YUM Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $166.091D −0.13%3M +14.28%SMA20 $152.48SMA50 $146.67RSI(14) 77.1
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$45.4B
EV / True FCF29.8x
Revenue$8.2B +8.8%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.6B +14.5%
Rule of 4028.8%
Operating margin31.3%
True FCF Yield3.5%
EPS, diluted$5.55 +6.3%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$45.4B
Enterprise Value$46.7B
EV / True FCF29.76
EV / FCF28.49
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT18.14
EV / Sales5.69
P / E (GAAP)29.11
P / FCF27.69
P / Oper. CF22.58
P / Book—
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield3.5%
FCF Yield3.6%
Owner Earn. Yield2.9%
Earnings Yield3.4%
Shareholder Yield+2.8%
Buyback Yield1.2%
Dividend Yield1.71%
Dividend / sh$2.84
Payout Ratio51%
FCF / sh$6.01
EPS (diluted)$5.55
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4028.8%
ROIC—
Cash ROIC (CROIC)—
GP / Assets—
ROE-21.3%
ROA19.0%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin31.3%
Net Margin19.0%
FCF Margin20.0%
True FCF Margin19.1%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion105%
Accrual Ratio−5.5%
SBC % of FCF4.3%
SBC % of Rev0.9%
Reinvest. Rate20%
Sales Growth Y/Y+8.8%
Sales 3Y CAGR+6.3%
EPS Growth Y/Y+6.3%
FCF Growth Y/Y+14.5%
FCF 3Y CAGR+12.6%
Share Change Y/Y−1.4%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$8.2B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$2.6B
GAAP Net Income$1.6B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.6B
Cash & Equiv$923.0M
Total Debt$2.2B
Net Cash (Debt)$-1.3B
Net Cash % MCap−2.9%
Debt / FCF (yrs)1.4y
Current Ratio1.35272.90M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+7.47%
Perf Month+18.34%
Perf Quarter+10.17%
Perf Half Y+5.62%
Perf YTD+2.64%
SMA 20 Dist+8.93%$152.48
SMA 50 Dist+13.24%$146.67
SMA 100 Dist+10.72%$150.01
Window High−0.84%$167.49
Window Low+22.35%$135.75
RSI (14) · Vol77.128%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of YUM revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$6.6B
$6.8B
$7.1B
$7.5B
$8.2B
+8.8%
+5.7%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$1.7B
$1.7B
$1.8B
$2.1B
$2.5B
+17.1%
+9.5%
Research & Development (R&D)
—
—
—
—
$28.0M
—
—
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$2.1B
$2.2B
$2.3B
$2.4B
$2.6B
+7.1%
+4.7%
Income Tax Expense
$99.0M
$337.0M
$221.0M
$414.0M
$518.0M
+25.1%
+51.2%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$1.6B
$1.3B
$1.6B
$1.5B
$1.6B
+4.9%
−0.3%
Diluted EPS ▸
$5.21
$4.57
$5.59
$5.22
$5.55
+6.3%
+1.6%
Diluted Shares
302.0M
290.0M
285.0M
285.0M
281.0M
−1.4%
−1.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$771.0M
$647.0M
$724.0M
$807.0M
$923.0M
+14.4%
+4.6%
Inventory
$15.0M
$15.0M
$15.0M
$15.0M
$15.0M
+0.0%
+0.0%
Total Current Assets
$1.5B
$1.6B
$1.6B
$1.9B
$2.0B
+9.0%
+7.4%
Total Assets
$6.0B
$5.8B
$6.2B
$6.7B
$8.2B
+21.9%
+8.3%
Total Current Liabilities
$1.4B
$1.7B
$1.3B
$1.3B
$1.5B
+19.5%
+1.7%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$2.3B
$2.6B
$2.3B
$2.2B
$2.2B
+0.5%
−0.3%
Total Liabilities
$14.3B
$14.7B
$14.1B
$14.4B
$15.5B
+8.0%
+2.0%
Stockholders' Equity
$-8.4B
$-8.9B
$-7.9B
$-7.6B
$-7.3B
+4.2%
—
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-1.5B
$-2.0B
$-1.5B
$-1.4B
$-1.3B
+7.4%
—
Invested Capital
$-6.9B
$-6.9B
$-6.3B
$-6.2B
$-6.0B
+3.5%
—
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$1.7B
$1.4B
$1.6B
$1.7B
$2.0B
+19.0%
+4.2%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$164.0M
$146.0M
$153.0M
$175.0M
$206.0M
+17.7%
+5.9%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$75.0M
$84.0M
$95.0M
$69.0M
$70.0M
+1.4%
−1.7%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$230.0M
$279.0M
$285.0M
$257.0M
$371.0M
+44.4%
+12.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$1.5B
$1.1B
$1.3B
$1.4B
$1.6B
+14.5%
+2.7%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$1.4B
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.4B
$1.6B
+15.1%
+2.9%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$1.6B
$1.2B
$50.0M
$441.0M
$552.0M
+25.2%
−23.3%
Dividends Paid
$592.0M
$649.0M
$678.0M
$752.0M
$789.0M
+4.9%
+7.4%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what YUM did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named YUM yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
25 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 2.73% from the one before, three times YUM’s median day (0.91%). On 15 of the 25, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±2.73%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayYUMWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 4, 2025+7.30%
Resultsgroup +0.8%, did not move with it
1Nov 4, 2025+7.30%
ResultsFirst close after the Nov 4 results filing
+0.8% did not move with itDRI +1.5 · MCD +1.0 · CMG +0.7 · QSR +0.7
2 Dec 11, 2025+2.94%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
2Dec 11, 2025+2.94%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itCMG +2.7 · DRI +2.3 · MCD −0.3 · QSR −0.4
3 Jan 20, 2026−4.41%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
3Jan 20, 2026−4.41%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itDRI −2.7 · CMG −2.4 · MCD −1.5 · QSR −0.1
4 Mar 2, 2026−3.12%
Before our storiesgroup −1.6%, moved with YUM
4Mar 2, 2026−3.12%
Before our stories
−1.6% moved with YUMDRI −1.9 · MCD −1.8 · CMG −1.4 · QSR +0.3
5 Mar 18, 2026−2.80%
Before our storiesgroup −2.4%, moved with YUM
5Mar 18, 2026−2.80%
Before our stories
−2.4% moved with YUMCMG −5.1 · MCD −3.2 · DRI −1.6 · QSR −1.1
6 Apr 27, 2026−3.19%
Before our storiesgroup −2.1%, moved with YUM
6Apr 27, 2026−3.19%
Before our stories
−2.1% moved with YUMMCD −3.1 · QSR −2.5 · CMG −1.7 · DRI −1.2
7 May 8, 2026−3.37%
Before our storiesgroup −0.9%, did not move with it
7May 8, 2026−3.37%
Before our stories
−0.9% did not move with itMCD −2.8 · CMG −2.3 · DRI +0.5 · QSR +0.7
8 Jun 9, 2026+2.89%
Before our storiesgroup +1.9%, moved with YUM
8Jun 9, 2026+2.89%
Before our stories
+1.9% moved with YUMDRI +2.5 · CMG +2.1 · QSR +1.6 · MCD +1.6
9 Jun 26, 2026+3.49%
Nothing on YUMgroup +1.8%, moved with YUM
9Jun 26, 2026+3.49%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.8% moved with YUMCMG +3.3 · MCD +2.0 · QSR +1.5 · DRI +0.5
10 Jul 15, 2026−3.55%
Nothing on YUMgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
10Jul 15, 2026−3.55%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.0% did not move with itCMG −4.9 · MCD −1.5 · QSR −0.6 · DRI +0.2
11 Jul 17, 2026−2.75%
Nothing on YUMgroup −1.7%, moved with YUM
11Jul 17, 2026−2.75%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.7% moved with YUMQSR −2.8 · MCD −2.1 · DRI −1.3 · CMG +0.7
12 Jul 30, 2026+3.34%
Resultsgroup −1.3%, did not move with it
12Jul 30, 2026+3.34%
ResultsFirst close after the Jul 30 results filing
−1.3% did not move with itCMG +12.5 · MCD −1.1 · QSR −1.6 · DRI −2.5
13 Aug 3, 2026−2.92%
Nothing on YUMgroup −0.4%, did not move with it
13Aug 3, 2026−2.92%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.4% did not move with itMCD −2.0 · QSR −1.5 · CMG +0.6 · DRI +1.3
14 Aug 5, 2026+3.18%
Nothing on YUMgroup +2.0%, moved with YUM
14Aug 5, 2026+3.18%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.0% moved with YUMMCD +2.1 · DRI +2.1 · CMG +2.0 · QSR +0.8
15 Aug 10, 2026−3.60%
Nothing on YUMgroup −0.8%, did not move with it
15Aug 10, 2026−3.60%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.8% did not move with itCMG −2.0 · QSR −1.4 · MCD −0.3 · DRI +2.0
16 Aug 12, 2026+3.86%
Nothing on YUMgroup +2.1%, moved with YUM
16Aug 12, 2026+3.86%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.1% moved with YUMDRI +4.0 · QSR +2.1 · CMG +2.0 · MCD +0.6
17 Aug 20, 2026+4.39%
Nothing on YUMgroup +1.2%, did not move with it
17Aug 20, 2026+4.39%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.2% did not move with itQSR +3.2 · CMG +1.8 · MCD +0.6 · DRI −1.8
18 Aug 24, 2026+2.85%
Nothing on YUMgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
18Aug 24, 2026+2.85%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.3% did not move with itCMG +3.0 · DRI +1.8 · QSR +0.9 · MCD +0.6
19 Sep 9, 2026−2.91%
Nothing on YUMgroup −1.6%, moved with YUM
19Sep 9, 2026−2.91%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.6% moved with YUMCMG −2.5 · DRI −1.6 · QSR −1.6 · MCD −0.9
20 Sep 14, 2026+3.88%
Nothing on YUMgroup +2.4%, moved with YUM
20Sep 14, 2026+3.88%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.4% moved with YUMDRI +4.1 · QSR +2.5 · CMG +2.3 · MCD +2.0
21 Sep 15, 2026−3.80%
Nothing on YUMgroup −4.3%, moved with YUM
21Sep 15, 2026−3.80%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.3% moved with YUMCMG −5.9 · DRI −4.3 · QSR −4.3 · MCD −1.8
22 Oct 15, 2026+2.82%
Nothing on YUMgroup +2.1%, moved with YUM
22Oct 15, 2026+2.82%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.1% moved with YUMDRI +2.8 · QSR +2.4 · MCD +1.8 · CMG +0.2
23 Oct 23, 2026−3.08%
Nothing on YUMgroup −1.9%, moved with YUM
23Oct 23, 2026−3.08%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.9% moved with YUMDRI −2.4 · CMG −2.2 · MCD −1.6 · QSR −1.4
24 Oct 29, 2026+2.92%
Nothing on YUMgroup +2.3%, moved with YUM
24Oct 29, 2026+2.92%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.3% moved with YUMCMG +8.9 · MCD +2.8 · DRI +1.8 · QSR −2.0
25 Nov 4, 2026+5.92%
Nothing on YUMgroup +5.7%, moved with YUM
25Nov 4, 2026+5.92%
Nothing on YUMNo YUM story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.7% moved with YUMMCD +6.5 · CMG +5.8 · QSR +5.5 · DRI +5.1
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of MCD, CMG, QSR and DRI that day, the largest companies in YUM’s SEC industry; “moved with YUM” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). YUM reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 4, 2025
day 1+7.30%day 6+8.16%
Reported Feb 4, 2026
day 1+0.52%day 6+0.20%
Reported Apr 29, 2026
day 1+2.16%day 6−0.28%
Reported Jul 30, 2026
day 1+3.34%day 6+0.24%
Next report: expected early FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Nov 3 report: +5.53%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is YUM’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
YUM against four restaurant peers, a year at 100
YUM is up 11.5% in a year. Darden Restaurants is up 29.5%, Restaurant Brands International 15.7% and Chipotle Mexican Grill 15.1%. Of these four, only McDonald’s (−6.5%) did less. Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in YUM’s SEC industry (Retail-Eating Places) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.