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Intel shares slide 22% as weaker PC outlook pressures turnaround

Intel shares fell 22% after the chipmaker forecast weaker-than-expected PC chip sales and falling margins. The outlook adds pressure to a turnaround already carrying negative net income and a slight annual revenue decline.

Intel’s headquarters, Santa Clara — file photoFile photo · Intel’s headquarters, Santa Clara · Jul 2023 · Coolcaesar · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Source & license

The story

Intel shares dropped 22% after the company projected PC chip sales below expectations and said margins would fall, according to the Financial Times. The forecast points to weaker near-term demand in a core business and less operating leverage as the company pursues its turnaround.

Intel's most recent full-year figures showed revenue of $52.9B, down 0.5% year over year, with a 34.8% gross margin and a negative 0.5% net margin. The new outlook therefore changes the near-term frame from a company trying to stabilize its base to one facing additional pressure on both sales and profitability.

The direct exposure is Intel's PC chip business: lower unit demand or pricing would reduce revenue, while falling margins would compress the earnings contribution from those sales. The company's annual results also show the connection between revenue performance and profitability, with diluted EPS at $-0.06 for the year.

The precise size and timing of the forecast shortfall, along with the drivers of the margin decline, remain the key unresolved details. The share-price reaction reflects the reported outlook, but it does not by itself establish whether the weakness is temporary or a broader setback to the turnaround.

The next test is Intel's next reported results and updated guidance. Investors will need the PC sales trajectory, gross-margin progression and earnings outlook to determine whether the forecast marks a single-quarter reset or a more persistent deterioration.

Our read · Thu, Oct 29

Intel (INTC) forecast weaker-than-expected PC chip sales as margins fall, sending shares down 22%.

Why. The weaker PC outlook compounds an already thin profitability base: Intel's latest full-year figures show $52.9B of revenue, a 34.8% gross margin and a negative 0.5% net margin. The next quarterly report and guidance update will determine whether falling margins are a temporary reset or evidence that the turnaround is losing operating leverage.

Both cases

The case it holdsIntel's turnaround could still regain traction if the next quarterly update shows the PC weakness is temporary and margin pressure reverses.
The case it breaksThe reported outlook adds to a weak base of $52.9B annual revenue, a negative 0.5% net margin and $-0.06 diluted EPS, leaving limited evidence of a near-term earnings cushion.

What could change this view: The read is invalidated if Intel's next guidance update shows PC demand stabilizing and margins recovering despite the reported forecast.

Intel stock page →
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Who reported it · 9

Financial TimesoriginalThu, Oct 29 · 7:45 PM ETIntel shares fall 22% as weak sales outlook dents turnaround
Investing.comreactionFri, Oct 30 · 1:11 PM ETNasdaq hits near three-month low as Amazon, Intel rattle AI trade
BBC BusinessreactionFri, Oct 30 · 1:57 PM ETUS tech stocks see sharp falls as AI spending nears $1tn
Bloomberg TelevisionFri, Oct 30 · 4:42 PM ETIntel Plunges 29% on Weak Outlook as Tech Selloff Deepens
Bloomberg TelevisionFri, Oct 30 · 8:41 PM ETIntel Suffers Worst Stock Thrashing in Decades on Weak Forecast

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About this report

Reported by Financial Times as Intel shares fall 22% as weak sales outlook dents turnaround, . Who answers for this

9 reports from 6 publishers in this record. Closes are licensed end-of-day data from Databento; the move after a story is its first close against the close before it. How this is decided →

Kept as written · your side, if you take one, is graded privately against licensed closes after 10 trading days · nothing here is advice · How the Wire is made →