ARMK Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $50.301D −3.88%3M −9.71%SMA20 $54.46SMA50 $55.59RSI(14) 31.5
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$13.8B
Enterprise value$14.7B
Revenue$18.5B +6.4%
ROIC14.9%
EPS, diluted$1.22 +23.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$13.8B
Enterprise Value$14.7B
EV / True FCF—
EV / FCF—
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT18.55
EV / Sales0.79
P / E (GAAP)42.27
P / FCF—
P / Oper. CF14.98
P / Book4.38
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield—
FCF Yield—
Owner Earn. Yield—
Earnings Yield2.4%
Shareholder Yield+1.6%
Buyback Yield1.2%
Dividend Yield0.83%
Dividend / sh$0.42
Payout Ratio34%
FCF / sh—
EPS (diluted)$1.22
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 40—
ROIC14.9%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE10.4%
ROA2.5%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin4.3%
Net Margin1.8%
FCF Margin—
True FCF Margin—
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion—
Accrual Ratio−4.5%
SBC % of FCF—
SBC % of Rev0.3%
Reinvest. Rate—
Sales Growth Y/Y+6.4%
Sales 3Y CAGR+10.6%
EPS Growth Y/Y+23.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y—
FCF 3Y CAGR—
Share Change Y/Y+0.4%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$18.5B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$791.8M
GAAP Net Income$326.4M
True FCF (ex-SBC)—
Cash & Equiv$707.1M
Total Debt$1.6B
Net Cash (Debt)$-889.8M
Net Cash % MCap−6.4%
Debt / FCF (yrs)—
Current Ratio0.99263.63M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week−10.21%
Perf Month−9.24%
Perf Quarter−10.10%
Perf Half Y+11.63%
Perf YTD+10.31%
SMA 20 Dist−7.63%$54.46
SMA 50 Dist−9.52%$55.59
SMA 100 Dist−10.83%$56.41
Window High−19.38%$62.39
Window Low+12.88%$44.56
RSI (14) · Vol31.536%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of ARMK revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$12.1B
$13.7B
$16.1B
$17.4B
$18.5B
+6.4%
+11.2%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$11.0B
$14.8B
—
—
$14.8B
—
+7.6%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
$346.7M
$258.4M
$273.7M
$283.6M
$278.4M
−1.8%
−5.3%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$191.4M
$415.4M
$625.0M
$706.5M
$791.8M
+12.1%
+42.6%
Interest Expense
$413.7M
$381.5M
$441.3M
$389.2M
$364.4M
−6.4%
−3.1%
Income Tax Expense
$-40.6M
$8.4M
$116.4M
$103.0M
$103.6M
+0.6%
—
GAAP Net Income ▸
$-90.8M
$194.5M
$674.1M
$262.5M
$326.4M
+24.3%
—
Diluted EPS ▸
$-0.36
$0.75
$2.57
$0.99
$1.22
+23.2%
—
Diluted Shares
254.7M
259.1M
262.6M
266.2M
267.3M
+0.4%
+1.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$587.1M
$365.4M
$2.0B
$732.6M
$707.1M
−3.5%
+4.8%
Inventory
$412.7M
$552.4M
$403.7M
$387.6M
$418.8M
+8.0%
+0.4%
Total Current Assets
$2.9B
$3.3B
$5.2B
$3.4B
$3.5B
+3.4%
+5.0%
Total Assets
$14.4B
$15.1B
$16.9B
$12.7B
$13.3B
+5.0%
−1.9%
Total Current Liabilities
$2.9B
$3.3B
$5.0B
$4.2B
$3.5B
−15.8%
+5.6%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$58.9M
$65.0M
$1.6B
$1.6B
$1.6B
+0.0%
+128.2%
Stockholders' Equity
$2.7B
$3.0B
$3.7B
$3.0B
$3.1B
+3.6%
+3.7%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$528.3M
$300.4M
$411.5M
$-864.3M
$-889.8M
−2.9%
—
Invested Capital
$2.2B
$2.7B
$3.3B
$3.9B
$4.0B
+3.4%
+16.5%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$657.1M
$694.5M
$766.4M
$726.5M
$921.0M
+26.8%
+8.8%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$550.7M
$398.0M
$409.9M
$435.5M
$476.3M
+9.4%
−3.6%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$71.1M
$82.3M
$76.3M
$62.6M
$58.6M
−6.2%
−4.7%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$0
$0
$23.7M
$14.4M
$169.8M
+1079.8%
—
Dividends Paid
$112.0M
$113.1M
$114.6M
$99.9M
$110.8M
+10.9%
−0.3%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what ARMK did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named ARMK yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
27 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.32% from the one before, three times ARMK’s median day (0.77%). On 5 of the 27, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.32%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayARMKWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 17, 2025−5.23%
Resultsgroup −0.8%, did not move with it
1Nov 17, 2025−5.23%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 17 results filing
−0.8% did not move with itCMG −3.3 · QSR −0.9 · MCD −0.7 · YUM −0.7
2 Dec 8, 2025−2.71%
Before our storiesgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
2Dec 8, 2025−2.71%
Before our stories
−1.3% did not move with itQSR −2.5 · YUM −1.7 · CMG −1.0 · MCD −0.5
3 Jan 5, 2026+3.77%
Before our storiesgroup −0.6%, did not move with it
3Jan 5, 2026+3.77%
Before our stories
−0.6% did not move with itCMG +2.0 · YUM −0.1 · MCD −1.1 · QSR −1.6
4 Jan 20, 2026−2.47%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, moved with ARMK
4Jan 20, 2026−2.47%
Before our stories
−1.9% moved with ARMKYUM −4.4 · CMG −2.4 · MCD −1.5 · QSR −0.1
5 Feb 10, 2026+5.57%
Resultsgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
5Feb 10, 2026+5.57%
ResultsFirst close after the Feb 10 results filing
−0.5% did not move with itMCD +0.1 · YUM −0.0 · QSR −1.0 · CMG −2.9
6 Feb 11, 2026+3.00%
Before our storiesgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
6Feb 11, 2026+3.00%
Before our stories
−0.4% did not move with itQSR +0.6 · YUM +0.1 · MCD −0.8 · CMG −3.2
7 Feb 12, 2026−7.18%
Before our storiesgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
7Feb 12, 2026−7.18%
Before our stories
−0.5% did not move with itQSR −6.2 · CMG −3.7 · YUM +2.6 · MCD +2.7
8 Mar 18, 2026−2.50%
Before our storiesgroup −3.0%, moved with ARMK
8Mar 18, 2026−2.50%
Before our stories
−3.0% moved with ARMKCMG −5.1 · MCD −3.2 · YUM −2.8 · QSR −1.1
9 Mar 23, 2026+3.63%
Before our storiesgroup +0.7%, did not move with it
9Mar 23, 2026+3.63%
Before our stories
+0.7% did not move with itQSR +1.7 · YUM +1.4 · CMG −0.0 · MCD −0.1
10 Mar 25, 2026+3.08%
Before our storiesgroup −0.5%, did not move with it
10Mar 25, 2026+3.08%
Before our stories
−0.5% did not move with itMCD +1.3 · YUM −0.2 · CMG −0.8 · QSR −1.3
11 Apr 1, 2026+3.31%
Before our storiesgroup +0.3%, did not move with it
11Apr 1, 2026+3.31%
Before our stories
+0.3% did not move with itCMG +1.9 · QSR +1.6 · MCD −1.1 · YUM −1.1
12 Apr 8, 2026+3.12%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, moved with ARMK
12Apr 8, 2026+3.12%
Before our stories
+1.8% moved with ARMKYUM +2.2 · CMG +2.2 · QSR +1.4 · MCD +0.7
13 May 12, 2026+8.64%
Resultsgroup +0.9%, did not move with it
13May 12, 2026+8.64%
ResultsFirst close after the May 12 results filing
+0.9% did not move with itCMG +2.4 · YUM +1.7 · MCD +0.1 · QSR +0.1
14 May 13, 2026+4.83%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
14May 13, 2026+4.83%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itMCD +0.3 · CMG −1.7 · YUM −2.0 · QSR −2.4
15 May 14, 2026+3.84%
Before our storiesgroup −0.0%, did not move with it
15May 14, 2026+3.84%
Before our stories
−0.0% did not move with itYUM +0.6 · QSR 0.0 · CMG −0.1 · MCD −0.3
16 May 19, 2026−2.64%
Before our storiesgroup −0.3%, did not move with it
16May 19, 2026−2.64%
Before our stories
−0.3% did not move with itCMG −2.1 · MCD −0.6 · YUM −0.1 · QSR +0.1
17 Jun 26, 2026+2.34%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +2.6%, moved with ARMK
17Jun 26, 2026+2.34%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.6% moved with ARMKYUM +3.5 · CMG +3.3 · MCD +2.0 · QSR +1.5
18 Jul 9, 2026+2.46%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +0.0%, did not move with it
18Jul 9, 2026+2.46%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.0% did not move with itCMG +3.5 · QSR +0.7 · MCD −0.6 · YUM −1.7
19 Aug 11, 2026+8.54%
Resultsgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
19Aug 11, 2026+8.54%
ResultsFirst close after the Aug 11 results filing
−0.1% did not move with itQSR +0.7 · MCD +0.2 · YUM −0.4 · CMG −0.4
20 Aug 31, 2026−3.21%
Nothing on ARMKgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
20Aug 31, 2026−3.21%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.4% did not move with itMCD −0.6 · QSR −0.5 · YUM −0.4 · CMG 0.0
21 Sep 11, 2026+3.15%
Nothing on ARMKgroup −0.0%, did not move with it
21Sep 11, 2026+3.15%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.0% did not move with itQSR +0.6 · CMG +0.2 · MCD −0.2 · YUM −2.1
22 Sep 24, 2026−2.60%
Nothing on ARMKgroup −1.6%, moved with ARMK
22Sep 24, 2026−2.60%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.6% moved with ARMKYUM −2.3 · CMG −2.1 · QSR −1.1 · MCD −0.6
23 Oct 22, 2026−5.73%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +2.4%, did not move with it
23Oct 22, 2026−5.73%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.4% did not move with itCMG +0.1 · YUM +2.1 · MCD +2.6 · QSR +3.0
24 Oct 26, 2026+3.48%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
24Oct 26, 2026+3.48%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.4% did not move with itCMG +3.2 · MCD +0.9 · YUM −0.1 · QSR −1.1
25 Oct 30, 2026−3.68%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +0.4%, did not move with it
25Oct 30, 2026−3.68%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.4% did not move with itQSR −0.8 · MCD +0.3 · YUM +0.6 · CMG +1.9
26 Nov 4, 2026−4.18%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +5.9%, did not move with it
26Nov 4, 2026−4.18%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.9% did not move with itQSR +5.5 · CMG +5.8 · YUM +5.9 · MCD +6.5
27 Nov 5, 2026−3.88%
Nothing on ARMKgroup +0.0%, did not move with it
27Nov 5, 2026−3.88%
Nothing on ARMKNo ARMK story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.0% did not move with itMCD −0.8 · YUM −0.1 · QSR +0.2 · CMG +0.6
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of MCD, YUM, CMG and QSR that day, the largest companies in ARMK’s SEC industry; “moved with ARMK” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). ARMK reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. Each time, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 17, 2025
day 1−5.23%day 6−0.92%
Reported Feb 10, 2026
day 1+5.57%day 6+3.51%
Reported May 12, 2026
day 1+8.64%day 6+15.66%
Reported Aug 11, 2026
day 1+8.54%day 6+8.60%
Next report: expected early-to-mid NovemberEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Aug 11 report: −9.71%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is ARMK’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
ARMK against four restaurant peers, a year at 100
ARMK is up 33.1% in a year. All four did less: Restaurant Brands International (+16.0%), Chipotle Mexican Grill (+15.7%), YUM Brands (+11.4%) and McDonald’s (−7.2%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in ARMK’s SEC industry (Retail-Eating Places) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.