BA Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $172.501D −2.54%3M −25.90%SMA20 $182.30SMA50 $193.13RSI(14) 37.3
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
After a story on BA, the first close moved a median −0.97%. Up 2 of 16; over the next three trading days, a median −0.34%.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$139.9B
Enterprise value$190.5B
Revenue$89.5B +34.5%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-2.3B +86.9%
Rule of 4032.4%
ROIC6.5%
True FCF Yield-1.6%
EPS, diluted$2.48 +113.5%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$139.9B
Enterprise Value$190.5B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit44.43
EV / EBIT44.51
EV / Sales2.13
P / E (GAAP)62.59
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF131.36
P / Book25.64
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield-1.6%
FCF Yield-1.3%
Owner Earn. Yield0.6%
Earnings Yield1.6%
Shareholder Yield+1.8%
Buyback Yield1.9%
Dividend Yield4.77%
Dividend / sh$8.22
Payout Ratio15%
FCF / sh$-2.37
EPS (diluted)$2.48
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4032.4%
ROIC6.5%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)-3.3%
GP / Assets2.5%
ROE41.0%
ROA1.3%
Gross Margin4.8%
Oper. Margin4.8%
Net Margin2.5%
FCF Margin-2.1%
True FCF Margin-2.6%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion-84%
Accrual Ratio+0.7%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev0.5%
Reinvest. Rate616%
Sales Growth Y/Y+34.5%
Sales 3Y CAGR+10.3%
EPS Growth Y/Y+113.5%
FCF Growth Y/Y+86.9%
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+17.8%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$89.5B
Gross Profit (FY)$4.3B
Oper. Income (FY)$4.3B
GAAP Net Income$2.2B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$-2.3B
Cash & Equiv$11.7B
Total Debt$62.3B
Net Cash (Debt)$-50.6B
Net Cash % MCap−36.2%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio1.19792.45M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−0.09%
Perf Month−8.40%
Perf Quarter−26.41%
Perf Half Y−25.33%
Perf YTD−23.36%
SMA 20 Dist−5.38%$182.30
SMA 50 Dist−10.68%$193.13
SMA 100 Dist−16.72%$207.14
Window High−28.30%$240.60
Window Low+3.21%$167.14
RSI (14) · Vol37.348%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of BA revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$62.3B
$66.6B
$77.8B
$66.5B
$89.5B
+34.5%
+9.5%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$59.2B
$63.1B
$70.1B
$68.5B
$85.2B
+24.3%
+9.5%
Gross Profit ▸
$3.0B
$3.5B
$7.7B
$-2.0B
$4.3B
+315.4%
+8.9%
Research & Development (R&D)
$2.2B
$2.9B
$3.4B
$3.8B
$3.6B
−5.2%
+12.6%
Total Operating Expenses
$5.9B
$7.0B
$8.5B
$8.7B
$8.0M
−99.9%
−80.8%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$-2.9B
$-3.5B
$-773.0M
$-10.7B
$4.3B
+140.0%
—
Income Tax Expense
$-743.0M
$31.0M
$237.0M
$-381.0M
$397.0M
+204.2%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-4.2B
$-4.9B
$-2.2B
$-11.8B
$2.2B
+118.9%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-7.15
$-8.30
$-3.67
$-18.36
$2.48
+113.5%
—
Diluted Shares
587.6M
594.9M
605.8M
646.9M
762.3M
+17.8%
+6.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$8.1B
$14.6B
$12.7B
$13.8B
$11.7B
−15.6%
+9.5%
Total Current Assets
$108.7B
$109.5B
$109.3B
$128.0B
$128.5B
+0.4%
+4.3%
Total Assets
$138.6B
$137.1B
$137.0B
$156.4B
$168.2B
+7.6%
+5.0%
Total Current Liabilities
$82.0B
$90.1B
$95.8B
$97.1B
$108.1B
+11.4%
+7.2%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$59.2B
$62.0B
$57.3B
$54.9B
$62.3B
+13.5%
+1.3%
Total Liabilities
$153.4B
$152.9B
$154.2B
$160.3B
$162.8B
+1.6%
+1.5%
Stockholders' Equity
$-14.8B
$-15.8B
$-17.2B
$-3.9B
$5.5B
+239.4%
—
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-51.1B
$-47.3B
$-44.5B
$-41.1B
$-50.6B
−23.3%
—
Invested Capital
$36.3B
$31.5B
$27.3B
$37.2B
$56.1B
+50.9%
+11.5%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$-3.4B
$3.5B
$6.0B
$-12.1B
$1.1B
+108.8%
—
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$2.1B
$2.0B
$1.9B
$1.8B
$2.0B
+6.4%
−2.3%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$833.0M
$725.0M
$690.0M
$407.0M
$426.0M
+4.7%
−15.4%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$980.0M
$1.2B
$1.5B
$2.2B
$2.9B
+31.9%
+31.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$-4.4B
$2.3B
$4.4B
$-14.3B
$-1.9B
+86.9%
—
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$-5.2B
$1.6B
$3.7B
$-14.7B
$-2.3B
+84.4%
—
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
—
—
—
—
$2.7B
—
—
Dividends Paid
—
—
—
—
$331.0M
—
—
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
19 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.52% from the one before, three times BA’s median day (1.17%). On 11 of the 19, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.52%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayBAWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Dec 2, 2025+10.15%
Before our storiesgroup +2.7%, did not move with it
1Dec 2, 2025+10.15%
Before our stories
+2.7% did not move with itBETA +8.2 · AVAV +2.8 · JOBY +2.7 · ACHR +2.5
2 Jan 2, 2026+4.91%
Before our storiesgroup +7.0%, moved with BA
2Jan 2, 2026+4.91%
Before our stories
+7.0% moved with BAJOBY +8.8 · ACHR +8.1 · AVAV +5.9 · BETA −3.1
3 Mar 6, 2026+4.08%
Before our storiesgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
3Mar 6, 2026+4.08%
Before our stories
−0.3% did not move with itAVAV +4.2 · BETA +0.1 · JOBY −0.6 · ACHR −3.1
4 Mar 12, 2026−4.36%
Before our storiesgroup −4.6%, moved with BA
4Mar 12, 2026−4.36%
Before our stories
−4.6% moved with BABETA −10.0 · JOBY −4.8 · ACHR −4.3 · AVAV +2.0
5 Mar 31, 2026+5.19%
Before our storiesgroup +4.3%, moved with BA
5Mar 31, 2026+5.19%
Before our stories
+4.3% moved with BABETA +8.2 · ACHR +4.7 · JOBY +4.0 · AVAV +3.4
6 Apr 1, 2026+4.17%
Before our storiesgroup +0.5%, did not move with it
6Apr 1, 2026+4.17%
Before our stories
+0.5% did not move with itBETA +2.6 · ACHR +0.8 · AVAV +0.3 · JOBY +0.1
7 Apr 8, 2026+3.71%
Before our storiesgroup +3.7%, moved with BA
7Apr 8, 2026+3.71%
Before our stories
+3.7% moved with BABETA +6.1 · ACHR +4.5 · JOBY +3.0 · AVAV +0.1
8 Apr 22, 2026+5.53%
Resultsgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
8Apr 22, 2026+5.53%
ResultsFirst close after the Apr 22 results filing
+0.9% did not move with itACHR +2.0 · JOBY +1.9 · AVAV +0.0 · BETA −2.1
9 May 14, 2026−4.73%
Before our storiesgroup −2.8%, moved with BA
9May 14, 2026−4.73%
Before our stories
−2.8% moved with BABETA −9.8 · JOBY −3.8 · ACHR −1.7 · AVAV +2.7
10 May 15, 2026−3.80%
Before our storiesgroup −5.0%, moved with BA
10May 15, 2026−3.80%
Before our stories
−5.0% moved with BABETA −7.2 · ACHR −5.6 · AVAV −4.4 · JOBY −2.6
11 Jun 11, 2026+6.04%
Nothing on BAgroup +5.9%, moved with BA
11Jun 11, 2026+6.04%
Nothing on BANo BA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.9% moved with BABETA +8.1 · AVAV +6.2 · JOBY +5.6 · ACHR +5.0
12 Jun 15, 2026+4.52%
Nothing on BAgroup +4.2%, moved with BA
12Jun 15, 2026+4.52%
Nothing on BANo BA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+4.2% moved with BAACHR +9.3 · JOBY +5.7 · BETA +2.6 · AVAV +0.8
13 Jul 2, 2026+3.62%
Nothing on BAgroup +2.7%, moved with BA
13Jul 2, 2026+3.62%
Nothing on BANo BA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.7% moved with BAAVAV +10.7 · BETA +4.2 · ACHR +1.2 · JOBY −4.0
14 Jul 6, 2026+3.55%
Nothing on BAgroup +5.0%, moved with BA
14Jul 6, 2026+3.55%
Nothing on BANo BA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.0% moved with BAACHR +7.8 · JOBY +5.1 · BETA +4.9 · AVAV −7.4
15 Jul 28, 2026+4.76%
Resultsgroup +0.0%, did not move with it
15Jul 28, 2026+4.76%
ResultsFirst close after the Jul 28 results filing
+0.0% did not move with itBETA +2.3 · AVAV +1.4 · JOBY −1.4 · ACHR −2.6
16 Aug 3, 2026+8.03%
Nothing on BAgroup +3.8%, did not move with it
16Aug 3, 2026+8.03%
Nothing on BANo BA story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+3.8% did not move with itAVAV +6.6 · ACHR +4.3 · JOBY +3.2 · BETA +2.4
−3.7% moved with BAACHR −7.3 · BETA −4.1 · JOBY −3.3 · AVAV −3.2
19 Oct 27, 2026−10.69%
Resultsgroup +5.8%, did not move with it
19Oct 27, 2026−10.69%
ResultsFirst close after the Oct 27 results filing
+5.8% did not move with itAVAV +1.0 · BETA +4.7 · JOBY +6.8 · ACHR +7.4
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of AVAV, JOBY, ACHR and BETA that day, the largest companies in BA’s SEC industry; “moved with BA” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). BA reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Jan 27, 2026
day 1−1.56%day 6−6.15%
Reported Apr 22, 2026
day 1+5.53%day 6+2.26%
Reported Jul 28, 2026
day 1+4.76%day 6+12.13%
Reported Oct 27, 2026
day 1−10.69%day 6−7.97%
Next report: expected late JanuaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Oct 27 report: −6.01%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is BA’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
BA against four aircraft peers, a year at 100
BA is down 9.0% in a year. All four did less: BETA Technologies (−24.9%), Archer Aviation (−49.6%), Joby Aviation (−64.4%) and AeroVironment (−69.0%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in BA’s SEC industry (Aircraft) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.