TXRH Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $191.791D −2.37%3M −7.55%SMA20 $173.34SMA50 $173.05RSI(14) 66.4
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
The numbers
fiscal 2025, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$12.9B
EV / True FCF43.5x
Revenue$5.9B +9.4%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$294.3M −14.3%
Rule of 4015.2%
ROIC29.3%
True FCF Yield2.3%
EPS, diluted$6.10 −5.7%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$12.9B
Enterprise Value$12.8B
EV / True FCF43.53
EV / FCF37.45
EV / Gross Profit—
EV / EBIT26.98
EV / Sales2.18
P / E (GAAP)31.79
P / FCF37.70
P / Oper. CF17.66
P / Book8.70
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield2.3%
FCF Yield2.7%
Owner Earn. Yield1.4%
Earnings Yield3.1%
Shareholder Yield+2.2%
Buyback Yield1.2%
Dividend Yield1.42%
Dividend / sh$2.72
Payout Ratio44%
FCF / sh$5.21
EPS (diluted)$6.10
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4015.2%
ROIC29.3%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)24.5%
GP / Assets—
ROE27.4%
ROA11.4%
Gross Margin—
Oper. Margin8.1%
Net Margin6.9%
FCF Margin5.8%
True FCF Margin5.0%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion84%
Accrual Ratio−9.1%
SBC % of FCF14.0%
SBC % of Rev0.8%
Reinvest. Rate53%
Sales Growth Y/Y+9.4%
Sales 3Y CAGR+13.5%
EPS Growth Y/Y−5.7%
FCF Growth Y/Y−14.3%
FCF 3Y CAGR+8.8%
Share Change Y/Y−0.7%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$5.9B
Gross Profit (FY)—
Oper. Income (FY)$474.7M
GAAP Net Income$405.6M
True FCF (ex-SBC)$294.3M
Cash & Equiv$134.7M
Total Debt$50.0M
Net Cash (Debt)$84.7M
Net Cash % MCap+0.7%
Debt / FCF (yrs)0.1y
Current Ratio0.5065.63M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+4.83%
Perf Month+18.04%
Perf Quarter−7.79%
Perf Half Y+21.44%
Perf YTD+17.09%
SMA 20 Dist+10.64%$173.34
SMA 50 Dist+10.83%$173.05
SMA 100 Dist+3.73%$184.89
Window High−10.50%$214.28
Window Low+23.04%$155.88
RSI (14) · Vol66.443%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of TXRH revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2021
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$3.5B
$4.0B
$4.6B
$5.4B
$5.9B
+9.4%
+14.1%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$297.2M
$320.2M
$354.0M
$516.5M
$474.7M
−8.1%
+12.4%
Interest Expense
—
—
—
—
$1.6M
—
—
Income Tax Expense
$39.6M
$43.7M
$44.6M
$80.1M
$66.4M
−17.1%
+13.8%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$245.3M
$269.8M
$304.9M
$433.6M
$405.6M
−6.5%
+13.4%
Diluted EPS ▸
$3.50
$3.97
$4.54
$6.47
$6.10
−5.7%
+14.9%
Diluted Shares
70.1M
67.9M
67.1M
67.0M
66.5M
−0.7%
−1.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$335.6M
$173.9M
$104.2M
$245.2M
$134.7M
−45.1%
−20.4%
Inventory
$31.6M
$38.0M
$38.3M
$40.8M
$45.6M
+11.8%
+9.6%
Total Current Assets
$563.5M
$396.8M
$356.5M
$516.6M
$451.5M
−12.6%
−5.4%
Total Assets
$2.5B
$2.5B
$2.8B
$3.2B
$3.5B
+11.2%
+9.0%
Total Current Liabilities
$602.1M
$652.0M
$745.4M
$828.1M
$908.8M
+9.7%
+10.8%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$150.0M
$100.0M
$50.0M
$50.0M
$50.0M
+0.0%
−24.0%
Total Liabilities
$1.4B
$1.5B
$1.6B
$1.8B
$2.1B
+13.8%
+9.5%
Stockholders' Equity
$1.1B
$1.0B
$1.2B
$1.4B
$1.5B
+7.9%
+8.4%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$185.6M
$73.9M
$54.2M
$195.2M
$84.7M
−56.6%
−17.8%
Invested Capital
$887.8M
$953.8M
$1.1B
$1.2B
$1.4B
+18.5%
+12.0%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$468.8M
$511.7M
$565.0M
$753.6M
$730.1M
−3.1%
+11.7%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$126.8M
$137.2M
$153.2M
$178.2M
$206.6M
+16.0%
+13.0%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$38.1M
$36.7M
$34.2M
$47.1M
$47.8M
+1.5%
+5.8%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$200.7M
$246.1M
$347.0M
$354.3M
$388.0M
+9.5%
+17.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$268.1M
$265.6M
$217.9M
$399.3M
$342.1M
−14.3%
+6.3%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$230.0M
$228.9M
$183.7M
$352.2M
$294.3M
−16.4%
+6.4%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$51.6M
$212.9M
$50.0M
$80.0M
$150.4M
+88.0%
+30.6%
Dividends Paid
$83.7M
$124.1M
$147.2M
$162.9M
$180.3M
+10.7%
+21.2%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
On the Wire
what TXRH did at the next close after each story
No Wire story has named TXRH yet.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
15 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.68% from the one before, three times TXRH’s median day (1.23%). On 5 of the 15, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.68%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayTXRHWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Nov 21, 2025+4.31%
Before our storiesgroup +3.1%, moved with TXRH
1Nov 21, 2025+4.31%
Before our stories
+3.1% moved with TXRHCMG +4.2 · QSR +3.7 · YUM +2.5 · MCD +1.7
2 Dec 23, 2025−3.75%
Before our storiesgroup −1.1%, did not move with it
2Dec 23, 2025−3.75%
Before our stories
−1.1% did not move with itQSR −2.1 · MCD −1.7 · YUM −0.5 · CMG −0.3
3 Mar 27, 2026−3.71%
Before our storiesgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
3Mar 27, 2026−3.71%
Before our stories
−1.9% did not move with itCMG −4.1 · QSR −2.3 · YUM −1.4 · MCD −1.0
4 Apr 8, 2026+4.28%
Before our storiesgroup +1.8%, did not move with it
4Apr 8, 2026+4.28%
Before our stories
+1.8% did not move with itYUM +2.2 · CMG +2.2 · QSR +1.4 · MCD +0.7
5 May 8, 2026+12.32%
Resultsgroup −2.6%, did not move with it
5May 8, 2026+12.32%
ResultsFirst close after the May 7 results filing
−2.6% did not move with itQSR +0.7 · CMG −2.3 · MCD −2.8 · YUM −3.4
6 Jun 5, 2026+5.68%
Before our storiesgroup +2.3%, did not move with it
6Jun 5, 2026+5.68%
Before our stories
+2.3% did not move with itCMG +4.1 · MCD +2.6 · YUM +1.9 · QSR +1.2
7 Jun 24, 2026+3.91%
Nothing on TXRHgroup +1.3%, did not move with it
7Jun 24, 2026+3.91%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.3% did not move with itCMG +2.4 · QSR +1.6 · YUM +0.9 · MCD +0.8
8 Jul 6, 2026−4.26%
Nothing on TXRHgroup −1.2%, did not move with it
8Jul 6, 2026−4.26%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.2% did not move with itCMG −4.0 · QSR −2.1 · MCD −0.4 · YUM +0.8
9 Jul 16, 2026+4.05%
Nothing on TXRHgroup +1.4%, did not move with it
9Jul 16, 2026+4.05%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+1.4% did not move with itQSR +4.0 · MCD +3.2 · YUM −0.3 · CMG −1.2
10 Jul 27, 2026+4.02%
Nothing on TXRHgroup +2.5%, moved with TXRH
10Jul 27, 2026+4.02%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.5% moved with TXRHCMG +4.4 · QSR +2.7 · MCD +2.2 · YUM −0.8
11 Sep 15, 2026−6.32%
Nothing on TXRHgroup −4.0%, moved with TXRH
11Sep 15, 2026−6.32%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.0% moved with TXRHCMG −5.9 · QSR −4.3 · YUM −3.8 · MCD −1.8
12 Oct 23, 2026−4.12%
Nothing on TXRHgroup −1.9%, did not move with it
12Oct 23, 2026−4.12%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.9% did not move with itYUM −3.1 · CMG −2.2 · MCD −1.6 · QSR −1.4
13 Oct 28, 2026+4.82%
Nothing on TXRHgroup +0.6%, did not move with it
13Oct 28, 2026+4.82%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+0.6% did not move with itCMG +2.7 · QSR +0.7 · MCD +0.4 · YUM +0.4
14 Oct 29, 2026+4.70%
Nothing on TXRHgroup +2.8%, moved with TXRH
14Oct 29, 2026+4.70%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.8% moved with TXRHCMG +8.9 · YUM +2.9 · MCD +2.8 · QSR −2.0
15 Nov 4, 2026+6.48%
Nothing on TXRHgroup +5.9%, moved with TXRH
15Nov 4, 2026+6.48%
Nothing on TXRHNo TXRH story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.9% moved with TXRHMCD +6.5 · YUM +5.9 · CMG +5.8 · QSR +5.5
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of MCD, YUM, CMG and QSR that day, the largest companies in TXRH’s SEC industry; “moved with TXRH” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). TXRH reports after the close, so day 1 is the next close. 3 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Nov 6, 2025
day 1+2.68%day 6+4.12%
Reported Feb 19, 2026
day 1−2.03%day 6+0.19%
Reported May 7, 2026
day 1+12.32%day 6+12.69%
Reported Aug 6, 2026
day 1−0.08%day 6−0.51%
Next report: expected early-to-mid FebruaryEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is TXRH’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
TXRH against four restaurant peers, a year at 100
TXRH is up 16.2% in a year. All four did less: Restaurant Brands International (+16.0%), Chipotle Mexican Grill (+15.7%), YUM Brands (+11.4%) and McDonald’s (−7.2%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in TXRH’s SEC industry (Retail-Eating Places) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.