)$75,000$14,000$3,000$157,000$104,000−33.8%+8.5%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)$961,000———$1.3M—+7.9%
Total Operating Expenses$135,543$942,000$829,000$1.1M$1.4M+30.4%+78.8%
Interest Expense$37,405—$11,000$15,000$15,000+0.0%−20.4%
Diluted Shares—49.2M54.5M2.2M2.2M+0.0%−64.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents$23,000$3.6M$2.3M$1.3M$750,000−41.7%+139.0%
Inventory$5,111$5,111$5,111$5,111$5,111+0.0%+0.0%
Total Current Assets$46,000$3.6M$2.3M$1.4M$907,000−33.1%+110.7%
Total Assets$63,000$3.6M$2.5M$1.6M$1.2M−23.2%+111.0%
Total Current Liabilities$1.5M$211,000$311,000$345,000$756,000+119.1%−16.3%
Total Liabilities$1.8M$508,000$671,000$776,000$1.1M+48.1%−10.9%
Stockholders' Equity$-1.8M$3.1M$1.8M$851,000$100,000−88.2%—
Net Cash / (Net Debt)$23,000$3.6M$2.3M$1.3M$750,000−41.7%+139.0%
Invested Capital$-1.8M$-459,000$-473,000$-436,000$-650,000−49.1%—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)$2,000$3,000$20,000$3.0M$3.0M+0.0%+522.3%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)$540,000$416,000$108,000$28,000$224,000+700.0%−19.7%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)——$18,000$77,000$205,000+166.2%+237.5%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)——$-674,000$-1.0M$-1.2M−21.2%—

Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.

On the Wire

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