JOBY Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $5.301D +4.95%3M −39.84%SMA20 $4.89SMA50 $5.75RSI(14) 52.2
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$5.0B
Enterprise value$4.8B
Revenue$53.4M +39183.1%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-691.7M −18.2%
Rule of 4038127.8%
ROIC-61.7%
True FCF Yield-13.8%
EPS, diluted$-1.13 −29.9%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$5.0B
Enterprise Value$4.8B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT—
EV / Sales88.97
P / E (GAAP)—
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF—
P / Book3.54
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-13.8%
FCF Yield-11.3%
Owner Earn. Yield-21.5%
Earnings Yield-18.6%
Shareholder Yield—
Buyback Yield—
Dividend Yield—
Dividend / sh$0.00
Payout Ratio—
FCF / sh$-0.55
EPS (diluted)$-1.13
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4038127.8%
ROIC-61.7%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-48.3%
GP / Assets—
ROE-66.0%
ROA-51.8%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin-1346.9%
Net Margin-1740.5%
FCF Margin-1055.3%
True FCF Margin-1294.7%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−23.4%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev239.4%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+39183.1%
Sales 3Y CAGR—
EPS Growth Y/Y−29.9%
FCF Growth Y/Y−18.2%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+18.1%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$53.4M
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$-719.6M
GAAP Net Income$-929.8M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-691.7M
Cash & Equiv$241.7M
Total Debt—
Net Cash (Debt)$241.7M
Net Cash % MCap+4.8%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.0y
Current Ratio24.091.02B sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+4.33%
Perf Month−7.83%
Perf Quarter−38.66%
Perf Half Y−47.05%
Perf YTD−42.01%
SMA 20 Dist+8.45%$4.89
SMA 50 Dist−7.81%$5.75
SMA 100 Dist−23.20%$6.90
Window High−56.91%$12.30
Window Low+14.97%$4.61
RSI (14) · Vol52.259%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of JOBY revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Standard Free Cash Flow (FCF)$-563.8M(-1055.3% margin)
Less: Stock-Based Comp (SBC)−$127.9M
True FCF (Owner Cash ex-SBC)$-691.7M(-1294.7% of rev)
Revenue by fiscal year
$0FY21
$0FY22
$1.0MFY23
$136,000FY24
$53.4MFY25
Operating leverage — margins
GrossOperatingNet
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$0
$0
$1.0M
$136,000
$53.4M
+39183.1%
—
Research & Development (R&D)
$197.6M
$296.3M
$367.0M
$477.2M
$581.1M
+21.8%
+31.0%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$61.5M
$95.9M
$105.9M
$119.7M
$162.6M
+35.9%
+27.5%
Total Operating Expenses
$259.1M
$392.2M
$473.1M
$596.9M
$773.0M
+29.5%
+31.4%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-259.1M
$-392.2M
$-472.1M
$-596.8M
$-719.6M
−20.6%
—
Interest Expense
$2.4M
$118,000
—
—
$118,000
—
−53.0%
Income Tax Expense
$-10.5M
$92,000
$139,000
$129,000
$1.3M
+913.2%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-180.3M
$-258.0M
$-513.0M
$-608.0M
$-929.8M
−52.9%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-0.61
$-0.44
$-0.79
$-0.87
$-1.13
−29.9%
—
Diluted Shares
294.9M
585.5M
647.9M
699.8M
826.2M
+18.1%
+29.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$956.3M
$150.1M
$204.8M
$200.4M
$241.7M
+20.6%
−29.1%
Total Current Assets
$1.3B
$1.1B
$1.1B
$969.6M
$1.4B
+49.1%
+2.3%
Total Assets
$1.5B
$1.3B
$1.3B
$1.2B
$1.8B
+49.2%
+4.8%
Total Current Liabilities
$13.8M
$30.2M
$45.1M
$48.1M
$60.0M
+24.7%
+44.3%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$702.6M
$702.6M
$702.6M
$702.6M
$0
−100.0%
—
Total Liabilities
$171.6M
$128.2M
$235.1M
$291.1M
$385.4M
+32.4%
+22.4%
Stockholders' Equity
$1.3B
$1.2B
$1.0B
$912.4M
$1.4B
+54.5%
+1.7%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$253.8M
$-552.5M
$-497.8M
$-502.2M
$241.7M
+148.1%
−1.2%
Invested Capital
$1.1B
$1.7B
$1.5B
$1.4B
$1.2B
−17.4%
+2.4%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-195.7M
$-235.9M
$-313.8M
$-436.3M
$-509.9M
−16.9%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$15.9M
$24.0M
$30.5M
$35.6M
$40.2M
+12.9%
+26.0%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$26.9M
$69.1M
$93.6M
$104.4M
$127.9M
+22.4%
+47.6%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$32.3M
$54.9M
$30.6M
$40.6M
$53.9M
+32.7%
+13.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-228.1M
$-290.8M
$-344.4M
$-476.9M
$-563.8M
−18.2%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-255.0M
$-359.9M
$-438.1M
$-581.3M
$-691.7M
−19.0%
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what JOBY did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named JOBY yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
15 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 7.62% from the one before, three times JOBY’s median day (2.54%). On 8 of the 15, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±7.62%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayJOBYWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 13, 2025−9.26%
Before our storiesgroup −8.3%, moved with JOBY
1Nov 13, 2025−9.26%
Before our stories
−8.3% moved with JOBYBETA −10.6 · AVAV −8.6 · ACHR −8.0 · BA −0.5
2 Dec 4, 2025+7.72%
Before our storiesgroup +3.5%, did not move with it
2Dec 4, 2025+7.72%
Before our stories
+3.5% did not move with itACHR +7.2 · AVAV +5.8 · BETA +1.1 · BA −0.3
3 Jan 2, 2026+8.79%
Before our storiesgroup +5.4%, moved with JOBY
3Jan 2, 2026+8.79%
Before our stories
+5.4% moved with JOBYACHR +8.1 · AVAV +5.9 · BA +4.9 · BETA −3.1
4 Jan 5, 2026+11.70%
Before our storiesgroup +5.8%, did not move with it
4Jan 5, 2026+11.70%
Before our stories
+5.8% did not move with itAVAV +16.1 · BETA +6.3 · ACHR +5.3 · BA +0.2
5 Jan 29, 2026−16.68%
Before our storiesgroup −3.5%, did not move with it
5Jan 29, 2026−16.68%
Before our stories
−3.5% did not move with itAVAV −4.5 · ACHR −3.9 · BA −3.1 · BETA −0.8
6 Feb 5, 2026−8.86%
Before our storiesgroup −7.3%, moved with JOBY
6Feb 5, 2026−8.86%
Before our stories
−7.3% moved with JOBYBETA −12.3 · AVAV −7.9 · ACHR −6.6 · BA +0.4
7 Feb 6, 2026+11.21%
Before our storiesgroup +6.8%, moved with JOBY
7Feb 6, 2026+11.21%
Before our stories
+6.8% moved with JOBYACHR +12.5 · AVAV +8.6 · BETA +5.1 · BA +2.6
8 May 6, 2026+21.20%
Resultsgroup +5.1%, did not move with it
8May 6, 2026+21.20%
ResultsFirst close after the May 5 results filing
+5.1% did not move with itACHR +9.8 · BETA +5.7 · AVAV +4.6 · BA +2.5
9 May 8, 2026+8.59%
Before our storiesgroup +3.0%, did not move with it
9May 8, 2026+8.59%
Before our stories
+3.0% did not move with itBETA +3.8 · ACHR +3.2 · BA +2.7 · AVAV +0.1
10 Jun 5, 2026−14.27%
Before our storiesgroup −7.3%, moved with JOBY
10Jun 5, 2026−14.27%
Before our stories
−7.3% moved with JOBYACHR −13.2 · AVAV −9.0 · BETA −5.5 · BA −0.9
11 Jul 7, 2026−8.97%
Nothing on JOBYgroup −8.1%, moved with JOBY
11Jul 7, 2026−8.97%
Nothing on JOBYNo JOBY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−8.1% moved with JOBYBETA −10.7 · ACHR −8.2 · AVAV −8.1 · BA −1.2
12 Jul 24, 2026−8.09%
Nothing on JOBYgroup −3.3%, did not move with it
12Jul 24, 2026−8.09%
Nothing on JOBYNo JOBY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−3.3% did not move with itACHR −6.7 · AVAV −5.8 · BETA −0.9 · BA +0.1
13 Jul 29, 2026−8.53%
Nothing on JOBYgroup −7.4%, moved with JOBY
13Jul 29, 2026−8.53%
Nothing on JOBYNo JOBY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−7.4% moved with JOBYAVAV −9.1 · BETA −7.7 · ACHR −7.0 · BA −3.4
14 Jul 30, 2026+8.87%
Nothing on JOBYgroup +3.4%, did not move with it
14Jul 30, 2026+8.87%
Nothing on JOBYNo JOBY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.4% did not move with itACHR +5.8 · BETA +3.6 · BA +3.2 · AVAV +3.1
15 Aug 4, 2026+7.99%
Nothing on JOBYgroup +8.0%, moved with JOBY
15Aug 4, 2026+7.99%
Nothing on JOBYNo JOBY story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+8.0% moved with JOBYBETA +13.2 · ACHR +9.7 · AVAV +6.2 · BA +1.6
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of BA, AVAV, ACHR and BETA that day, the largest companies in JOBY’s SEC industry; “moved with JOBY” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). JOBY reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 5, 2025
day 1−4.53%day 6−1.40%
Reported Feb 25, 2026
day 1+4.18%day 6−2.14%
Reported May 5, 2026
day 1+21.20%day 6+27.42%
Reported Aug 5, 2026
day 1+5.51%day 6+5.90%
Next report: expected early-to-late FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 4 report: +4.95%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is JOBY’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
JOBY against four aircraft peers, a year at 100
JOBY is down 64.4% in a year. Boeing is down 9.0%, BETA Technologies 24.9% and Archer Aviation 49.6%. Of these four, only AeroVironment (−69.0%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in JOBY’s SEC industry (Aircraft) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.