DRI Wire Story Reactions & EOD Technical StudyDaily closes (Databento EOD) pinned with every AlgoThesis Wire story (dot colour = next trading day close) and SEC filing
Nov 5, 2026CLOSE $228.671D −0.84%3M +4.91%SMA20 $215.33SMA50 $210.87RSI(14) 66.0
Data provided by Databento (end of day). Next close = the first close after a story against the close before it; official daily closes only, not a call, not advice.
1 story has a settled next close so far (1 on the Wire). The record starts speaking at three.
The numbers
fiscal 2026, as filed with the SEC · 66-metric EOD snapshot via Databento
Market cap$26.3B
EV / True FCF27.3x
Revenue$13.2B +9.4%
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.0B +5.3%
Rule of 4017.9%
ROIC32.1%
True FCF Yield4.0%
EPS, diluted$10.38 +17.2%
Modern Valuation (EOD)
Market Cap$26.3B
Enterprise Value$28.4B
EV / True FCF27.32
EV / FCF25.39
EV / Gross Profit10.59
EV / EBIT17.95
EV / Sales2.15
P / E (GAAP)21.80
P / FCF23.51
P / Oper. CF14.20
P / Book11.92
Owner & Cash Yields
True FCF Yield4.0%
FCF Yield4.3%
Owner Earn. Yield3.6%
Earnings Yield4.6%
Shareholder Yield+4.9%
Buyback Yield2.6%
Dividend Yield2.62%
Dividend / sh$6.00
Payout Ratio57%
FCF / sh$9.89
EPS (diluted)$10.38
Compounder & Returns
Rule of 4017.9%
ROIC32.1%
Cash ROIC (CROIC)26.0%
GP / Assets20.9%
ROE54.7%
ROA9.4%
Gross Margin20.3%
Oper. Margin12.0%
Net Margin9.1%
FCF Margin8.5%
True FCF Margin7.9%
Quality & Dilution
Cash Conversion93%
Accrual Ratio−5.0%
SBC % of FCF7.1%
SBC % of Rev0.6%
Reinvest. Rate40%
Sales Growth Y/Y+9.4%
Sales 3Y CAGR+8.0%
EPS Growth Y/Y+17.2%
FCF Growth Y/Y+5.3%
FCF 3Y CAGR+4.2%
Share Change Y/Y−1.8%
Balance Sheet & Scale
Revenue (FY)$13.2B
Gross Profit (FY)$2.7B
Oper. Income (FY)$1.6B
GAAP Net Income$1.2B
True FCF (ex-SBC)$1.0B
Cash & Equiv$227.6M
Total Debt$2.3B
Net Cash (Debt)$-2.1B
Net Cash % MCap−8.0%
Debt / FCF (yrs)2.1y
Current Ratio0.31113.14M sh
Price & Technicals (EOD)
Perf Week+3.71%
Perf Month+13.49%
Perf Quarter+6.98%
Perf Half Y+17.16%
Perf YTD+13.29%
SMA 20 Dist+6.19%$215.33
SMA 50 Dist+8.44%$210.87
SMA 100 Dist+8.91%$209.96
Window High−0.84%$230.61
Window Low+19.04%$192.09
RSI (14) · Vol66.028%v
Income Distribution & Cash Flow ConversionHow every dollar of DRI revenue flows through cost of goods, operating expenses, taxes, GAAP net income, and dilution-adjusted free cash flow
Unlocked SEC EDGAR Accounting Statements (USD)All 3 statements · Common-size (% of Revenue / Assets) · YoY growth · Tap any core row to explain
Line Item (USD)
FY2022
FY2023
FY2024
FY2025
FY2026
YoY Δ
4Y CAGR
Trend
Income Statement
Revenue ▸
$9.6B
$10.5B
$11.4B
$12.1B
$13.2B
+9.4%
+8.2%
Cost of Revenue (COGS)
$7.7B
$8.5B
$9.1B
$9.6B
$10.5B
+9.6%
+8.0%
Gross Profit ▸
$1.9B
$2.0B
$2.3B
$2.5B
$2.7B
+8.5%
+9.0%
Selling, General & Admin (SG&A)
—
—
—
—
$663.5M
—
—
Total Operating Expenses
$739.6M
$789.2M
$975.8M
$1.1B
$1.1B
−1.0%
+10.4%
Operating Income (EBIT) ▸
$1.2B
$1.2B
$1.3B
$1.4B
$1.6B
+16.2%
+8.0%
Interest Expense
$40.9M
$50.2M
$93.5M
$115.9M
$126.5M
+9.1%
+32.6%
Income Tax Expense
$138.8M
$137.0M
$145.0M
$136.2M
$174.9M
+28.4%
+5.9%
GAAP Net Income ▸
$952.8M
$981.9M
$1.0B
$1.0B
$1.2B
+15.0%
+6.1%
Diluted EPS ▸
$7.39
$7.99
$8.51
$8.86
$10.38
+17.2%
+8.9%
Diluted Shares
129.0M
122.9M
120.8M
118.4M
116.3M
−1.8%
−2.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents
$472.1M
$416.2M
$220.1M
$254.5M
$227.6M
−10.6%
−16.7%
Inventory
$270.6M
$287.9M
$290.5M
$311.6M
$326.3M
+4.7%
+4.8%
Total Current Assets
$1.2B
$997.7M
$822.8M
$937.7M
$942.9M
+0.6%
−5.4%
Total Assets
$10.1B
$10.2B
$11.3B
$12.6B
$12.9B
+2.2%
+6.1%
Total Current Liabilities
$1.8B
$1.9B
$2.2B
$2.2B
$3.0B
+33.7%
+12.9%
Total Debt (Short + Long Term)
$901.0M
$884.9M
$1.4B
$2.1B
$2.3B
+9.5%
+26.8%
Total Liabilities
$7.9B
$8.0B
$9.1B
$10.3B
$10.7B
+3.7%
+7.6%
Stockholders' Equity
$2.2B
$2.2B
$2.2B
$2.3B
$2.2B
−4.5%
+0.1%
Net Cash / (Net Debt)
$-428.9M
$-468.7M
$-1.2B
$-1.9B
$-2.1B
−12.2%
—
Invested Capital
$2.6B
$2.7B
$3.4B
$4.2B
$4.3B
+3.0%
+13.2%
Cash Flow & Capital Allocation
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) ▸
$1.3B
$1.6B
$1.6B
$1.7B
$1.9B
+8.6%
+10.0%
Depreciation & Amortization (D&A)
$368.4M
$387.8M
$459.9M
$516.1M
$561.1M
+8.7%
+11.1%
Stock-Based Compensation (SBC)
$60.5M
$67.5M
$68.5M
$79.1M
$79.1M
+0.0%
+6.9%
Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
$376.9M
$564.9M
$601.2M
$644.6M
$734.0M
+13.9%
+18.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ▸
$887.7M
$987.9M
$1.0B
$1.1B
$1.1B
+5.3%
+6.0%
True FCF (ex-SBC Owner Cash)
$827.2M
$920.4M
$952.0M
$983.3M
$1.0B
+5.8%
+5.9%
Share Repurchases (Buybacks)
$1.1B
$458.7M
$453.9M
$418.2M
$671.7M
+60.6%
−11.0%
Dividends Paid
$563.0M
$589.8M
$628.4M
$658.5M
$693.0M
+5.2%
+5.3%
Fundamentals, income distribution and multi-year statements from SEC EDGAR filings (public domain). Valuation multiples, performance and technicals computed from Databento 1D EOD closes. For information only, not investment advice.
The Wire at 7 AM ET, free. Top stories with a bull and a bear case on each, every morning. No account needed.
What happened · big days
9 big days in a year, and what we hold on each
A big day is a close more than 3.63% from the one before, three times DRI’s median day (1.21%). On 5 of the 9, its peer group moved the same way at least half as far. We show what we hold. We never name a cause.
every other trading daya big day, numbered in the list below±3.63%Hover a bar for its day. Click a big day to open it.
Shaded: since our stories began, Jun 10. Tap a bar for its day.
#DayDRIWhat we hold that dayGroup (median of 4) · each
1 Jan 6, 2026+3.94%
Before our storiesgroup +1.0%, did not move with it
1Jan 6, 2026+3.94%
Before our stories
+1.0% did not move with itQSR +1.4 · MCD +1.0 · CMG +1.0 · YUM +0.8
2 Jan 26, 2026−4.72%
Before our storiesgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
2Jan 26, 2026−4.72%
Before our stories
−1.0% did not move with itCMG −2.8 · QSR −1.8 · YUM −0.1 · MCD +1.2
3 Jun 29, 2026−3.75%
Nothing on DRIgroup −1.0%, did not move with it
3Jun 29, 2026−3.75%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−1.0% did not move with itQSR −1.5 · CMG −1.1 · MCD −1.0 · YUM +1.2
4 Jul 13, 2026−3.70%
Nothing on DRIgroup −0.1%, did not move with it
4Jul 13, 2026−3.70%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−0.1% did not move with itYUM −1.1 · MCD −0.7 · QSR +0.4 · CMG +3.9
5 Jul 27, 2026+3.97%
Nothing on DRIgroup +2.5%, moved with DRI
5Jul 27, 2026+3.97%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.5% moved with DRICMG +4.4 · QSR +2.7 · MCD +2.2 · YUM −0.8
6 Aug 12, 2026+4.01%
Nothing on DRIgroup +2.1%, moved with DRI
6Aug 12, 2026+4.01%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.1% moved with DRIYUM +3.9 · QSR +2.1 · CMG +2.0 · MCD +0.6
7 Sep 14, 2026+4.14%
Nothing on DRIgroup +2.4%, moved with DRI
7Sep 14, 2026+4.14%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+2.4% moved with DRIYUM +3.9 · QSR +2.5 · CMG +2.3 · MCD +2.0
8 Sep 15, 2026−4.32%
Nothing on DRIgroup −4.0%, moved with DRI
8Sep 15, 2026−4.32%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
−4.0% moved with DRICMG −5.9 · QSR −4.3 · YUM −3.8 · MCD −1.8
9 Nov 4, 2026+5.11%
Nothing on DRIgroup +5.9%, moved with DRI
9Nov 4, 2026+5.11%
Nothing on DRINo DRI story, brief or results filing in our record that day
+5.9% moved with DRIMCD +6.5 · YUM +5.9 · CMG +5.8 · QSR +5.5
A story on the same day is not a cause, and a group move is not proof either. Group: the median of MCD, YUM, CMG and QSR that day, the largest companies in DRI’s SEC industry; “moved with DRI” means the same direction and at least half the size.
What’s next · results
Before the next report: what the first day after the last four did
Six trading days after each results filing (SEC 8-K, Item 2.02). DRI reports before the open, so day 1 is that day’s close. 2 of 4 times, day 6 ended on the same side as day 1.
Reported Dec 18, 2025
day 1+1.77%day 6−0.61%
Reported Mar 19, 2026
day 1+1.85%day 6−0.92%
Reported Jun 25, 2026
day 1−0.32%day 6−4.28%
Reported Sep 24, 2026
day 1−3.02%day 6−7.62%
Next report: expected mid-to-late DecemberEstimated from the dates of its last four results filings. Not announced. Since the Sep 24 report: +7.01%. Four reports is a small sample.
Each line is DRI’s close against its close before the filing, on licensed end-of-day closes. What happened after each report, not a forecast; a move on the day is not a cause.
Same industry
DRI against four restaurant peers, a year at 100
DRI is up 28.4% in a year. All four did less: Restaurant Brands International (+16.0%), Chipotle Mexican Grill (+15.7%), YUM Brands (+11.4%) and McDonald’s (−7.2%). Weekly closes, Nov 7, 2025 = 100, on a log scale, so the same percentage move is the same height on every line.
End-of-day closes (Databento EOD), the last close of each week. The four peers are the largest US-listed companies by market value in DRI’s SEC industry (Retail-Eating Places) with a year of closes. It shows what the closes did; a move here is not a cause, a forecast or a call.